I voted Longer or Never. I am 100% certain on this.
1) I think it's pretty well known that other manufacturers shunned electric cars until Tesla. A good number probably still think Electric cars are a fad/joke and not "for-real". So many of them have not seriously even started to invest in Electric cars. Every single other EV on the road today, and even single EV that I know of planned in the future, STILL doesn't compare to what Tesla has today. Almost all of them are silly compliance cars because they simply don't take it seriously enough to make a real car. They don't have the range. They don't ahve the power. They don't have any of the innovative things that are in the MS and MX. Only NOW some of them are scrambling to compete. (THIS should be a HUGE wake up call:
In 2013, Tesla Model S Outsold Mercedes-Benz S-Class, BMW 7 Series, Audi A8, Lexus LS and Porsche Panamera) SOME of them , after all of Tesla's success over the last year, JUST realized that this is the real deal, and if they don't come up with something soon, they risk falling the way of blackberry as Apple took over the mobile market so will Tesla take over the automotive industry. Tesla already has a good 10 year head start. Everyone else better get "smart" real fast.
2) First, watch this video.
Co-Founder Of Tesla About Starting Tesla (VIDEO) | CleanTechnica In it, Marc Tarpenning (former Tesla co-founder) talks about how after he left Tesla and was consulted by other manufacturers he realized that everyone else was not 4-5 years behind in R&D as we had all generally thought, but in fact it's actually MUCH WORSE. Basically over the years they all got rid of their electric engineers. So none of them have anyone on staff with any real expertise in electrical battery technology, let alone trying to develop anything. They are at least 8-10 years behind.
3) Patents. Tesla's has a HUGE head start here. They already have at least 140 patents awarded, with over 240 more pending. Once everyone else begins to start meddling with EV technology for real, they are going to soon realize that a lot of things that are necessary to make it viable are already patented by Tesla. or they are going to have to do something different. I'd like to see that. By the time they figure that out, Tesla's still going to be another 2 or 3 generations of tech ahead of them.
4) 5 star crash safety. It seems everyone else hasn't been able to get this right for 30+ years. What makes you think their new EV is suddenly going to get them 5 star crash safety results now? (let alone them trying to figure out how to make the battery technology safe, which once again Tesla already has a unique methodology patented).
5) other car manufacturers are already have established franchises. this means people still need to deal with the $hit*y dealership model. And that's a lose/lose situation already. No way around that for them...can't use Tesla's excuse (no franchises=no violation of law). plus the loaner program and maintenance-free car. that's just more incentive to buy a Tesla vs anything else.
6) I'd really like to see someone else develop a gear box to rival the one in the MS. No shifting. Trying to make a multi-gear gearbox for an electric car is not as simple as one may think. Again, watch marc's video linked above. And for that matter, the entire powertrain really. they are way ahead of everyone else here. and now we're adding AWD and probably some cool torque vectoring stuff to it next year.
7) Hell, even Mercedes' recently announced 2025 EV still won't have the range nor power of the 2012 P85. So in 11 years they will release an EV that is 1/3rd the power and 1/3rd the torque and it's 1.1 seconds slower than last year's P85 (which will be 13years old in 2025). Wow. That's something to look forward to.....NOT!! This seems to confirm Marc's conclusion, that the competition is at least 10-13 years BEHIND Tesla. Actually since Tesla start in the mid 2000s, more like 20 years of catching up to do!!
Mercedes confirms all-electric 2025 Mercedes-Benz S-Class [video] - Torque News
8) Tesla's new battery gigafactory is going to put them at a HUGE advantage over competitors to bring the price of battery's down and making 200+ mile EVs on the cheap - much cheaper than anyone else could do it. Even BMW's new i8 coming out (which is still a HYBRID), is going to start at $135k, and only has a 7.1kW sized battery with a max electric range of 15-20 miles. Seriously.
9) the design of the MS itself is going to be pretty hard to top. from the low center of gravity, battery swapping, aerodynamics, frunk+trunk space, roomy interior, and all the cool gadgets and the center console...
10) and here's another big reason why I don't think anyone else can compete: the SUPERCHARGER NETWORK. First, "drive-free forever" is going to be pretty hard to top. Second, Tesla's proprietary connector and charge rate is faster than any of the open standards (SAE/CHAdeMO). Third, and this is the big one, is that Tesla is footing the bill and installing these all over the US, canada, now EU, essentially globally. And, at least for the time being, these can only be used by Tesla vehicles. So lets say some other manufacturer FINALLY is able to produce a 200+ mile range EV. Can you drive it cross country? Sure! But it's going to be EXTREMELY inefficient and downright a pain-in-the-ass. Even if CHAdeMO stations are installed all over the place, first it's going to be slower and second you're still going to have to pay for the electricity just as you would need to if you were filling up a tank of gas. Basically Tesla's supercharger network is the icing on the cake to crushing the competition (if there is every any). If anyone is serious about making an effective long range EV that people are actually going to consider buying over Tesla, the manufacturer is going to be forced into either 1) licensing and using the charging technology from Tesla (aka Mercedes) or 2) making their own supercharger network (HIGHLY unlikely). Tesla's advantage over the cost of battery packs as well as the range of their vehicle and free charging for life is really just hamming the nail the coffin for everyone else. They simply cannot compete. They are too far behind. If Gen III really takes off this may well be big enough to put everyone else out of business.
last but not least, 11) powered by the sun, Tesla's supercharger network will help you survive the zombie apocalypse. That's like 5 star crash safety times infinity.