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Future Autopilot Hardware Rumors and Speculation

ord3r

Member
Jun 27, 2018
240
463
California
With Elon Musk commenting that HW4 could be introduced with the cybertruck, and rumors that this chip will use TSMC and go into production Q4 2021, seems like a decent time to partake in the time-honored forum tradition of baseless speculation and rumor mongering.:).

Elon Musk said on the earnings call new hardware is all about increasing the factor of safety, and that FSD remains achievable at greater than human safety levels on old hardware. He said this referring to the HW4 computer, but does anyone think Tesla will also revise the cameras used? Or even add more cameras? Or even other sensor hardware? Curious to hear if anyone has seen any hints of upcoming hardware in the public firmwares, or even just speculation on how the AP system may evolve in the next few years.
 

Tam

Well-Known Member
Nov 25, 2012
9,700
8,850
Visalia, CA
With Elon Musk commenting that HW4 could be introduced with the cybertruck, and rumors that this chip will use TSMC...

It's Samsung not TSMC

 
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J1mbo

Active Member
Aug 20, 2013
1,609
1,459
UK
I wonder if the chip will be an evolution of the FSD3 chip, or something more closely related to a dojo chip (single dojo chip is probably too hungry at 400W TDP).
 
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Tam

Well-Known Member
Nov 25, 2012
9,700
8,850
Visalia, CA
...revise the cameras used?...
I doubt it. The last camera revision was the color filtering but not anything else such as more processing power, sensitivity, pixels...
Or even add more cameras?...
Right now the configuration fits well for ADAS that a driver is still responsible for driving so I don't think there's an incentive to add cameras when Tesla has a free human driver to the job.
Or even other sensor hardware?...
Not for a foreseeable future but eventually, when LIDAR becomes a norm in other cars to reliably avoid collisions and if Tesla Pure Vision still won't reliably avoid collisions then maybe Tesla will be pressured to add more sensor hardware.
...how the AP system may evolve in the next few years...
Depends on who you ask. Elon Musk predicted that it would go driverless in 2020 with no human drivers in Robotaxis.
 

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