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How is this math working?

Discussion in 'Model 3: Ordering, Production, Delivery' started by jeanvaljean, Jul 31, 2018.

  1. jeanvaljean

    jeanvaljean Member

    Joined:
    Jul 13, 2018
    Messages:
    28
    Location:
    Dublin, OH
    A few days ago, I placed an order for an AWD (non-performance) model 3, white interior, blue exterior, 19" wheels - I'm super excited. Says Sep-Nov delivery estimate, which I'm having trouble understanding.

    I know estimates are just estimates, but: the end of November is ~17 weeks away, which is 85k cars at 5k cars/week, and 119k cars at 7k cars/week. Say there are 400k people ahead of me in line.

    I know they're holding off on all base models for now, but it's easy to imagine that a third of those 400k people are willing to pay for the long range or AWD or performance model.

    Am I missing something obvious, or is this deadline unlikely to get hit?
     
  2. zanary

    zanary Member

    Joined:
    Jan 25, 2017
    Messages:
    276
    Location:
    San Francisco, CA
    You also forgot about overseas reservation holders (those outside the US and Canada) also make up the 400,000.
     
  3. Knightshade

    Knightshade Active Member

    Joined:
    Jul 31, 2017
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    2,032
    Location:
    NC
    Yeah. there's nowhere near 400k ahead of you. Likely not even 100k.

    The rest are either outside the US, or waiting on the SR model.
     
  4. jeanvaljean

    jeanvaljean Member

    Joined:
    Jul 13, 2018
    Messages:
    28
    Location:
    Dublin, OH
    Nice, you guys are making me feel better. fingers crossed!
     
  5. kiartu

    kiartu Member

    Joined:
    Jul 31, 2018
    Messages:
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    Location:
    93021
    I'm in the 'over the month since configure' bucket... And I'm right there with you guys... slowly losing my mind staring at the order page. ;P
     

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