Elon Musk: The Recode interview
" don’t think anyone is close to Tesla in terms of achieving a general solution for working on. You can definitely make things work like in one particular city or something like that by special-casing it, but in order to work, you know, all around the world in all these different countries where there’s, like, different road signs, different traffic behavior, there’s like every weird corner case you can imagine. You really have to have a generalized solution. And best to my knowledge, no one has a good generalized solution except ... and I think no one is likely to achieve a generalized solution to self-driving before Tesla. I could be surprised, but..."
"The other car companies ... I don’t wanna sound overconfident, but I would be very surprised if any of the car companies exceeded Tesla in self-driving, in getting to full self-driving. You know, I think we’ll get to full self-driving next year. As a generalized solution, I think. But that’s a ... Like, we’re on track to do that next year. So I don’t know. I don’t think anyone else is on track to do it next year."
Elon Musk is at it again with the ridiculous hype kool-aid.
Referring to Navigate on Autopilot
"That’s I think one of the first major steps toward full self-driving. You can enter in an address, and from highway on-ramp to highway off-ramp, the car will change lanes. It will go from one highway to the next automatically, and take off-ramp automatically. It’s pretty wild. It’ll overtake a slow car. It’s basically integrating navigation with the Autopilot capability. That’s why we call it Navigate on Autopilot, or Drive on Nav."
Not only does NOA not do the above. What it does it only does successfully 5% of the time based on aggregate reviews. If this is supposed to be some sort of "general solution" then the supposed FSD will be laughable at best!
While guys like Jimmy will have you believe that Tesla is actually ahead on NN. They are actually far far behind. Not only does every other company deploy NN on their lidar and camera. They are far more advanced and sophisticated than Tesla.
"Well, the main challenge has been improving the neural net so that we can recognize all types of objects from all eight cameras. The big challenge has been solving a wide range of corner cases. So if you have a —Now we’re integrating stop signs, traffic lights, being able to do, say, hard right turns or hairpin bends and that kind of thing."
In-fact Tesla is just now getting to add Traffic lights/signs to their network. They are still in the early stage of sensing for autonomous driving. A reminder that Mobileye (eyeq3 a 5 years old tech) had traffic light/sign detection that worked in every country.
And yet there is "Mapping and Planning that is still untouched!" They are still fiddling with sensing. They are so behind its not even funny!
Let me recap to you Elon Musk statements in the past
December 2015: "We're going to end up with complete autonomy, and I think we will have complete autonomy in approximately two years." -
Elon Musk Says Tesla Vehicles Will Drive Themselves in Two Years
January 2016: "In ~2 years, summon should work anywhere connected by land & not blocked by borders, eg you're in LA and the car is in NY" -
Elon Musk on Twitter
June 2016: ""I really consider autonomous driving a solved problem," he said. "I think we are probably less than two years away." -
Two years until self-driving cars are on the road – is Elon Musk right?
March 2017: "I think that is about two years" -
Transcript of "The future we're building -- and boring"
And is it even worth mentioning cross country drive that's supposed to happen at end of 2017 and each conference call Elon says it will definitely happen in 3 months? To now its not even happening at all? Elon continues to delude and fleece the gullible, playing them like a damn fiddle!
" don’t think anyone is close to Tesla in terms of achieving a general solution for working on. You can definitely make things work like in one particular city or something like that by special-casing it, but in order to work, you know, all around the world in all these different countries where there’s, like, different road signs, different traffic behavior, there’s like every weird corner case you can imagine. You really have to have a generalized solution. And best to my knowledge, no one has a good generalized solution except ... and I think no one is likely to achieve a generalized solution to self-driving before Tesla. I could be surprised, but..."
"The other car companies ... I don’t wanna sound overconfident, but I would be very surprised if any of the car companies exceeded Tesla in self-driving, in getting to full self-driving. You know, I think we’ll get to full self-driving next year. As a generalized solution, I think. But that’s a ... Like, we’re on track to do that next year. So I don’t know. I don’t think anyone else is on track to do it next year."
Elon Musk is at it again with the ridiculous hype kool-aid.
Referring to Navigate on Autopilot
"That’s I think one of the first major steps toward full self-driving. You can enter in an address, and from highway on-ramp to highway off-ramp, the car will change lanes. It will go from one highway to the next automatically, and take off-ramp automatically. It’s pretty wild. It’ll overtake a slow car. It’s basically integrating navigation with the Autopilot capability. That’s why we call it Navigate on Autopilot, or Drive on Nav."
Not only does NOA not do the above. What it does it only does successfully 5% of the time based on aggregate reviews. If this is supposed to be some sort of "general solution" then the supposed FSD will be laughable at best!
While guys like Jimmy will have you believe that Tesla is actually ahead on NN. They are actually far far behind. Not only does every other company deploy NN on their lidar and camera. They are far more advanced and sophisticated than Tesla.
"Well, the main challenge has been improving the neural net so that we can recognize all types of objects from all eight cameras. The big challenge has been solving a wide range of corner cases. So if you have a —Now we’re integrating stop signs, traffic lights, being able to do, say, hard right turns or hairpin bends and that kind of thing."
In-fact Tesla is just now getting to add Traffic lights/signs to their network. They are still in the early stage of sensing for autonomous driving. A reminder that Mobileye (eyeq3 a 5 years old tech) had traffic light/sign detection that worked in every country.
And yet there is "Mapping and Planning that is still untouched!" They are still fiddling with sensing. They are so behind its not even funny!
Let me recap to you Elon Musk statements in the past
December 2015: "We're going to end up with complete autonomy, and I think we will have complete autonomy in approximately two years." -
Elon Musk Says Tesla Vehicles Will Drive Themselves in Two Years
January 2016: "In ~2 years, summon should work anywhere connected by land & not blocked by borders, eg you're in LA and the car is in NY" -
Elon Musk on Twitter
June 2016: ""I really consider autonomous driving a solved problem," he said. "I think we are probably less than two years away." -
Two years until self-driving cars are on the road – is Elon Musk right?
March 2017: "I think that is about two years" -
Transcript of "The future we're building -- and boring"
And is it even worth mentioning cross country drive that's supposed to happen at end of 2017 and each conference call Elon says it will definitely happen in 3 months? To now its not even happening at all? Elon continues to delude and fleece the gullible, playing them like a damn fiddle!
