"Handover party for first 30 customer Model 3's on (July) 28th!"

[HankLloydRight]

The talk that the first 30 cars will be hand made is non sense.

Fine, believe whatever you want, but if you saw the status of the M3 line four weeks ago, you'd agree that there's no way it would be production ready so soon to crank out even one car.

 

[Garlan Garner]

My reservation e-mail says Model 3 Production is set to begin in Late 2017.

July 28 isn't late 2017.

You are 100% correct. My reservation page says the exact same thing.

Why don't all of those who are complaining about the low startup production numbers here talk about the early Production date here in July?

Hello? Is this thing on?

 

[brianman]

if you saw the status of the M3 line four weeks ago, you'd agree that there's no way it would be production ready so soon [~mid-July?] to crank out even one car.

Hank, how long do you think it would take (middle-of-the-road estimate, neither conservative nor aggressive) to move from the "four weeks ago" state of the line to production ready? 3 months?

 

[Garlan Garner]

Fine, believe whatever you want, but if you saw the status of the M3 line four weeks ago, you'd agree that there's no way it would be production ready so soon to crank out even one car.

I wouldn't agree to that. Due to the NDA, no one can say anything anyway.

Lastly. 8 weeks of 24/7 production line assembly with hundreds of folks working on it is very doable. They STILL have 3 weeks left.

 

[mmd]

So far the Musk projection that was most off is related to Bolt sales. He guessed up to 30k in 2017.

That's nowhere close to the 10000 Tesla Model S Elon said he will sell in Germany in 2015
Elon Musk is Confident of Prospect to Sell 10,000 Cars Annually in Germany

The goal is to achieve 10,000 sales per year by 2015, with a car that starts from €71,400, but you can pay up to €109,150 for a fully,

it also pales when compared to the hundreds of millions and billions projected in Powerwall sales in 2015.

 

[HankLloydRight]

Hank, how long do you think it would take (middle-of-the-road estimate, neither conservative nor aggressive) to move from the "four weeks ago" state of the line to production ready? 3 months?

I would believe that Elon's estimate of 1500 cars in September would be real, production line created cars. That seems very realistic to me.

 

[HankLloydRight]

Lastly. 8 weeks of 24/7 production line assembly with hundreds of folks working on it is very doable. They STILL have 3 weeks left.

Sure, to complete construction of the line, that seems reasonable. But that's not a running, tuned production line building deliverable cars.

 

[SageBrush]

I am just WAITING for a Model 3 head to head vs the Bolt!!!

Me too ;-)

I agree with the rest of your jibe, though

 

[FloridaJohn]

If I recall, there are eventually going to be three production lines for the Model 3. It's possible that the first line is complete, and what everyone on the tour saw was the beginning of construction for lines two or three. If that is the case, then the start of production will begin with line one, and they will ramp up production by speeding up line one and adding lines two and three as they are ready.

 

[Garlan Garner]

Tesla is rolling

Sure, to complete construction of the line, that seems reasonable. But that's not a running, tuned production line building deliverable cars.

Sure it is. As long as it can produce 1 car.....its a production line.

Oh yeah...that's right....they are only producing 1 car this Friday ( 3 Weeks earlier than the 29th ).

All I need is 1. Once all of the reservations are done.....Tesla would have produced 399,999.00 Model 3's of no interest to me. I won't care if mine was produced on the line...or by hand....or on Mars. LOL

 

[03DSG]

You are 100% correct. My reservation page says the exact same thing.

Why don't all of those who are complaining about the low startup production numbers here talk about the early Production date here in July?

Hello? Is this thing on?

Garlan, Email yes Read that. My Tesla reservation page actually reads "Production is planned to begin in 2017".

 

[smartypnz]

Wow!!! Love it when the shorts get nervous!!!

"Always with the negative waves".... Kelly's Heroes.

As for the configurator - break out the popcorn!!

 

[electracity]

I'm 99.99% sure his internal goals are far, far, far more aggressive and that actual production pace has excellent chance of going much faster than stated

He faked the model X launch.

 

[HankLloydRight]

Oh yeah...that's right....they are only producing 1 car this Friday ( 3 Weeks earlier than the 29th ).

Not done on the production line.

 

[timk225]

Let's not forget how fast Tesla has moved on the Model 3 project. They had Alpha prototypes only 16 months ago, and on the first day of the reveal, when 115,000 people screamed "SHUT UP AND TAKE MY MONEY!!!!!!", they said "oh man, we'd better accelerate our plans quite a bit". Then reservations quickly shot to 400,000+.

Then there's all that Spacex has done, the new powerwalls and 2170 batteries, building out the Gigafactory, building the Fremont assembly lines and buying additional warehouses for storage, Tesla Solar, etc.

They've been very busy.

Having said all that, I want to know if the 3 will have a CCS port or adapter RIGHT NOW!!!!!!!

 

[gizmoboy]

I reserved at the March 2016 M3 reveal party, and am an existing owner. But I'll most likely wait for the AWD version whenever that gets released.

Ditto. The D configuration is important to me for performance and efficiency reasons. Disappointed it won't be sooner, but I'm willing to wait...

 

[Garlan Garner]

Not done on the production line.

Do you have a link or a source?

 

[insaneoctane]

... Chevy has done the Bolt wrong. Sure, they made a long range electric car affordable to the masses, but it has no infrastructure in place nor does it have any public backing from the main company. It's just a toy to them to get you in their dealerships so they can sell you something else.

The Model 3 is going to be a huge game changer. I know for sure all these people driving around in their 3 series, C class's will be itching to trade their rides in for the Tesla. In my area, there are a ton of BMW's and Mercedes's. The higher end scale lineups have been giving way to Tesla models S and X.

The revolution is just around the corner.

I totally agree with this. I personally have been trying to decide if the Chevy Bolt would answer the mail for me. I decided that the cheaper price* and actual availability wasn't enough to overcome the Tesla train. Tesla has built the infrastructure and continues to expand it. Plus the Tesla brand is absolutely on fire right now and that makes the M3 cooler than the Bolt without even looking at the cars. Then when I look at them, well although beauty is in the eyes of the beholder, the M3 destroyes the Bolt! Anyway, Chevrolet has tried and done an admirable job, but it ain't no Tesla.
*I know that the Bolt is more expensive on paper, but I expect Tesla to really squeeze us trying to maximum profit. Supply and demand says they should, even if I don't like it.

 

[HankLloydRight]

Do you have a link or a source?

Nope (not yet, anyway).

But what I saw four weeks ago? No way SN1 is built on that line five weeks later. If that line was running, I'd expect to see a lot more than 130 cars produced in two months time.

But I don't have to convince anyone if you believe otherwise (with no link or source).

 

[cdub]

I want to know if the 3 will have a CCS port or adapter RIGHT NOW!!!!!!!

It won't. Maybe an adapter you can buy later for all Teslas. Certainly not coming with car.