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Don't Forget! Tesla Investors Information Edge

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There are so many advantages Tesla has as an investment, it's often easy to forget them. Even if you keep a list of advantages, the list gets too long. Here's one we've all forgotten...

In January 2020, Wall Street was SHOCKED that Tesla was starting to produce the Model 3 in China. But we all knew this already because we've seen the drone videos of Giga Shanghai. Wall Street analysts didn't allow themselves to price in Tesla success in China. The masses had no idea of the Phase 1 building period, nor that it was done. Stock suddenly got re-rated higher.

We have a TREMENDOUS information edge over the investment masses. Yet we assume that everyone knows all public information about Tesla. They don't know. Guy Adami & Tim Seymour of CNBC's Fast Money are still ignorant about the unit economics of the new Tesla gigafactories going up.

They don't know.

They are beginning to know about S&P inclusion. Friday's 7/10 massive 10%+ move upward in Tesla came after Reuters reported about S&P inclusion (what we already knew). The story went viral. CNBC and NYT syndicated the story and more people found out. We may see some continuation in stock on Monday (then possibly some letdown pre-earnings).

They don't know:
  • They don't know about Tent 2.0 in Fremont (an extra 100-150k per year capacity for Model Y/3).
  • They don't know that Tesla could have done 50k more cars in Q2 if not for the health crisis.
  • They don't know about upcoming FSD rewrite. They still think Tesla is a laggard in autonomy.
  • They don't know about Plaid Powertrain for S&X. Many (even Tesla bulls) are not modeling value for this. Will be big for profits. Will invigorate S&X production.
  • They don't know about Battery Day dropping battery costs and improved performance per weight. It did hit Reuters, but it hasn't been fathomed. Remember exponential growth is mind-boggling.
  • They don't know about how profitable Cybertruck will be. Nor do they think it will happen in 2021.
  • They don't know about the China Y or the Europe Y.