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Logistics of the Personal Delivery Service

Discussion in 'Model S' started by efusco, Jul 29, 2012.

  1. efusco

    efusco Moderator - Model S & X forums

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    Maybe I'm just being a nervous nilly, but I'm trying to imagine, without much success, just how the logistics of the Tesla Personal Delivery services is going to work. For Quarter 3 it will simply be "difficult" as there are "only" 5.5 cars per day to deliver. Something that could probably be fairly easily accomplished by bunching up several vehicles on a truck to a specific area and sending a delivery specialist or two to each of those major areas and they they shuttle about doing the deliveries. Still going to take dozens of trucks and dozens of specialists, but not an impossible task.

    But starting with Q4 and they're talking about delivering another 4500 vehicles all with personal delivery! That's now 50 vehicles per day all over the country, how in the world will this be accomplished and likewise going forward at the accelerating production rate? I suppose there's a plan of some sort, but there must be dozens of specialists and hundreds of vehicles involved to haul these vehicles from coast to coast and deliver that many in such a tight window all "to order" for the buyers.

    Anyone got insight into how this is going to be pulled off?
     
  2. NigelM

    NigelM Recovering Member

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    I believe there will be just that. I don't recall where or when but I recall hearing that there would eventually be 3 or 4 "Delivery Specialists" in Florida. Assume 3 and that they can manage 2 deliveries per day, 5 days per week and 50 weeks per year (just to keep the math easy) then that would make 1,500 deliveries per year. 1,500 in FL out of 20,000 Model S nationwide would be about the highest I would expect, so fair to say that 3 Specialists would be more than enough on current projections.
     
  3. efusco

    efusco Moderator - Model S & X forums

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    So, even in your Florida scenario we're talking about at least one truck a week hauling 10 cars a week, one on the way there one on the way back. 48 states, more likely 30 or so regional deliveries. We're still talking some crazy logistics to keep it all coordinated from production...will they be sure to build all 10 Florida cars together? Will they change actual production order so that they can cluster deliveries to the various regions?

    I'm not trying to say this sounds impossible, I'm sure there are ways to accomplish it...just darn glad it's not me who has to be the one to make it happen!
     
  4. Arnold Panz

    Arnold Panz Model Sig 304, VIN 542

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    This was my biggest confusion over the slowed down production schedule. As a practical matter, they may be able to produce 5000 cars this year, but the logistics of delivery is a whole other matter.

    Evan, I fully believe that they will batch deliveries by geography, so they will wait until there are, say, ten cars going to Florida (or New York or wherever) and send a full car hauler to that geographic area, so deliveries will be a bit out of sequence. But there is still the question of how many physical deliveries they can do in a day/week to get approximately 3500-4000 deliveries done in a month. Assuming 28 days of delivery in December (no Christmas Eve, Xmas Day or New Years Eve), that's about 107 deliveries a day if there are 3000 cars to do, and around 90 per day if there are "only" 2500 to do in December. Seems like quite a tall order, to say the least.
     
  5. Charged_Up

    Charged_Up Member

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    In dania beach today, I was told that deliveries will indeed be batched by region. I also heard that the "manual is at the printers" although there will likely be PDF and in car versions.
     
  6. Joel

    Joel Active Member

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    I asked this very question this weekend at the Chicago Amped Tour. You basically outlined the process. Tesla will be using UPS to ship batches of Model S' on an enclosed truck to the various Tesla stores throughout the US. From each location, the Tesla delivery specialists will drive the Model S' on an enclosed Tesla truck. For example, I live in Michigan. My Model S will be shipped from Fremont with many others on the UPS truck to Chicago. From Chicago a Tesla delivery specialist will delivery my car.

    Automotive industry solutions helps original equipment manufacturers streamline supply chains from production plant to final destination dealers

    http://www.ups.com/content/us/en/bussol/browse/autogistics.html?WT.svl=SolViewAll&returnURL=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ups.com%2Fsearch%2Fbussol%3Floc%3Den_US%26query%3Dvehicle+shipping%26searchwithin%3DbusinessSolutions%26offset%3D0%26role%3Dall%26industry%3Dall%26calltoactions%3Dall
     
  7. pguerra

    pguerra Member

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    Evan, this is a good question.

    What if #69 and #269 both go to Dallas? Does #69 have to wait? Does Tesla have to go twice to Dallas?

    Anyway, if I were Elon, I'd put someone in charge of tackling the delivery logistics and focus on making the product superb in all ways - interior and exterior. Everything else should fall in place.
     
  8. NigelM

    NigelM Recovering Member

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    #8 NigelM, Jul 29, 2012
    Last edited: Jul 29, 2012
    Hands-up for delivery on Christmas Day anyone? Seriously though, Tesla has always said they aimed to produce 5,000 cars in 2012 but at the Q2 call and the shareholder letter they have been saying:

    (My emphasis)
     
  9. Joel

    Joel Active Member

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    #9 Joel, Jul 29, 2012
    Last edited: Jul 29, 2012
    I am Signature 249, my father is Signature 380, and my brother is Signature 545. My brother and I live two streets apart, and our father lives approximately 18 miles from us. We were given the option to have all three delivered together. However, that required my delivery (September) to be pushed back (or held) until October. Since I do not want to wait another month, they will be delivered individually :smile:

    So, unless #69 elects to wait, his/her car will be delivered before #269. And yes, Tesla will make two trips to Dallas.
     
  10. Charged_Up

    Charged_Up Member

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    It was confirmed to me yesterday by a senior Tesla salesperson that deliveries would be bunched by geography. Presumably, how bunched depends on just how many orders there are in a particular area and how far apart. I don't think they will delay a signature by a month to group with other later sigs, but almost certainly would change the schedule a week or two if it meant they could ship ten vehicles at once to the same area.
     
  11. Larry Chanin

    Larry Chanin Model S Perf Sig 1055

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    Yes, but which do you believe? :wink:

    Larry
     
  12. NigelM

    NigelM Recovering Member

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    Uhhh, don't think I'm going to bite. :wink:
     
  13. Larry Chanin

    Larry Chanin Model S Perf Sig 1055

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    Neither would I. :biggrin:

    Larry
     
  14. efusco

    efusco Moderator - Model S & X forums

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    Bumping this thread in light of the latest delivery delays and such.
     

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