I think we could get a wide release this year, but a highly gimped version that is super cautious and requires user confirmation or user takeover for any complex situation. Unprotected turns/straights and going around stopped cars would be at the top of that list. Whatever logic Tesla uses to determine if a car is stopped in the road and needs to be driven around is completely useless since it’s so dangerous right now, trying to initiate passing around cars that are stopped due to traffic and traffic signals/signs either Into the sidewalk or opposing lanes of traffic, sometimes with opposing traffic coming.
It seems subhuman if it frequently loses track of vehicles, as shown in the capture above. Humans are able to judge vehicle position and approximate speed. Humans do this screw this up occasionally to ill effect, certainly, but FSD will need to be substantially better than that of course.
4:15 - missed a right turn for no apparent reason. Good news it didn’t try to make a dangerous maneuver to fix it and instead re-routed smoothly.
10:40 - damn, you’re a braver man than me. I would have intervened immediately when it was moving to change lanes around the stopped lane. That looked damn close to scraping the car in front of it. I thought it might just be the camera angle for the vid and there was more space than I thought, but you said it was damn close too. Whew.
The flickering in and out could be many things, maybe the NN not detecting the object as it changes angles or comes out of view from one camera and into view of another. Computer vision tends to be very flakey like that.
well you are on the road with yahoos that have had a six pack after work, are texting to break up with their boyfriend, and who are just tired-really tired. In a few months I think I would rather have that Tesla FSD than many humans. Of course I am not saying it is good enough yet but I would say that progress seems to be accelerating. Seems tesla is well aware of the many issues and the progress you can see from release to release is heartening.
We’ve seen in other videos that it will try to pass other vehicles that it thinks are stopped in the road, when they are actually just obeying traffic signals and shouldn’t be passed at all, so there’s nothing to really glean from this vid, imo. The logic that Tesla is using to determine when to go around a vehicle is pretty broken right now and has produced the most dangerous fails requiring intervention behind unprotected turns.
