FSD Upgrade Install Date

[BrianS100D]

Hello All,

I was just curious if anyone has yet to get an install date for the WH3.0 FSD upgrade? I know during Tesla Autonomy Day Elon said to wait 3 months before the upgrades start.

Thank you,
--Brian

 

[ucmndd]

If this happens in 2019 I will eat my hat.

 

[luckyj]

While I'd love to get a HW3 update soon, sadly, I would bet that 3 years is a much more likely timeframe.

 

[KyleDay]

Let's all remember that Elon tweeted in October of 2018 that Enhanced Summon was "~6 weeks away". We're now in August 2019 with nothing yet.

If FSD retrofits are coming in "late Q4" (per Elon), place your wagers.

 

[zanary]

December 2019 or January 2020 is when we can get schedule the FSD upgrade from the mobile teams.

 

[Bumper]

I believe his disclaimer was that the hardware upgrades will start AFTER the software has progressed to where there are FSD features available that AP 2.x hardware can't handle. There is no point upgrading now since the software won't take advantage of it. We know new cars are shipping with AP 3.0 hardware so keep an eye out for when those cars can do FSD things the rest of the fleet can't. I also like the idea of waiting just in case there is a AP 3.1 revision with different radar/camera, etc. Why fill the service centers twice to do upgrades when you can wait to do it all at once when it is confirmed what is actually required.

 

[iqless]

it was February 30 of this year did you guys miss it

gotta wait for feb 30 2020

 

[bob_p]

Always difficult to project Musk time to real time...

Tesla may defer this until they've had a profitable quarter, since the HW3 upgrades will be done at no charge, so they'll incur hardware and service costs without realizing any new revenue.

The China trade deal could also be a factor, since Tesla is tariffs on the HW3 processor assembled in China.

Until there's software that can actually use the faster processor, there isn't any reason to roll out the upgrades - and there's considerable uncertainty as to when the software will be ready...

 

[RecklessFury]

I believe his disclaimer was that the hardware upgrades will start AFTER the software has progressed to where there are FSD features available that AP 2.x hardware can't handle. There is no point upgrading now since the software won't take advantage of it. We know new cars are shipping with AP 3.0 hardware so keep an eye out for when those cars can do FSD things the rest of the fleet can't. I also like the idea of waiting just in case there is a AP 3.1 revision with different radar/camera, etc. Why fill the service centers twice to do upgrades when you can wait to do it all at once when it is confirmed what is actually required.

This is what I was wondering. I don't want to get FSD if the new computers additional power is just sitting there. Not even for 3 grand. You have confirmed something I was looking for data on.

 

[croman]

Always difficult to project Musk time to real time...

Tesla may defer this until they've had a profitable quarter, since the HW3 upgrades will be done at no charge, so they'll incur hardware and service costs without realizing any new revenue.

The China trade deal could also be a factor, since Tesla is tariffs on the HW3 processor assembled in China.

Until there's software that can actually use the faster processor, there isn't any reason to roll out the upgrades - and there's considerable uncertainty as to when the software will be ready...

It's not no charge. We paid for it. Let's not be delusional.

 

[ucmndd]

It's not no charge. We paid for it. Let's not be delusional.

That has nothing to do with the fact it will cost them a bunch of real money and service labor they don’t have once they start doing the retrofits.