"Handover party for first 30 customer Model 3's on (July) 28th!"

[doctoxics]

I wonder what's different about "new technologies" since the Model S will not get the newer M3 battery cells.

The packs were the problem, not the cells.

 

[MP3Mike]

He just said they would have pictures of it soon, not (necessarily) that he was getting it for himself. I suppose you could jump to that conclusion, but all he said is that there would be pictures.

No he did say that he was getting it: "Ira Ehrenpreis had rights to 1st car as he was 1st to place a full deposit, but gave those rights to me as my 46th bday present. Tks Ira!"

 

[TEG]

Oh... Interesting... Thanks...

 

[winfield100]

Just as long as the delivery ceremony on the 28th is filmed and posted as usual, that allows everyone to enjoy the excitement.

Until then, be sure to stop by your nearest Tesla Store and enjoy sitting in the new 7 seat Model X. Try your hand at moving the seat backs and the manual movement of the two independent seat sections. It takes some practice to find the buttons and levers. Excellent design and I love the added arm rest areas in the third row of the 6 and 7 seat models. Congratulations to the design team for these improvements.

we went to tesla store in Tampa today and 30-50 of us met tesla energy folks and got nice intro to Solar panels (not shingles) and powerwall.

 

[HankLloydRight]

No he did say that he was getting it: "Ira Ehrenpreis had rights to 1st car as he was 1st to place a full deposit, but gave those rights to me as my 46th bday present. Tks Ira!"

oh good grief, I dislike 46 year-olds.

 

[FlatSix911]

Well, hopefully, some of the 30 will be regular employees rather than just executives, board members or major investors.

Not likely ... I suspect mostly VIPs and few employees

 

[EVNow]

SN1 picture ? Or this an old shot ?

Tesla makes its first Model 3

Edit : Nope. Just old clay.

 

[Stolz25]

SN1 picture ? Or this an old shot ?

Tesla makes its first Model 3

View attachment 234788

Old. That's the clay model with the sagging side mirror.

 

[Mark Z]

The copy in the story says: "not pictured as of this writing".

 

[22522]

Twitter

Twitter

 

[smak]

I doubt this car is one of the 30.

 

[Bennny]

Can you imagine the traffic hitting Tesla site when configurator goes live!

(Pardon the pun.....)

 

[winfield100]

Can you imagine the traffic hitting Tesla site when configurator goes live!

(Pardon the pun.....)

refreshes site
Model 3 | Tesla

 

[Vostok]

Seems too much, taking into account that a 20K/month rate will be reached 'somewhere' in december. This means 5K/week during 1 week in a two workweek month of december, at best.

You spurred me on to tweak my model so that the 5k/week production rate is hit in the final week of December rather than just assuming 20k total in December. I fitted a cubic polynomial to the data points and the updated model predicts:

• 111 cars in August
• 1486 in September
• 4070 in October
• 8909 in November
  
• 16,476 in December
• 2017 Total: 31,081 cars (including the 30 cars delivered at the reveal).

So a lot less than the un-tweaked model 39k estimate.

 

[AZ Desert Driver]

I don't know anyone that's ever been killed by thunder. However dozens get killed every year by lighting.

And notice it is guys/gals 3 to one....probable started with "hold my beer, watch this!!"

 

[electracity]

So a lot less than the un-tweaked model 39k estimate.

Historically have the run production the last week of the year?

 

[electracity]

A board member passed his first right on to Elon for his birthday.

So two highly privileged part timers being bros.

 

[PaulusdB]

You spurred me on to tweak my model so that the 5k/week production rate is hit in the final week of December rather than just assuming 20k total in December. I fitted a cubic polynomial to the data points and the updated model predicts:

• 111 cars in August
• 1486 in September
• 4070 in October
• 8909 in November
  
• 16,476 in December
• 2017 Total: 31,081 cars (including the 30 cars delivered at the reveal).

So a lot less than the un-tweaked model 39k estimate.

Thanks for your effort, V.
That brings me to an estimate of 22,500 Model 3 cars for 2017. (Due to holidays and non-perfect execution.)

 

[AlMc]

Given that many analysts put deliveries for 2017 at <1, I am good with anything close to 20k.

 

[EVNow]

You spurred me on to tweak my model so that the 5k/week production rate is hit in the final week of December rather than just assuming 20k total in December. I fitted a cubic polynomial to the data points and the updated model predicts:

• 111 cars in August
• 1486 in September
• 4070 in October
• 8909 in November
  
• 16,476 in December
• 2017 Total: 31,081 cars (including the 30 cars delivered at the reveal).

So a lot less than the un-tweaked model 39k estimate.

See my post here.

Model 3 delivery estimator

For my polynomial I get a total of about 35k.