After seeing the Model 3 for a few minutes in person the other day, I think for me hitting the pause button is well advised.
Nothing wrong with the car, it was exciting to see in person.
I bought a used Model S 75 with EAP in June and the car is still very new to me.
The Model 3 is intended for my wife and she is not a big car person. I intend to use the Model 3 to do my hobby as an Uber/Lyft driver on a couple of weekends/month. I think the Model 3 will be a great car and will likely exceed everyone's expectations. However when I consider how we will actually use it, I think we need to do a comparison with the new EVs coming out next year to feel 100% about the decision. My wife drove a Leaf for the last four years, a few weeks ago, it was hit by another driver and totaled. She is now driving my Honda Accord PHeV with a 10+- mile EV range which gets about 50 mpg, it was rated at 125 MPGe.
While the ride of the Model S is far superior to the Accord, I can see how the parts of the build quality on a 5 year old Honda holds up well vs a new Model S.
I intend to get the Model 3 but primarily because of the Supercharger network and the way I expect the vehicle to handle.
It will be nice to have both vehicles 100% electric too.
But given that I likely wouldn't use it for road trips (Model S here) , the 310 mile range isn't worth the 9K premium for us. My wife doesn't like the AP as the many micro swerves make her feel nervous. That might be a later upgrade but is secondary. Tax credit or not, the 35K version plus 1K for white paint is our most likely option. Even if we only get the 2.5K California incentive, the price is good value.
Not to take anything away from Tesla, but a rational approach to getting a new vehicle would be to shop the Honda Clarity Plug in Hybrid with the 47 mile range, the new Nissan Leaf and at least test drive a Bolt (which I did before I bought the Model S75).
After doing that, I can really listen to what my wife thinks about the different vehicles and see what really makes sense. On paper, the decision now is to get the Model 3 as it has better range than the Leaf or the Clarity plug in. I also think the finishing will be better than the Bolt.
Long story short, I can see how Tesla needs to make some extra cash for those wanting the extra range and premium features, but for some of us, even if we are high on the list, in California, 1st day reservation and current Tesla owners, there is no reason to get so excited and pay for features we don't need.
As a final note, the Uber driver part of me may end up buying a second used Model S. The rate paid by Uber/Lyft for the Model S is almost twice that of the Uber X and I'm not sure what the rate will be for the Model 3. I assume for now it will be Uber X.