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Third way on MidCat, now BarMar / also 2.2GW Biscay link delayed




 
WTI $84.6/bbl
Brent $92.8/bbl
NL TTF gas €111MWh (EU Natural Gas - 2022 Data - 2010-2021 Historical - 2023 Forecast - Price - Quote)

Natural gas futures linked to TTF, Europe's wholesale gas price, were trading around the €120 per megawatt-hour mark [now €111], close to a level not seen since early June, as the European Union stepped up efforts to tackle soaring energy prices and fuel supply crunches. Governments came together to back urgent measures, including a price cap, on top of a plan to set up joint natural gas purchases

Germany nigh-on agrees to gas price cap

Poland does 3.3GW solar

Poland may replace 10GW lignite plant

Flow battery hopium

Lightning offshore

Estonia 1.2GW offshore

2GW offshore Australia

Texas VPP
 
WTI $84.7/bbl
Brent $93.3/bbl
NL TTF gas €95MWh (EU Natural Gas - 2022 Data - 2010-2021 Historical - 2023 Forecast - Price - Quote)

NL TTF below €100, a new low since early June and about 70% down from the highs of August as fears over shortages in winter eased again. The weather in Europe is expected to remain milder than usual for this time of the year until the end of the month.

Maybe Russia can get the tankers, opinions vary on this though, I guess we find out in Dec

Shale floor not tempting, mostly I hear fraccers aren't very attractive under $80 so a $72 buy floor isn't going to do much

Solar tiles from Oz @ 19!

Chinese solar juggernaut

Hydrogen matters

 
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WTI $85.6/bbl
Brent $94.2/bbl
NL TTF gas €98MWh (EU Natural Gas - 2022 Data - 2010-2021 Historical - 2023 Forecast - Price - Quote)

More Russian ZPPN transgressions

Tesla not yet using China-Europe trains, other BEV car makers are

Nordstream insurance vortex

German nukes to run on
and

Slovene nuke goes critical

Poland gives China nuclear chill pill, and Russia !

Russian rails go bang

Finland Russia freight rail halts
 
WTI $86.9/bbl
Brent $94.8/bbl
NL TTF gas €103MWh (EU Natural Gas - 2022 Data - 2010-2021 Historical - 2023 Forecast - Price - Quote)

Of EU gas corridors ...

Singapore will bet big on hydrogen hub methinks

Chinese solar juggernaut
... spot the scale difference with USA

Indian for dodgy grids

Massive scale differences :-

800MW for US offshore, construction start, 20-years late ...........

5GW offshore Denmark

43 GW offshore Gunangdong

Serbian pathway .... note EU has said the rail itself will get EU funding and be under EU majority control ... they are fed up with China strategy ...

Trieste port railfreight decongestion .... note has implications for Tesla as this is one of the locations Tesla ships to
 
WTI $89.0/bbl
Brent $96.8/bbl
NL TTF gas €107MWh (EU Natural Gas - 2022 Data - 2010-2021 Historical - 2023 Forecast - Price - Quote)

Natural gas futures linked to TTF, Europe's wholesale gas price, traded near €100 per megawatt-hour in late October, hovering close to levels not seen since mid-June, and remaining less than a third of their summer peak of €339. Unusually warm weather which is likely to hold until mid-November, high flows of LNG and a strong storage built have eased some pressure on the gas market in the last two months. European storage is almost 94% full and Germany nearly 98%, which would cover around two months of gas usage during a cold weather. Meanwhile, EU energy ministers failed to reach an agreement on an energy price cap this Tuesday as divergences remain and a lot of details were left to be decided, including the level of the cap, with a new meeting set for November 24th. At the same time, gas flows from Russia via Ukraine have been stable but those via the Nord Stream 1 remained at zero.
- actually stocks are even higher as LNG tankers are loitering offshore

No credible path for 1.5C in place

Glimmers of hope in the ashes

Russian oil cap trying

DUNC stocks rewind 10-years

and Venezuela not attractive

GE struggles to make the switch, just like legacy auto struggle ....

1GW offshore Taiwan

Solar doing well in Brazil

Utilities need to smell the coffee ...."Several speakers who represented fleet owners and vehicle manufacturers had a clear message for utilities when it comes to fleet electrification: Fleet owners are electrifying, many fleet vehicle OEMs have staked their future on electrification, and utilities must be ready now…not three, or five, or more years down the road. Those outside the utility industry don’t understand why a utility needs months to answer questions about charging infrastructure availability, rate structure data, and other information they need to help them determine when and what to electrify. They are even more perplexed when their utility tells them it could take years to build the infrastructure necessary to support their plans to move to electric vehicles. Some fleet owners have ordered vehicles and expect to charge them where and when required as soon as those vehicles are put into service. "

15MW heading offshore

100% smart metering 15-minute basis, next year in Finland

5x heat pumps

Fear bigger motivator than cost in USA solar

Fear not enough to win coal more profit

Eeek .... space based solar microwave .... doing the maths

About those bangs
 
WTI $87.8/bbl
Brent $95.8/bbl
NL TTF gas €109MWh (EU Natural Gas - 2022 Data - 2010-2021 Historical - 2023 Forecast - Price - Quote)

Lights difficult in Kiev

Very large oil profits

Europe gas use reduced

UK main gas storage field partially recommissioned

Net zero naturally

Join the dots : BMW ... CATL .... Hungary ..... railfreight ..... rapid factory build .................................... ????

Building renovation ugly duckling

Construction start on that China compressed air scale up
 
WTI $86.1/bbl
Brent $94.6/bbl
NL TTF gas €122MWh (EU Natural Gas - 2022 Data - 2010-2021 Historical - 2023 Forecast - Price - Quote)

Permanent demand destruction weapon

European gas pricing

Wot no hydrogen

Big PV

China talks politics

China talks depression

China unreported

Legacy automotive rare earth slackers

But copper constraint bites now

Hydrogen mixing political and technical risk, maybe even geographoc risk

Excess LFP goes places

BP - Herz - together

Big Vestas 15MW blade

Regular Moscow-Iran-India train

Ukraine rail gauge stuff
and
 
WTI $88.3/bbl
Brent $94.7/bbl
NL TTF gas €115MWh (EU Natural Gas - 2022 Data - 2010-2021 Historical - 2023 Forecast - Price - Quote)

Ukraine wants to show clean nuclear hands
and

BarMar not quick fix (but at least its progress after 40 years !)

Adamas BEV / etc battery report - H1 2022 update out

UK has a problem attracting jobs, Italy does not, no prizes for why (Brexit)

That copper problem (rpt)

Danish money puzzle

Polan bets both ways - USA and Korea
and

Not just a solar FIT scheme, also batteries

Dubai at 1.8GW

USA coal exists accelerate

96% to go

Heavy metal

Pakistan rail - is this supposed to go via the Kujerab ?
 
WTI $90.1/bbl
Brent $96.2/bbl
NL TTF gas €125MWh (EU Natural Gas - 2022 Data - 2010-2021 Historical - 2023 Forecast - Price - Quote)

.... oil prices creeping up again .... and gas ..... more demand destruction required .... the punishment beatings will continue until morale improves ....

Subsidy-free wind building out

China eye on coal

Either way US coal is going down

VPP for Peurto Rico

UK faces reality

Railfreight Europe volumes recovering

Afghan rail ... the eternal game

Russia-Iran rail ... also was up to Finland ....
 
WTI $89.0/bbl
Brent $95.5/bbl
NL TTF gas €125MWh (EU Natural Gas - 2022 Data - 2010-2021 Historical - 2023 Forecast - Price - Quote)

Non-papers ...........

Recessions everywhere, ongoing, long lasting

Chinese gas ..... peak ?

US progress

Canadian teeth

Aluminium quandaries

Solar efficiencies keep rising

Home efficiencies more problematic

M&A in storage

Chinese solar juggernaut

Georgia (USA) nukes almost there

Afghan rail ... wrong government
 
WTI $91.5/bbl
Brent $97.7/bbl
NL TTF gas €116MWh (EU Natural Gas - 2022 Data - 2010-2021 Historical - 2023 Forecast - Price - Quote)

Dutch gas defence

G7 oil price fixing ..... remind me again what the IEA was supposed to be for

UN worries re CoP etc

Because ...

IMF view

Solar M&A

2GW for Cambodia

ASHP going cold

More China-Europe rail capacity

Keep an eye out for Musk having to fund a cash call at Twitter
 
WTI $91.5/bbl
Brent $97.7/bbl
NL TTF gas €116MWh (EU Natural Gas - 2022 Data - 2010-2021 Historical - 2023 Forecast - Price - Quote)

Dutch gas defence
I would be in favor of some price cap like 250€/MWh for gas, that spike to 350 in August was example market is stupid for short term moves and price above 200€ already destroys most demand and allows as much supply as physically possible, maybe cap should be often adjusted compared to Asia benchmarks to allow extra gas to be diverted to Europe, but no limit and stupid high NordPool electricity cap of 4€/MWh of NordPool doesn't make sense...
 
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Keep an eye out for Musk having to fund a cash call at Twitter
We have no idea how much of the 6 billion TWTR had is still around, but knowing EM’s proclivities with TSLA I would guess at least a couple of bill are left over. This should provide at least two years of a ramp before EM may have to do something really stupid, like sell TSLA to finance TWTR (although if TSLA is at 600 at that time then maybe is good idea for him?). I am optimistic this is not an issue.
 
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We have no idea how much of the 6 billion TWTR had is still around, but knowing EM’s proclivities with TSLA I would guess at least a couple of bill are left over. This should provide at least two years of a ramp before EM may have to do something really stupid, like sell TSLA to finance TWTR (although if TSLA is at 600 at that time then maybe is good idea for him?). I am optimistic this is not an issue.
Musk has said that Twitter is losing $4m/day. If that is per every 365-days then that is $1.5 billion/year. Musk may be catching a falling knife.

(I watch with interest and caution for my TSLA holding)
 
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Musk has said that Twitter is losing $4m/day. If that is per every 365-days then that is $1.5 billion/year. Musk may be catching a falling knife.

(I watch with interest and caution for my TSLA holding)
Wise to watch for certain.

But Musk likes to talk about how his factories are cash incinerators a few months before they become cash generators.

And the four million a day was before half the staff was laid off.

Also if he kept 3 bill on hand that is a two year runway.
 
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WTI $92.6/bbl
Brent $98.6/bbl
NL TTF gas €109MWh (EU Natural Gas - 2022 Data - 2010-2021 Historical - 2023 Forecast - Price - Quote)

Climate hotting up despite La Nina

LNG eases

UK Conned

Solar to H2 actually happening in China

Sewing 2GW solar

More evidence of solar price increases

Lithania offshore subsidy free PDQ

Ireland talks big offshore 30GW

Germany talks big offshore 30GW

China-Europe rail volumes affected by Russian invasion of Ukraine

...... and Estonia

one way traffic ...

Integrated planning for post-conflict Ukraine rail
 
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WTI $91.1/bbl
Brent $97.4/bbl
NL TTF gas €115MWh (EU Natural Gas - 2022 Data - 2010-2021 Historical - 2023 Forecast - Price - Quote)

Now, about that USA protectionism

ECT woes

Europe gas deals

Emissions & pledges

Know your diesels

African conundrum

1GW floaters Taiwan

Siemens gets it all

Train not wanted

Train wanted