My SC usage, annualized to include both distance travel these past 3 years along with local schlepping about when not on the road, works out to approximately $250/month at the current Californicated rate of $0.20/kW.
Real world range has ranged from every bit of the 294 miles as advertised (from SC to SC during optimal conditions on the road) down to 140 miles in town (short distance (but not short time) urban commutes with HVAC).
It's that last part that will constitute a less than wholly gentile (or gentle, even) awakening for many new-to-the-party non-garaged Model 3 owners. It also tends to confound the armchair quarterbacks and fanbois/gurls who blindly and blithely quote things like the pristine magnanimosity of the once-offered 400kW/year "benefit". Further and more to the point, most garaged owners have no clue of their actual efficiency since they wake up each morning with a full charge - and more power to them, pun only partially intended.
I doubt, as is the case currently with S/X owners, that most Model 3 owners will travel anywhere near the amount that I do. The first year, it was because I was curious, the second year, to fill in the blanks missed the first year, the third year, because I could, and now, darn the luck, I still haven't run out of roads to travel or places to experience. Funny how that works when combined with a car that easily facilitates an average of 750 miles/day.
I still have a Model 3 reservation - but that reservation now comes with the decidedly glaring reservation (tip your waitstaff and try the veal - I'm here all week) that TCO for the Model 3 increases $10K over 3-5 years versus/relative to the TCO of a CPO Model S with included SCing.
Further, the longer AP2 (ma)lingers without appreciable improvement relative to AP1, the better an AP1 car looks as a bridge for the next 2-3 years. By then, we might even have HUD and mirror stalks (cameras) and a 360-degree view and an in-car wifi hotspot and glass breakage sensors (in the US) and, well, it's a long list.
There's a flipside to those who live for range and life on the road. Let's say instead that you're new to the whole EV thing, and you and/or your significant other just want a Bolt-esque experience that doesn't look like a badly-designed sneaker and that can actually leave one's local area every now and then just like a grown-up car can. Well, then for you there's the regular Model 3 (not LR, and not yet available) which will be more than perfectly adequate for in-town life and just fine for the occasional road trip. And let's face it - most people limit their road trips to a day's drive or less before they start to seriously consider flying instead.
