http://www.jaia-jp.org/wp-content/uploads/PriceRange_year.pdf
Imported cars data. Last year Japan imported 12K cars with price over 10K. Good opportunity for Tesla.
Hiro-san, I think you meant 12k cars imported to Japan last year with price over
$100k, right? (1001~2000万円: 11,051台 + 2,001万円以上: 1,135台)
I believe Tesla will do well in general, but I also believe that it's only a matter of time Toyota, Honda and Nissan will come out with a compelling and much more performance-oriented full electric car, especially considering Tesla is sharing its patents to others. Japan has a really strong industrial base and the auto companies invest in R&D heavily as well. Up to now there hasn't been one marketed by them might due to business reason i.e. cost vs profit, more than a technological reason, I suspect.
Further, to ensure EV a success they must make sure there's already a good charging infrastructure in place. And now as we can see, the CHAdeMO standard is maturing and stations/charging points are covering a much wider areas now in Japan as Hiro-san mentioned above. So another reason is a strategic one. Companies like Toyota and Honda are giants and they produce a colossal amount of cars every year so if they all produce amazing full electric cars at once, and market them to the public, you can simply imagine a huge amount of people will switch to EV and if the charging infrastructure isn't ready for that kind of capacity, it'd be a disaster. On the other hand, if they make one good EV, and produce a few thousands a year, it's just a dis-economies of scale and certainly not a convincing business case.
Most Japanese friends I know are quite environmentally conscious, and anyone who has visited Japan could feel it. They like clean, simple, easy-to-use and efficient technologies, be them vending machines, toilet seats, or the super efficient, always-on-time JR and Tokyo metro systems.
I won't be surprised to see a compelling Lexus EV in a few years.