Highest production VIN in the wild

[JRP3]

Yup Tesla Semi is using ‘a bunch’ of Model 3 electric motors, says Elon Musk
Sneak peek at Tesla Semi's four Model 3 electric motors and gearbox

 

[omgwtfbyobbq]

And NUMMI under Toyota and GM was able to crank out 6000 cars a week, and Tesla is going to do 10,000 from this factory. I'll wait and see

NUMMI was at 8200+ units/week in 2006 including holidays/etc.

Up to May 2010, NUMMI built an average of 6000 vehicles a week, or nearly eight million cars and trucks since opening in 1984.[15][16] In 1997, NUMMI produced 357,809 cars and trucks,[17] peaking at 428,633 units in 2006.[14]

NUMMI - Wikipedia

I wouldn't be surprised if NUMMI could produce more, but GM backed out before the next gen Corolla was introduced, so we never found out.

 

[chrishu]

I believe the VINs are not sequential in terms of assignment and delivery because of following reasons

• Choice of color (cars of color in most demand are produced first.Produce batch of say white cars and then move to other color)
• Delivery location (Farther distance from CA later the delivery)
• Quality problems (Car may be produced but not delivered because of quality problems.They can fix the problems and deliver car quickly but I guess they are holding back these cars investigating what went wrong in production)

Looking at the VIN data we should see VINs around 14K by march end. So that extrapolates to about 10K production and 8K deliveries. I am fairly certain now that deliveries will be around 8K. Production number could go up to 12-13K depending on production ramp in last 2 weeks.

I think the most logical would be that they collect the cars per 8 at the fremont staging lot for a specific delivery location. You can see that they are doing the per 8, thing if you watch one of the drone flyovers in fremont factory. Once they have 6 or 7 or 8 cars ready for a specific delivery location , they load them on a car carrier and phone each customer and give them their vin#. Then they can give them also a assurance that there car will be in the customers hand in a specific period. If you would give the vin# at production time, you have no idea how long it will take before the car leaves the fremont factory lot. It would also explain the low vin# that are still getting assigned. Those cars probably have been produced , 2 or 3 weeks ago, but due that some delivery locations, dont have a lot of orders in the current invite batches and before you come to 8 cars ready to ship to that "non busy" delivery location, some weeks can go over it. But offcourse "busy" delivery locations, will always have the highest vin# being sent as they are continually being emptied.

 

[BigMskiman]

A heap of about 40 M3's overflowed to a parking lot near my office on Fremont blvd. Highest VIN was 11xxx but there was no order to the VIN's. Donno the disposition of them at all.

 

[kengchang]

A heap of about 40 M3's overflowed to a parking lot near my office on Fremont blvd. Highest VIN was 11xxx but there was no order to the VIN's. Donno the disposition of them at all.
View attachment 287936

Isn't that the front of Fremont Delivery Center?

 

[BigMskiman]

Isn't that the front of Fremont Delivery Center?

No, towards Living Spaces by the bridge.

 

[mtndrew1]

A heap of about 40 M3's overflowed to a parking lot near my office on Fremont blvd. Highest VIN was 11xxx but there was no order to the VIN's. Donno the disposition of them at all.
View attachment 287936

If you could lick the door handle of that midnight silver one up front to officially tag it for me that would be super.

 

[RobStark]

And NUMMI under Toyota and GM was able to crank out 6000 cars a week, and Tesla is going to do 10,000 from this factory. I'll wait and see

And NUMMI never ran more than 1.5 shifts at a time. Because Corolla/Geo Prizm Toyota Matrix/Pontiac Vibe were never production constrained. They were demand constrained.

A car factory can run 3 40hr shifts per week running 7 days per week using time between shifts for maintenance.

 

[BigMskiman]

If you could lick the door handle of that midnight silver one up front to officially tag it for me that would be super.

There's another on left side I think.

 

[chrishu]

No I do not think they will get to 10,000 cars a without a $35,000 car, but again I don't think they will sell a $35,000 car

After they sell 100k model 3, it will all be 35k cars. So they will hit that when they are even doing 2500 cars/week.

 

[chrishu]

I am assuming here that highest VIN reported does not mean production has hit that number. Given the VINs are not sequentially assigned, so 14k- 2.7k (2017 production) gives around 11.3k so I am assuming production of around 10k since not all the VINs till 14k will be used.

I hope they can break 5000+ production in march 2018.

 

[bambam4171]

I hope they can break 5000+ production in march 2018.

I would think that is rather optimistic given that we still have to see evidence the can reach 2500

 

[tpatana]

I would think that is rather optimistic given that we still have to see evidence the can reach 2500

If he meant per month, it'd be only slightly above 1000/week.

 

[avoigt]

VIN 11188 spotted

https://photos.google.com/share/AF1...?key=bFZMazcyWE9ZeFZ0dWxNcksxa2hDd0RhLXNZVGZB

and 12755 reported in the spreadsheet!

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet...AJNfEF-vzj-vRo-3skcCXgO_Nc/edit#gid=331176608

 

[Electric700]

Wow, thanks for the update! It's really good to see they're approaching 15,000

 

[vigge50]

VIN 11188 spotted

https://photos.google.com/share/AF1...?key=bFZMazcyWE9ZeFZ0dWxNcksxa2hDd0RhLXNZVGZB

and 12755 reported in the spreadsheet!

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet...AJNfEF-vzj-vRo-3skcCXgO_Nc/edit#gid=331176608

When someone write 127XX the table count it as 12755 so for now we only know that someone have got 127XX.

 

[nvx1977]

@Troy the Y axis range on the VIN chart can finally be enlarged. Got a data point that's being clipped

 

[vigge50]

#Tesla registered 2,655 new #Model3 VINs. Highest VIN is 18540.

Model 3 VINs on Twitter

 

[vigge50]

VIN 1320X assign according to spreadsheet

 

[SlicedBr3ad]

VIN 1320X assign according to spreadsheet

Could it be that next week we finally get to see 14xxx and 15xxx assigned in the same week?! Really hoping for this to happen.