What is the long-term annual demand level for Model 3?
Large sample size here: ValueAnalyst on Twitter
Large sample size here: ValueAnalyst on Twitter
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Long-term Model 3 demand
- Thread starter ValueAnalyst
- Start date
dhanson865
Well-Known Member
Long term? Elon says long term in Tesla's eyes is about 2 years. Is that the time frame you consider long term?
Annual global vehicle sales are approaching 100 million, no other automaker has even started building their own GWh+ battery manufacturing facilities, and the three products you mentioned can grow for many, many years before global demand is satisfied, not to even mention that they appeal to different consumer segments.
Longer term price of Model 3 will be lower than $35,000. Way, way lower.
jhm
Well-Known Member
Nothing will happen. The price is not based on any rebate anywhere in the world.
jhm
Well-Known Member
This can help put things into perspective. http://www.carmag.co.za/news/industry-news/25-best-selling-vehicles-in-the-world-in-2017/
So it is a pretty big deal just for Model 3 to make it into the Top 25 Models list, a range of 500k to 1M per year. I think the Model 3 can do this. But to go beyond 1M is quite an extraordinary feat. I'd love to see the Model 3 beat out the F-Series.
So it is a pretty big deal just for Model 3 to make it into the Top 25 Models list, a range of 500k to 1M per year. I think the Model 3 can do this. But to go beyond 1M is quite an extraordinary feat. I'd love to see the Model 3 beat out the F-Series.
ya no doubt, i was looking to see something like under 100k, 100k to 300k, 300k -500k, or 500k plusTruth be told, ValueAnalyst tends to be quite optimistic in his/her poll options
Then BAM! Those options right to the face. He got me. I seriously do like people here, lot of optimism that makes me think there is good in this world. Everyone seems to have their heart in the right place, you are backing the right ideas, but the wrong guy/company.
bro, someone says its going to beat it 10 foldThis can help put things into perspective. 25 best-selling vehicles in the world in 2017... - CAR magazine
So it is a pretty big deal just for Model 3 to make it into the Top 25 Models list, a range of 500k to 1M per year. I think the Model 3 can do this. But to go beyond 1M is quite an extraordinary feat. I'd love to see the Model 3 beat out the F-Series.
just book it now
This can help put things into perspective. 25 best-selling vehicles in the world in 2017... - CAR magazine
So it is a pretty big deal just for Model 3 to make it into the Top 25 Models list, a range of 500k to 1M per year. I think the Model 3 can do this. But to go beyond 1M is quite an extraordinary feat. I'd love to see the Model 3 beat out the F-Series.
Thanks! Do you also have a comparison of how many Nokia/Motorola/Blackberry used to produce vs. Apple's 200+ million today?
jhm
Well-Known Member
No. I'll let you pull up that data. I do think that looking at sales by brand is more relevant to that sort of comparison. As Tesla rounds out their portfolio with Model Y and a pickup truck, I think were are looking at a Top 10 Brand, >2.5M. It looks like Geely could be the one to beat.
