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Elon Musk: “We’re above 400 a week...In late 2014, the pace is “going to 800 a week."

Discussion in 'Model S: Ordering, Production, Delivery' started by Benz, Jul 12, 2013.

  1. Benz

    Benz Active Member

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    Elon Musk: “We’re above 400 a week...In late 2014, the pace is “going to 800 a week."

    That is stated in an article referring to an interview that a reporter (Alan Ohnsman) of Bloomberg had with Elon Musk.

    Here is a link to the article: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-07-11/tesla-model-s-sedan-output-speeds-past-400-a-week-ceo.html

    Does Elon Musk mean that the pace of production of the Tesla Model S as from late 2014 is going to 800 a week?

    The Tesla Model X will go into production in late 2014 as well.

    Or does Elon Musk mean that the pace of production of both the Tesla Model S and the Tesla Model X in total as from late 2014 is going to 800 a week? For example that could mean that in one week they could be producing 500 Tesla Model S EV's and 300 Tesla Model X EV's (or any other combination).

    And of course it will be about 800, not always exactly 800. But everybody understands that.

    But if that figure of 800 per week refers to just the Tesla Model S, than that would mean that the total production of EV's per week will be more than 800 per week. For example, if in the same week they manage to produce 400 Tesla Model X EV's as well, than that would mean that the total production of EV's per week is 1,200 in that particular week (in late 2014)!!!

    Please share your thoughts on this topic.
     
  2. Krugerrand

    Krugerrand Active Member

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    I interpret that to mean any combination of one or *all* of the models of vehicles they are producing at that time will be 800/week. As in, they will be producing at a rate of 40,000 vehicles per year by late 2014.
     
  3. gregincal

    gregincal Active Member

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    He's talking about total factory production, they just happen to only be producing a single model at the moment.
     
  4. PhilBa

    PhilBa Active Member

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    First off, have you paid attention to Elon's supercharger announcement? If not, you need to a) find out what he said and b) take a look at how well they are progressing against his claims.

    Secondly, the likelihood of a $100K sedan selling in the 40K units per year range is, well, hard to swallow.

    Thirdly, do you think, if the factory would be producing 800 MSs a week and N Model Xs a week, that Elon would opt to give the smaller or larger number?
     
  5. brianstorms

    brianstorms Member

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    Won't the Model X also be a 100k vehicle? I figure it competes with the Porsche Cayenne SUV not some Ford Explorer.
     
  6. Benz

    Benz Active Member

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    #6 Benz, Jul 12, 2013
    Last edited: Jul 12, 2013
    Tesla Model S + Tesla Model X

    2013: 24,000 + 0 = 24,000
    2014: 32,000 + 8,000 = 40,000
    2015: 40,000 + 24,000 = 64,000
    2016: 40,000 + 32,000 = 72,000

    Exiting times are ahead of us.
     
  7. PhilBa

    PhilBa Active Member

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    I assume so. Not sure your point. Are you saying the X will or will not be higher volume than the S? What is the Cayenne's sales volume?
     
  8. Benz

    Benz Active Member

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    "Currently producing at an annualized rate of more than 25K units (saw a flat panel on the factory tour that indicated 5,454 units produced in the 2nd quarter."

    That's what an owner saw himself at a factory tour during the TESLIVE event.

    Here is the link: http://teslamodels.wordpress.com/

    But how many of these were actually sold to customers (and paid for) and delivered to them as well?
     
  9. K Hall

    K Hall Member

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    They produced over 300 loaners in the quarter. Many of those sold.

    The current target is much higher than 400 cars a week but I am not sure they are hitting that number. They are fighting some bottlenecks in the line.
     
  10. Robert.Boston

    Robert.Boston Model S VIN P01536

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    At TESLIVE we learned that they're having a real problem with loaners: they sell too fast. Thus the 300 loaners aren't really a drag on the sales rate. Good luck getting a loaner during maintenance, though.
     

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