I believe that is a possibility, but I have never heard of anyone having a failure of the desiccant, and I have never had it happen to me despite owning classic cars that had their original 25 years old desiccant in place. Usually what goes is the compressor seals sometime after the 10 year mark. Those seals have a very difficult job, so they are the likely failure point.
So based on experience, I have no plans to do this service, especially since it's recommended 2 years after any warranty has expired. You'll never get Tesla to repair your AC under warranty 2 years after it expired no matter how many receipts you produce for desiccant replacements.
If I were to have it done, I would do it myself since I have all the equipment and recently experienced changing AC compressors on 2 super cars, so I know how to do it right and how easy it is to cut corners and do something that will cause a failure in a year or 2. That's why when people pay mechanics to replace their AC compressor, it often fails a year or 2 later again and they blame their car for "eating compressors." So I would never recommend anyone do this risky service to prevent something that almost never fails.