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Just put deposit of 1k when should i expect?
- Thread starter AkeelR
- Start date
SageBrush
REJECT Fascism
Check back here in two years if you haven't heard anything.
nexsuperne101
Closed
I'm hoping to get mine for Q3 2018. Trying to be realistic, with 100k units shipped by the end of 2017, and the current <300k other reservations shipped by the end of Q3 2018
If he reserved early, sure... but that's not the case. 3 years is definitely more likely.
That seems like the absolute best case scenario. Not exactly "realistic"
nexsuperne101
Closed
500k per year was the target by the end of 2017 (I may be wrong!), so with the first 100k out of the way by end of Q4 2017, they have the potential to have cleared another 375,000 off the books by the end of Q3 2018, which is about 100,000 more than currently reserved.
Here's to hoping!!!
Here's to hoping!!!
melindav
☰ 2018
Presuming you mistyped the first year and intended 2018, yes, that's my understanding too, assuming all goes as planned.500k per year was the target by the end of 2017 (I may be wrong!), so with the first 100k out of the way by end of Q4 2017, they have the potential to have cleared another 375,000 off the books by the end of Q3 2018, which is about 100,000 more than currently reserved.
Here's to hoping!!!
WileyTheMan
Peanut Gallery Member
Hoping is good, but deliveries are expected to start at that time, so that kind of volume at that time would be somewhat unrealistic. Anyway, I'd rather they take a delay or so it slowly and make sure they don't screw up first deliveries. It is critical for Tesla to get the delivery of this car right.500k per year was the target by the end of 2017 (I may be wrong!), so with the first 100k out of the way by end of Q4 2017, they have the potential to have cleared another 375,000 off the books by the end of Q3 2018, which is about 100,000 more than currently reserved.
Here's to hoping!!!
TaoJones
Beyond Driven
Let's be optimistic: ramp*** to 10,000 cars per week by year-end 2018, having worked up to 1,000 cars per week by early 2018.
That allows domestic employee/employee family deliveries* in Q4 2017, and a mix of the rest of the domestic employee cars along with the first CA owners' cars** in Q1 2018.
*Domestic employee orders swagged at 7,500.
**CA owners' reservations swagged at 3% of 400,000 so 12,000.
*** ramp swag (attained by eoq):
2018Q1 1K/wk (Model 3)
2018Q2 2K/wk (Model 3)
2018Q3 4K/wk (Model 3)
2018Q4 10K/wk (total production)
---
All of which means you may see your car in Q3-Q4 2019.
That allows domestic employee/employee family deliveries* in Q4 2017, and a mix of the rest of the domestic employee cars along with the first CA owners' cars** in Q1 2018.
*Domestic employee orders swagged at 7,500.
**CA owners' reservations swagged at 3% of 400,000 so 12,000.
*** ramp swag (attained by eoq):
2018Q1 1K/wk (Model 3)
2018Q2 2K/wk (Model 3)
2018Q3 4K/wk (Model 3)
2018Q4 10K/wk (total production)
---
All of which means you may see your car in Q3-Q4 2019.
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nexsuperne101
Closed
I will still see my Tesla in Q3 2018. It just might be an S instead, and my currently 10 year old daughter can have the 3 when it finally rocks up. With all the doom and gloom predictions on possible unfounded delivery dates, it should be here in 7 years or so.
david_42
Member
I also placed a reservation, but with a number over 108 billion I guess it will be a while. Doesn't matter, since they haven't even dropped a hint about the CUV beyond the "maybe there will be one". Don't have any use for a sedan.
@AkeelR,
I entered your data to the Model 3 Delivery Estimator and it shows 25th Jan 2019. Interestingly, in both optimistic and pessimistic scenarios, you get $1875 USD tax credits.
Tax credits (optimistic scenario) $1,875 until Jun 30, 2019
Tax credits (pessimistic scenario) $1,875 until Mar 31, 2019
I entered your data to the Model 3 Delivery Estimator and it shows 25th Jan 2019. Interestingly, in both optimistic and pessimistic scenarios, you get $1875 USD tax credits.
Tax credits (optimistic scenario) $1,875 until Jun 30, 2019
Tax credits (pessimistic scenario) $1,875 until Mar 31, 2019
RedModel3
Member
Cool! I just punched in my numbers, and I might just get my M3 delivered on my birthday in 2018! I'll take that!
I have a M3 reserved but I'm pushing 70. I decided to get a MS now, enjoy the ride, and see how everything plays out over the next 18 months or so. I can't wait to get up tomorrow morning and take a drive. Where? Anywhere!
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