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Elon's Model 3 Deception

calisnow

Banned
Oct 11, 2014
2,867
4,650
Los Angeles
Screen Shot 2017-07-31 at 1.39.16 PM.png
Amazing to me how Tesla has been able to control the narrative. Everyone still calls the Model 3 a $35K car when the only ones currently in production cost 40% more. And for autonomous driving, add another 25%. Also strange that the glowing trade rag reviews didn't say a peep about AP2 or FSD, neither of which is much more than vaporware thus far.
On my delivery estimator (see below) the $35K version is only 8 weeks behind - so imho it's perfectly reasonable to call it a $35K car - today or 8 weeks later - not a big deal to me. Autonomous driving - again, so what if it adds 25% - it's not even available on other vehicles. nor was part of the original promise of a $35K electric long range sedan for "everyman." AP2 is not vaporware - it's essentially indistinguishable in performance from AP1 as of now - the narrative that it's half baked crapware is very outdated but myths die hard.
 
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Economite

Member
Dec 19, 2016
464
429
Los Angeles
IMO it was obvious to anyone following Tesla and their logic that the car would start with a more expensive option than the base model. For now it is a $49,000 car and that was IMO to be expected.

I'm not saying Tesla couldn't or shouldn't have been clearer about it, but IMO this was not a surprise. It just makes sense from a ramp-up/margin perspective that they are starting with a more expensive model.

Exactly... It isn't a surprise. And it isn't a bad deal.

But even to the extent a $35,000 car is an "affordable" car, Tesla isn't making or delivering an "affordable" car at this point. It is making and delivering an ~$50,000 car. And that's a whole different deal. Will they eventually start actually offering a $35K car? Probably. but they haven't done it yet, just announced that they plan to do it. Since the extra ~$15K in mandatory "options" is probably where all the margin is, I'd suspect they'll delay offering an actual $35K model for as long as possible. And if the $35K model isn't on offer, it's not fair to call this a $35K car. (side note: I felt the same way back when Tesla kept citing the promised S40 base price as the base price for the S, even though the S40 wasn't yet delivering).
 

AmpedRealtor

Well-Known Member
Jun 30, 2013
6,343
3,315
Phoenix, AZ
I'm a big Elon Musk fan. I even hugged him once in a bar.

But he has said things about the Model 3 that have been deceptive, given last night's event. Let's list some of them. Please contribute if you know of others!
  • Model 3 reveal part 2, which is going to be closer to production, will take things to another level:
    • No it didn't. There wasn't anything new. Nothing about Supercharger V3, new EAP capabilities, etc.
  • The controls are like a spaceship
    • Not much different than a Model S, except maybe smoother and different interface
  • "Oh so little faith" in regards to Model 3 having more range than Bolt
    • Everyone took this to mean at a similar price, the Model 3 would have similar or better range than a Bolt, but it doesn't. The Model S already has better range than a Bolt, but it's more expensive. This is also the case for the Model 3.
  • Even a base car at $35,000 will be better than any comparable car in its class
    • Questionable. Sure, the driving dynamics and minimalist design seems amazing. But at 35k, you don't get fog lights, covered center console, ACC?, no leather, basic sound system, no special phone chargers..... a lot of little features missing from other 35k cars.
I hate to break this to you, but deception ≠ disappointment. Most of your rant has to do with your personal disappointment after reading a bit too much into Musk's statements and building up unrealistic expectations. That's not deceptive on Musk's part, just foolish on yours.
 

AnxietyRanger

Well-Known Member
Aug 22, 2014
9,408
7,399
EU
I hate to break this to you, but deception ≠ disappointment. Most of your rant has to do with your personal disappointment after reading a bit too much into Musk's statements and building up unrealistic expectations. That's not deceptive on Musk's part, just foolish on yours.

Nah, not quite that simple IMO - there was some hype there too. Elon left stuff hanging and said things where he should have known better.
 

Canuck

Well-Known Member
Nov 30, 2013
6,125
5,468
South Surrey, BC
Will they eventually start actually offering a $35K car? Probably. but they haven't done it yet, just announced that they plan to do it.

Right, how dare Tesla announce plans to sell a $35k Model 3 before they actually sell one. The should sell it first, then announce it. Then again, there'd be no reason for the announcement if they were already selling it for that price, but let's not let logic get in the way of bashing Tesla, like you rightly did with the 40. Now that story would have made sense, and actually had a point to it, if they never sold a 40, after they announced it, but again let's not apply logic since it gets in the way of making sense of your arguments.
 

AnxietyRanger

Well-Known Member
Aug 22, 2014
9,408
7,399
EU
So he set high expectations, I still don't think that rises to the title of "deception". That's exceedingly harsh. Now with Enhanced Autopilot and related matters, I might tend to agree.

Would probably need deeper analysis than I can be bothered with. :) Agree that EAP is different, though.
 

Economite

Member
Dec 19, 2016
464
429
Los Angeles
Right, how dare Tesla announce plans to sell a $35k Model 3 before they actually sell one. The should sell it first, then announce it. Then again, there'd be no reason for the announcement if they were already selling it for that price, but let's not let logic get in the way of bashing Tesla, like you rightly did with the 40. Now that story would have made sense, and actually had a point to it, if they never sold a 40, after they announced it, but again let's not apply logic since it gets in the way of making sense of your arguments.

There was never a point at which the S40 was simultaneously (i) available for actual delivery and (ii) offered for sale to folks who hadn't preordered/reserved while it wasn't actually available. They essentially cancelled the product and only then offered to deliver it (or really a software limited 60) to folks who had preordered the S40. To me, that's the definition of vaporware. I'm not saying that their intent all along was to never really sell the S40, I'm just saying that this is what wound up happening.
 
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30seconds

Active Member
Feb 28, 2013
2,160
5,121
SF
There was never a point at which the S40 was simultaneously (i) available for actual delivery and (ii) offered for sale to folks who hadn't preordered/reserved while it wasn't actually available. They essentially cancelled the product and only then offered to deliver it (or really a software limited 60) to folks who had preordered the S40. To me, that's the definition of vaporware. I'm not saying that their intent all along was to never really sell the S40, I'm just saying that this is what wound up happening.

Fascinating description of vaporware - here is the product we advertised and was sold to customers as promised, but we cancelled due to lack of demand.

what other new definitions do you have?
 
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Lloyd

Well-Known Member
Jan 12, 2011
6,252
2,039
San Luis Obispo, CA
filling up only takes like 5-7 mins, oil change every year (we only drive like 5k miles per year). so not literally unlimited, but better than having to wait a half hour at a supercharger 2 hours into our trip.

I wanted Model 3 to be anazing, but the base model barely conpetes with a Civic.

The average fuel stop is 12 minutes. I leave my garage with a 'full tank' of electrons every morning. I spend less time charging on my longer trips at superchargers than I would have If I have to spend the 12 minutes at the gas pump every time I fill up!!

After you have been driving an electric car for awhile you will 'get it '!! :cool:
 
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montreid

Member
Apr 6, 2016
237
173
san diego,ca
Sour grapes -- $35,000 car is coming in Dec-Feb for current owners and new buyers who had faith in the process on Day 1 are getting in Quarter 1 2018. For those waiting to 'show me the money' product before reserving -- sure, there's 400,000 reservations ahead of you and that may put a damper on your purchase --- for those, there's always the Leaf
 

Uncle Paul

Well-Known Member
Nov 1, 2013
6,106
6,609
Canyon Lake,CA
Don'f forget...a $35,000 Model 3 is actually a $25,000 for those getting a $10,000 tax credit. Makes it a pretty good bargin for all that you get. You also get some ongoing savings with electric miles being less expensive than gasoline miles.
 

JSkrehot

Member
May 15, 2016
172
81
Martinez, Ca
I waited in line for 3+ hours on a chilly 3/31/16 morning in Seattle to put down a $1,000 deposit toward a $35k Tesla. Does that somehow further legitimize my disappointment?

I'm coming from a decently optioned, cheaper-than-a-Model 3 Acura. It's been relatively cheap to maintain, and at around 5,500 miles per year (my daily commuter is a bicycle), cheap to fuel/drive.
It absolutely does not further legitimize it. Sounds like you put your deposit down site unseen. Good for you. I did not know about this car until 36 hours after its unveil unfortunately. However, you watched the unveil and the car has delivered everything it promised. So why the gripe? Sounds like you were set on a 35k version from the get go, awesome. When they unveiled it, they estimated 215 miles and you seemed to comment you were excited then, so why not excited now with 220? The interior is better than the current S models (not knowing what type of material seats will be made of in the base version) but the door pockets, center console and such. I just am not understanding the disappointment? Did you watch any of the videos from the rides after the event? They looked amazing.
 

lynnpt2001

Cookie Monster MX & M3
Sep 9, 2015
475
549
Greencastle PA
Not sure if I am in the right spot but I cancelled my reservation today, I have been emotional all day since then. I LOVE tesla in so many ways but as I have read in here I am also so dissapointed with the pricing of this car. I would consider getting a used S with Autopilot #1, you get so much more car for the money. I priced a model 2 rear wheel drive only it would add up to over 60K....sorry but that is too much for what you get......maybe the future will change and I can reconsider.
 

calisnow

Banned
Oct 11, 2014
2,867
4,650
Los Angeles
Not sure if I am in the right spot but I cancelled my reservation today, I have been emotional all day since then. I LOVE tesla in so many ways but as I have read in here I am also so dissapointed with the pricing of this car. I would consider getting a used S with Autopilot #1, you get so much more car for the money. I priced a model 2 rear wheel drive only it would add up to over 60K....sorry but that is too much for what you get......maybe the future will change and I can reconsider.
You're disappointed that Tesla priced the car at $35K as they promised eh? Anyway - buying a used, depreciated high end car will always give you more bang for buck than a new, cheaper car - that's economics. Applies to new C class Benz vs used S Class, BMW, Audi and everybody else.
 
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yesup

Member
Oct 13, 2014
321
273
Toronto
  • The controls are like a spaceship
    • Not much different than a Model S, except maybe smoother and different interface

I am beginning to think that the "spaceship" like control that Elon mentioned could be referring to the fact that Model 3 uses software, two dials in steering wheel and touch screen to control everything, including vents direction control, opening the glove box, side mirrors adjustment, steering wheel adjustment.... etc.
 

AnxietyRanger

Well-Known Member
Aug 22, 2014
9,408
7,399
EU
Fascinating description of vaporware - here is the product we advertised and was sold to customers as promised, but we cancelled due to lack of demand.

what other new definitions do you have?

Lack of demand was their claim, though. I guess some people do not believe that is true and that other reasons caused it to be cancelled and thus the 40 kWh battery indeed ended up as vaporware. Mind you, I'm not saying there was any deception as those who ordered got replacement cars (software limited 60 kWh), but 40 kWh did end up as vaporware.

The given reason of lack of demand is problematic. After all, a car Tesla only took pre-orders for in very limited regions, for a limited time and then cancelled is hardly proof of longer-term demand. Just like it isn't when ICE manufacturers make an EV, limit its availability radically, and then say there was no demand. It is very hard to analyze from that what the actual demand might have been.

IMO it seems likely Tesla's profit margin on the 40 kWh played a part.
 

AnxietyRanger

Well-Known Member
Aug 22, 2014
9,408
7,399
EU
I am beginning to think that the "spaceship" like control that Elon mentioned could be referring to the fact that Model 3 uses software, two dials in steering wheel and touch screen to control everything, including vents direction control, opening the glove box, side mirrors adjustment, steering wheel adjustment.... etc.

While a cancelled, radically different steering wheel is possible, and we know they worked on different steering wheel designs, I am still leaning on an augmented reality HUD having been a part of that plan (possibly with a different steering wheel, of course, or not). Whether or not one appears later on remains to be seen.
 

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