Then you are doomed.
The test drive makes believers out of a lot of people. It is also good for converting SO's who may be less than enthused about "spending that much money" on a car...
My test drive is on 4 Sept. A P85 too. But I am very interested to see how it will affect my view of the Model S.
Reason? I was convinced of this car from the time I saw the first concept pictures and proposed specs. In those days I thought "what a great looking car (remember the prototype interior for example?) and what great, unbelievable EV specs, what a range, what a great bargain (remember the original website stated the top range together with the base price which was very misleading, but still)".
Then came the "Alpha" and I thought "phew, what happened to that car? What a ghastly interior, and why did they change the great prototype rear end?".
Anyway, come the "Betas" and the October "Get amped" event with all the associated videos on Youtube where you could finally see (as a European) moving, almost finished, Model S's. When I saw those videos my first impression then was "Ok, what a performance! Screw the interior and some other design shortcomings, I have to have such a car."
Now fast forward to the present day. The European pricing is out (and the reality is, the Model S now is way over the budget I had thought I would need all those years ago), the shortcomings are known (at least those that for me make the car quite a little less attractive), and I even have sat in one here in Germany, to see that those shortcomings are not just some nits picked by some here on the forums but things that really would bug me as a potential buyer.
All in all, I am not really convinced about the Model S anymore. I still like the great shape, I don't like much about the interior though. I still think the performance specs are great (on paper, I'm sure my test drive will convince me of them being more than real), I don't like many of the shortcomings though.
So I think after my test-drive, my conclusion will be "A Tesla is a great EV. The Model S (even though I have been hoping for years that it will be - and have told many people during those waiting years that this "will definitely be my next car") just isn't the Tesla that is right for me. I am therefor setting my hopes on Gen III. My current car can certainly keep me well motorized until 2017/2018, even though it will be almost 15 years old by then. Which, come to think of it, isn't really old, even for cars. Hell, I am 36, and were I a car, could call myself an oldtimer now ;-)
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I disagree. Many twenty-somethings literally cannot afford a car (or at least think they cannot). They may be saddled with student-loan debt, and may have been forced to move back in with their parents. In that situation, a car may seem like a luxury you can do without. A lot of middle-class families have been squeezed to the point where they cannot donate their older car to junior or help them buy one.
Another factor is that teenagers can interact with their friends by texting and using things like Facebook and Instagram. There is less desire to get out of the house to hang out with your friends than there used to be.
Which I see here as well and think it is a horrible trend. What could be better than to go out and do things with your friends, instead of sitting in front a machine (be it a PC at home or tablet/smartphone somehwere else)?
Oh and about the Model S becoming a common sight in some parts of the world. Over here it's still the "needle in a haystack" phenomenon. Yesterday I even thought I saw one go by here in Frankfurt, but when I walked closer I saw it was just a Jaguar XF (which looks quite like a Model S from the rear).
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This is the way I think of it.
(1) Some people don't want a car at all. (More every year, as statistics show, for whatever reason; many point to cellphones, which you can't use while driving.) No problem: they can walk, bike, ride an electric motorcycle, take an electric train, whatever. That's cool.
(2) However... among people who do want a car, or who don't want but need a car, basically everyone wants a Tesla. (Some just don't know it yet.)
(3) Among those people, those who can't afford a Tesla... still want an electric car.
(4) Only a shrinking leftover tiny minority actually wants a car which runs on dinosaur juice.
The end of the ICE age is nigh.
Would be nice if it were true, but here your theory holds only partly true:
(1) Some people don't want a car at all. => true here as well, but it is mainly two kinds of people: those who can't afford a car any longer (ever more people sadly) and those who just don't need one any longer, because they might live in a city where there is ample public transport, because they might be too old or too ill to be able to drive anymore (also ever more of those sadly) or because they live on the "share/don't own" philosophy that many young people seem to find attractive
(2) Among people who do want a car, or who don't want but need a car, basically ... basically no one has ever even heard of Tesla here.
(3) Among those people, those who can't afford a Tesla... still want an electric car. => only if they have had or seen a test drive of a Tesla ;-)
(4) Only a shrinking leftover tiny minority actually wants a car which runs on dinosaur juice. => a tiny minority of around 99.9 percent of current car buyers worldwide :tongue:
But seriously, I can get your drift.