More proof that burst numbers are never achievable in sustained production...
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Highest production VIN in the wild
- Thread starter insaneoctane
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- Model 3
More proof that burst numbers are never achievable in sustained production...
EV-lutioin
Active Member
McMountain
Member
Reciprocity
Active Member
Dont know if everyone is aware, but when you report a vin as 32xx, the systems that are automatically grabbing those Vins use 55 in place of the xx so 3255. So 82xx could be reported as 8255 up to 100 times and be legitimate. Ore then likely its the same people reiterating the same 82xx that everyone has seen.
Only a matter of time before someone reports how many of them are AWD VINs.
My guess is 0. They registered what they needed for test vehicles, and won't need any more dual motor VINs for a few more months.
How does this tracker know exactly hoe many more were registered? On the NHTSA site, 12436 is confirmed as a VIN, but 12435 for example says "error VIN not valid"
Did you change the check digit in the VIN? For 12345 the check digit (9th digit in the VIN) would be 4. So the full VIN for Model 3 # 12345 would be 5YJ3E1EA4JF012435 which does show up as a valid VIN on the NHTSA site: Recalls. Whoever setup that Model 3 VINs account on Twitter has some program that they run to keep checking the NHTSA site for new VINs and I'm pretty sure they've set it up to properly calculate the check digits as well as check for dual motors configs, etc.
You can use this VIN calculator to find the correct check digit for a VIN: Alton's VIN Calculator Results
EV-lutioin
Active Member
This graph seems to be going in the wrong direction We Set Out to Crack Tesla's Biggest Mystery: How Many Model 3s It's Making
navguy12
Active Member
I think it is accurately illustrating what is really happening. There has been some sort of pause (once again).
VINs should be well over 10,000 by this time.
iwannam3
Active Member
Is the pause from installing the battery assembly equipment from Germany in the Gigafactory? Wasn't that supposed to happen in March?
voip-ninja
Give me some sugar baby
iwannam3
Active Member
Because there isn't enough space in the Gigafactory for multiple production lines?
Weren't they supposed to be manually building battery modules because the equipment was faulty? The German stuff must be replacing the poorly operating manually assisted line so production goes to zero at that point.
RTPEV
Active Member
It's because they overestimated production rate for the past few weeks and now that we have insideevs estimate for February which is lower than those high estimates predicted they have to compensate in the other direction to make the numbers work out
When has Tesla ever been that on top of their time estimate?! Never. If they say March we will be lucky if it’s installed March 31st. I think the pause is something else, InsideEVs suggests “robot timing” from a source as someone else said above. Seems like an odd time to have robot timing issues after they have already been running but admittedly I know nothing about robots maybe someone else here is more familiar.
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I don't follow. Why couldn't the new and old lines operate simultaneously? Plenty of space and no shortage of raw materials (I hope).
