Leasing an eGolf for 30 months and wait for Model X CPO?

[gene]

Leasing an eGolf for 30 months and wait for Model X CPO?
My wife thinks the depreciation of brand new Telsa Model X is too much. So the compromise I can do is to lease a eGolf for 30 months and wait until then .
But how much will a 30 month old 100D cost at that time? Is the wait worth it? Thanks

You only live once. Get the Model X, or at least a CPO Model S now. Your wife, once you have it, will happily agree it was the right decision. Add to that, should in the next 30 months, you or your wife have a serious accident and you have the X or S, vs. an eGolf, your decision may have saved your or her life.

 

[Quesder]

You only live once. Get the Model X, or at least a CPO Model S now. Your wife, once you have it, will happily agree it was the right decision. Add to that, should in the next 30 months, you or your wife have a serious accident and you have the X or S, vs. an eGolf, your decision may have saved your or her life.

After some analysis, here are the final 3 key points

1. Depreciation -- I probably can get this 100D for 75000 3 years later. Or we can get a 400 mile range X or model 3.
2. We still want to get a second house in 5 years or shorter. This $105,000 will help a lot, or even the last inch or reach.

3. I am using a finance to buy the car. The 2% interest for six years on my 700,000 loan will add another $5000 cost or so

all this above ... is it worth $7200 for 30 months?

apparently 2.5 years later we won't get any Federal credit and CA rebate on new model X/S/3

 

[travwill]

I'd suggest, although still pricey, is to just fine a used Model X, likely at 90D that has depreciated down around now to 85-90K, low miles. You'll have warranty left, get performance, etc.

The P90 depreciates more, and P100D definitely even more, but 75/90 less. Most of the depreciation happens in the first year so if you get someone selling theirs to upgrade for example (a lot are) with AP1, then you should get a good deal and will see depreciation more at a normal level.

Plus, see you are in NY. That is a cold climate so in worst of times you'll only get about 60% at times of the actual stated range. eGolf would be horrid, plus you'll want AWD.

 

[Quesder]

I'd suggest, although still pricey, is to just fine a used Model X, likely at 90D that has depreciated down around now to 85-90K, low miles. You'll have warranty left, get performance, etc.

The P90 depreciates more, and P100D definitely even more, but 75/90 less. Most of the depreciation happens in the first year so if you get someone selling theirs to upgrade for example (a lot are) with AP1, then you should get a good deal and will see depreciation more at a normal level.

Plus, see you are in NY. That is a cold climate so in worst of times you'll only get about 60% at times of the actual stated range. eGolf would be horrid, plus you'll want AWD.

Sorry, I should have changed my location long time ago. Now I am in San Jose, CA.
According to what you say, sounds like I should get a X 2.5 years later, especially see if I can afford a P90D P100D at that time?

 

[travwill]

Ahhh, well in CA you should be better, but still note you never get truly stated range most of the time if you freeway drive, etc.

I think most Xs I've seen here 1 year later are reasonable, 90Ds I've seen around 88K give or take some. Personally, no reason to get a P90D or P100D, unless going fast at the start is THAT important. A 90D is still faster than most cars on the road even. The novelty of the Performance cars wears off after a while if you don't want to be jolted around too much anyway.

I'd say at maybe by September, you should see some 90Ds in the 75k-80k range on average. Plus, while you don't get the tax credit, you'll probably save a decent amount on sales tax (depending on what your state does for a minimum fee still).

Totally up to you and on taste of car. Hard to say as the eGolf and Model X are completely different types of cars in size, functionality, tech, etc. Especially range, which "is king" if you ask most people.

 

[Quesder]

One thing that I am not satisfied with the loaner P100D S is that, the actual power consumption is always 400+ wh/mi in real life. So the claimed 300+ mile is almost impossible unless you always drive on high way 80% of you travel and run under 65.
But then bah, $7200 can give you a lot of SC charges, so not worth the wait.
So the key point is still the depreciation and house fund.

Also, to get a 90,000 90D, you still have to add the 9% tax. So, a $70,000 90D with AP2 might be more worth it.

 

[travwill]

One thing that I am not satisfied with the loaner P100D S is that, the actual power consumption is always 400+ wh/mi in real life. So the claimed 300+ mile is almost impossible unless you always drive on high way 80% of you travel and run under 65.
But then bah, $7200 can give you a lot of SC charges, so not worth the wait.
So the key point is still the depreciation and house fund.

The 90D also requires like a 320watt per mile consumption to get rated range, which is very hard too. Especially since it has actually like a 86kWh battery with only like 81 available. The 100D (not performance) technically has 100kWh I believe and is the best deal new now. Snagging one of those in 1-2 years is good.

Some great options are due out in 1-2 years though from Jaquar, VW, Volvo even, Mercedes, Audi, etc.

 

[Quesder]

The 90D also requires like a 320watt per mile consumption to get rated range, which is very hard too. Especially since it has actually like a 86kWh battery with only like 81 available. The 100D (not performance) technically has 100kWh I believe and is the best deal new now. Snagging one of those in 1-2 years is good.

Some great options are due out in 1-2 years though from Jaquar, VW, Volvo even, Mercedes, Audi, etc.

Exactly my point... Model X 100D is heavier than P100D S, so I really doubt that I can use it as planned with assumption of 300 miles range.
The last thing I want to hear is my wife's complain when we are on a trip, the Model X makes us go to Super Charger more often than what I told her, and SC is slower than what I told her.
Hopefully in 2.5 years later things will change, especially the charge speed?


So sounds like you suggest me to lease a car and wait? Or maybe do a 36 months lease instead of 30 months?I need a car for commute now, and for longer weekend short trip and errant, I can use my 10 years old Corolla.