On the other hand we should not forget that in the end it's all politics and you won't make voters happy with certain actions. People in Germany are already a lot less enthusiastic about the Energiewende now that the feel the increased electricity costs in their pockets.
US≠Europe
Those are completely different car and driving cultures, like tucks aren't a thing here at all on the other hand stations wagons are really popular.
Then we have Tesla and Elon Musk. Both aren't really popular here among your people. This whole SpaceX thing, which a lot of young Americans are really enthusiastic about... not a topic in my friend circle at all. So far most people who hand a bit more of an idea than just knoing Tesla was some American EV manufacturer, were people who could actually afford a Model S and probably looked into it because of that. But I actually don't know anyone who brought it.
+1
The Topseller Mondeo is like 30000Euro with some options and 350000 if your really get all the stuff, same with a Octavia.
The Model 3 will start at almost 40k if we make the calculation from current Model S prices and assume $35k. That's with zero options. Price different of 10k and most likely even more once we see the Model 3 options is just really hard to justify.
OK, but you generalize too much ! And draw some invalid conclusions from your specific circle of friends.
1. Europe is NOT one monolithic market, or even one big blob of people even in a specific country. TSLA only needs 1 percent of the market is be significantly successful for TSLA.
2. 100 PC of a potential market does NOT make decisions on price alone. Quality, finish, handling, power, acceleration, overall technology etc ...besides design / looks will matter to all, to different levels on each factor.
3. Very few people in the broad US population know Elon Musk or Space X ( neither are household words), and a very, very insignificant percentage of those that do will buy a Model 3 based on Space X.
4. As marketers, global US corporations have been successful at marketing their brands and products and services and those that many Europeans ( including those in your circle of friends ) simply do not like or even despise. And, many of the US corporations ( with no Elon Musk type status or PR CEO at their companies ) also have had moderate success even with cosmetics and fragrance marketing in Europe.....heck even Budweiser sells and has significant revenues in Europe....as do high end US clothing brands, or accessory ( like high end luggage ) brands.
So, I believe a lot of your take on this subject is a personal viewpoint influenced by your small ( statistically speaking ) circle of friends . And, I am speaking here as guy who has had decades of experience in Fortune 100 global business and P & L management and with European marketing and sales teams, all done on a country specific, and segment by segment market in all/ each of the European countries .
1-2 pc of the market ( within 5 years of launch ) should be eminently doable for TSLA, with the right product in all its dimensions. And, particularly if leasing is attractively packaged and marketed, on a country specific basis.