...For those in the queue, if helpful, here's how dates went with my order:
9/1 - Ordered
9/1 - Accepted Online
9/9 - Confirmed; VIN assigned several hours later
9/11 - In Production (my DS told me that clicked over at 9:16PM)
9/20 - (Did not show on My Tesla, but my MS was complete and my DS had it held at the factory for future delivery given my known travel plans at time of order.)
9/25 - In transit from Factory / Production Complete
9/26 - Preparing for Pickup or Delivery (My SC is only 425 miles from the Factory)
9/30 - Payment Section showed as paid in full
10/5 - Delivery (the day I returned from travel; IIRC, it took a couple more days for My Tesla to reflect that, but I wasn't watching as close at that point)
While out walking my dog, I just remembered a couple more subjective points that may help with context:
- Before I ordered, Design Studio was estimating "late November" as delivery
- When my MS first changed to "In Production" status, IIRC, My Tesla soon indicated a "mid November" delivery estimate
- A week or so later, the delivery estimate moved to "early November"
- ...then it moved to "mid-late October", and soon thereafter I got an email from my DS saying it may be able to be at the DC ready for delivery as early as 9/23, but he knew I'd be out of town, so simply wanted to reconfirm before he held it at the factory until a little closer to my return so it didn't sit at the DC and have to be moved in/out and around every morning and night (I appreciated that!)
IIRC, "In Production" means the time it takes Tesla to source parts for a confirmed order, then build it, QA it, and then resolve any issues if there are any before the car goes to "In transit" state. There are a lot of variables in there. That movement of my delivery estimates would sort of confirm that as Tesla gained confidence when the actual build would take place, they improved the estimate. Frankly, I'm glad they are taking an approach of reasonable estimates where they hopefully deliver more cars early, vs late. It's always better to "over deliver" when it comes to customer satisfaction, than missing even an estimated target date.