Welcome to Tesla Motors Club
Discuss Tesla's Model S, Model 3, Model X, Model Y, Cybertruck, Roadster and More.
Register

How many 3/31 line waiters were there?

Beagle

Member
Dec 30, 2017
33
16
SF Bay Area
I thought the number was about 150K. Was I wrong? I'm wondering because I seem to be one of the last to get a configuration invitation, and some later 'on-line' people are starting to get cars. The highest VINs that I see are in the 20-21K range. If my numbers are in the ballpark, that would mean that 130K people took a pass. That boggles my mind.

Any thoughts?
 

TT97

Active Member
Aug 6, 2017
2,173
2,977
Los Angeles
I believe the 150k was first day both in-store and on-line. Most day 1 reservations have received their invites (both in-store and on-line reservations).

If you reserved in-store and have not received an invite yet, you should reach out to Tesla at this point (do you have first production check off under delivery estimate? I don't think it makes a difference but you never know).
 

Trips

"Boring bonehead questions are not cool. Next?"
Sep 22, 2015
1,224
1,455
Omaha, NE
In the US and Canada there were roughly 39,000 that reserved one + the line waiters that ordered two. So there might have been 40,000 or so individuals. This included any owners that also waited in line. All of this is based on the Reservation_ID.

Reservation_ID starting numbers
East Coast: 370XXX
Central: 375XXX
Mountain: 381XXX
West Coast: 384XXX
Online: 409xxx
 

TEG

Teslafanatic
Aug 20, 2006
21,909
9,029
Don't forget that they already built cars for employees, and previous owners who were NOT day 1 reservers.

So trying to match current VINs to number of day 1 reservers that ordered isn't going to be exact.
 

Beagle

Member
Dec 30, 2017
33
16
SF Bay Area
Thanks, folks. It looks like my memory slipped a gear or two in two years. I mis-stated in my original post; I have my VIN, just not the car yet. It does make sense that one out of two people have either cancelled or are waiting for a version of the car that hasn't been produced yet, but I really wonder if any profit can still be made on a $35K in 6 months or a year.
 

Moderatefan

Member
Dec 20, 2017
902
906
Denver, CO
I thought the number was about 150K
180K.
There's chart and data points here Chart for Model 3 reservations — cumulative and hourly

If my numbers are in the ballpark, that would mean that 130K people took a pass.
If 180K total on day 1, we can probably assume around 50% or 90K are U.S. orders.
If 1/3 of people are ordering and the rest are holding out for awd and sr, that'd be around 30K people willing to order from day 1.
But we don't know how many have cancelled and how many took delivery non-day-1(employees and S/X owners). Kind of hard to interpret the numbers correctly.
 
Last edited:

Products we're discussing on TMC...

About Us

Formed in 2006, Tesla Motors Club (TMC) was the first independent online Tesla community. Today it remains the largest and most dynamic community of Tesla enthusiasts. Learn more.

Do you value your experience at TMC? Consider becoming a Supporting Member of Tesla Motors Club. As a thank you for your contribution, you'll get nearly no ads in the Community and Groups sections. Additional perks are available depending on the level of contribution. Please visit the Account Upgrades page for more details.


SUPPORT TMC
Top