TMC is an independent, primarily volunteer organization that relies on ad revenue to cover its operating costs. Please consider whitelisting TMC on your ad blocker and becoming a Supporting Member. For more info: Support TMC

Historical Stock Movement

Discussion in 'TSLA Investor Discussions' started by bdy0627, May 15, 2019.

  1. bdy0627

    bdy0627 Active Member

    Joined:
    May 19, 2015
    Messages:
    3,487
    Location:
    Appleton, WI
    I've previously posted a lot of historical stock dips and climbs for reference and perspective. It can be particularly helpful to see similar periods in the past when it feels like the sky is falling. I thought it would be more helpful to post these in their own thread rather than cluttering the huge main thread with them.
     
    • Like x 3
    • Helpful x 1
    • Informative x 1
  2. bdy0627

    bdy0627 Active Member

    Joined:
    May 19, 2015
    Messages:
    3,487
    Location:
    Appleton, WI
    Our current downtrend is pretty similar to several previous downtrends. Here they are using an 8% volatility filter:

    Screen Shot 2019-05-15 at 7.34.11 PM.png

    Note that the total days is the number of trading days with the corresponding months.
     
    • Informative x 2
    • Helpful x 1
    • Like x 1
  3. bdy0627

    bdy0627 Active Member

    Joined:
    May 19, 2015
    Messages:
    3,487
    Location:
    Appleton, WI
    Here they are using a 15% volatility filter:

    Screen Shot 2019-05-15 at 7.36.00 PM.png
     
    • Helpful x 1
    • Like x 1
  4. bdy0627

    bdy0627 Active Member

    Joined:
    May 19, 2015
    Messages:
    3,487
    Location:
    Appleton, WI
    Here's the stock movement since the big climb in November 2018 using an 8% volatility filter:

    Screen Shot 2019-05-15 at 7.54.26 PM.png
     
    • Helpful x 1
    • Informative x 1
  5. bdy0627

    bdy0627 Active Member

    Joined:
    May 19, 2015
    Messages:
    3,487
    Location:
    Appleton, WI
    I plotted all the dips we've had since 2014 using 8% volatility. The top line lists the dips from 9% through 50%. There was only 1 dip of 8.x% so I left it off. The numbers below the line are the actual number of dips falling within that range. Down below shows the % of dips up to various ranges with % of dips over various ranges below that.

    Screen Shot 2019-05-16 at 7.07.30 PM.png
     
    • Helpful x 1
  6. bdy0627

    bdy0627 Active Member

    Joined:
    May 19, 2015
    Messages:
    3,487
    Location:
    Appleton, WI
    Here's a similar chart listing climbs.

    Screen Shot 2019-05-16 at 7.13.25 PM.png
     
  7. sunny-value

    sunny-value Member

    Joined:
    May 20, 2019
    Messages:
    78
    Location:
    new york
    Sorry, I may be missing something. How is this supposed to be used to make decisions?
     
  8. bdy0627

    bdy0627 Active Member

    Joined:
    May 19, 2015
    Messages:
    3,487
    Location:
    Appleton, WI
    Isn't it obvious? You should be adding very heavily to your short position this week.
     
    • Like x 1
    • Love x 1

Share This Page

  • About Us

    Formed in 2006, Tesla Motors Club (TMC) was the first independent online Tesla community. Today it remains the largest and most dynamic community of Tesla enthusiasts. Learn more.
  • Do you value your experience at TMC? Consider becoming a Supporting Member of Tesla Motors Club. As a thank you for your contribution, you'll get nearly no ads in the Community and Groups sections. Additional perks are available depending on the level of contribution. Please visit the Account Upgrades page for more details.


    SUPPORT TMC