How accurate is the my.teslamotors.com Estimated Delivery date?

[pedantique]

My 85 kWh (non-D) Model S with order accepted 21/12/2014 is now marked on my.teslamotors.com as "Production Complete" and "Your Model S is in transit from the factory."

The "Estimated Delivery" is marked on the website as "Late March" with the standard proviso: "This time frame is only an estimate and is subject to change based on current production schedules and option availability. Please expect that this timing will shift to provide the most accurate estimate possible. Your delivery appointment will be confirmed by your Delivery Experience Specialist once your vehicle is fully assembled and en route to the nearest Tesla location for final inspection and preparation."

How accurate have those in Australia found the Estimated Delivery in the past? I expect there's some luck and transit time depends on how close the elapsed time is between the Production Complete and the next available slot on a car carrier ship from the US to Australia. I expect there's not a huge frequency of ships, but others might know.

 

[Dborn]

I think that sounds realistic based on my experience

 

[meloccom]

My car was finished on November 7, 2014 and delivered on December 29.
So if your car was just completed late March sounds pretty accurate.

 

[raynewman]

My car was finished 31 Dec 2014 and is still on the water somewhere due (according to my Tesla) late Feb but according to Tesla Sydney mid March.
Seems it got mixed up in a strike on the West Coast of USA.

 

[yobigd20]

Well my car was delivered about 6 months ahead of schedule. But that was the early days...

 

[doctorwho]

My delivery date was initially March when I finally confirmed, then it changed to April, today its changed to May

 

[JOH]

My car was finished 31 Dec 2014 and is still on the water somewhere due (according to my Tesla) late Feb but according to Tesla Sydney mid March.
Seems it got mixed up in a strike on the West Coast of USA.

Sounds like our cars are on same boat.

 

[pedantique]

Michael (doctorwho), is that a dual?

 

[doctorwho]

Michael (doctorwho), is that a dual?

No, its a plain single motor S85

 

[ZTrekus]

It must be terribly exciting and painful to have your car on a boat...

mine is still in the production queue and although a much greater wait, is still under the care and protection of the guys that make the thing from scratch...

but having tracked it now to the tumultuous seas with such anticipation.... Every now and then getting that sinking feeling... And at the mercy of the weather, the docks, customs, truck drivers, .... Soon to be at the mercy of the bank manager, the wife....


just don't lose your license guys or the extra wait while the car stares at you from the garage will kill ya!

 

[pedantique]

My 85 kWh (non-D) Model S with order accepted 21/12/2014 is now marked on my.teslamotors.com as "Production Complete" and "Your Model S is in transit from the factory."

The "Estimated Delivery" is marked on the website as "Late March".

Well, after a few weeks of showing "Late March" it now says "Late April". The website may have said "in transit" but maybe it is still not on a ship. Mind you, I received my wall connector this week.

 

[doctorwho]

Mine has now changed to June. Its a shifting target that is blowing out faster than the passage of time

 

[pedantique]

Well, after a few weeks of showing "Late March" it now says "Late April". The website may have said "in transit" but maybe it is still not on a ship. Mind you, I received my wall connector this week.

It turns out my vehicle was not on a ship. The ship spent a couple of weeks sitting off the coast of Long Beach but is now on its way to Sydney (via Auckland and Melbourne). The ship is the CAP CAPRICORN. For others with vehicles on this boat, see: http://www.vesselfinder.com/?imo=9649835

Due date according to the Maersk site is:

Sydney

Sydney Terminal P&O Ports

21 Mar 2015, 06:30

According to the ANL site it is:

SYDNEY, AU

3/24/2015 (arrives)

3/25/2015 (sails)

DP WORLD SYDNEY PORT BOTANY TERMINL

 

[omegaroyal]

How do you find out what boat your car is on?

 

[paulp]

How do you find out what boat your car is on?

You can only make a solid educated guess. There is no way to know for sure unless you can hack your DS's PC.

 

[dogphlap]

My delivery date estimate was always late September.
The deposit was paid April 9th 2015.
So far that is looking pretty accurate, I expect to pick up my car in a week or so (it was in Sydney two days ago).
So far the wait has been 5 calendar months and 9 days (163 days).