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bdy0627
Active Member
Keep in mind he's a day trader, so these are extremely short term positions. By Monday or Tuesday, he may be buying gobs of weekly calls.
bdy0627
Active Member
bdy0627
Active Member
The biggest wildcard for next week is the overall market. Is it bottoming around the 200 MA? Or not? TSLA at this point is priced for a persistent failure with the model 3 ramp. Maybe it will continue to fail and disappoint further, but I don't think so.
Reciprocity
Active Member
I have been a real downer on the model 3 ramp, but I think we are finally seeing the signs of a real ramp. Next week we will need to see more confirmation in the form of more VIN assignments and even another batch of NHTSA registrations. I still think deliveries will be low but production should break 2k+ for an entire week or more. Its not going to be good enough to extrapolate the last 3 days of the quarter again. They need to come out and say, "We manufactured 2082 in the last full work week of the month and have doubled production during the quarter and the path to 5k is still very much in tact."
Take a wild guess why your demand is down, Nissan. You dummies. Nissan Slows Output After U.S. Demand Drop Led to Bloated Supply
Agreed, honestly I would rather read something like " We are currently at a pace of 1800/w for a full week and are seeing tremendous progresses, looking at increasing to 2500/w in the next 2 weeks, and in line to achieve 5000/w by end of quarter "
Than the BS " if we extrapolate the last 3 days of the quarter we achieved 2500/w ...."
I'd rather hear, "In the last three days of the quarter, we made 2,500 cars."
mike drop...
(That will happen when they hit 10k/wk (2days) or 5k/wk with a 6 day work week)
The TSLA chart admittedly looks pretty bleak now. Quite a swing from Wednesday when things appeared to have hit a strong bottom. The Trump tariff nonsense certainly came at a bad time.
The very recent uptake in VINs could be the saving grace, though. I certainly don't know what's going to happen, and I'm not willing to make a trade on it one way or the other right now.
LIT chart looks terrible to me right now too
. Still looks like some downside to fill yet there.
Waiting4M3
Active Member
If the last few days of March is indeed producing at a faster rate than the previous full week, and is maintained into the 1st week of April, that would be a good message to convey also.
Thats not even the worst. Messaging from white house about not considering to fire mueller should be trump speak for 'going to fire mueller soon', and hiring John Bolton who firmly seated controversially elected George W Bush by starting a war based on lies (Iraq) is quite an omnious choice for the situation we are in. In other words: macros as scary as never before.
To be honest macros appear to have almost reached another bottom to me. If more bad trade or politics news comes along that won’t matter though. Once again I’m not willing to bet one way or the other
Just three weeks ago Bolton was speaking of making a pre-emptive nuclear strike against n. Korea.. Trump has finally found someone as sick in the head as he is. Listen to today's podcast of Democracy Now for details.
anticitizen13.7
Not posting at TMC after 9/17/2018
Obviously, uncertain macro conditions are causing volatility in the markets.
My perspective is that investors who have planned out their asset allocations should stick to their plans. The Dotcom crash of ‘01 and the Financial Crisis of ‘08 teach the same lesson: acting on panic likely won’t result in a favorable outcome.
My perspective is that investors who have planned out their asset allocations should stick to their plans. The Dotcom crash of ‘01 and the Financial Crisis of ‘08 teach the same lesson: acting on panic likely won’t result in a favorable outcome.
Hello 300, my old friend...
I've come to talk with you again...
Good News: Market is falling at a pace equal to or greater than Tesla is falling. At least we have that going for us.
I've come to talk with you again...
Good News: Market is falling at a pace equal to or greater than Tesla is falling. At least we have that going for us.
A falling tide lowers all boats?
If so, I hope TSLA has a deep draft.
Regardless, I predict the stock will not descend next Friday.
My prediction...I'm going to own the same (approximate) 500 shares next week, the week after, and the week after that.
THEY CAN PRY MY TESLA SHARES OUT OF MY COLD DEAD HANDS.
I’m not selling either. I have 543 core shares. Day trade 20-100 shares - goes up, sell - goes down I hold until
it goes back up.
Macro level we could see a 25% drop any day. The market will want to send a message to president and congress and scare them into compliance. We are in unchartered territory and anything, I mean anything is possible. I suspect president will be impeached which will lead to a calmer market.
it goes back up.
Macro level we could see a 25% drop any day. The market will want to send a message to president and congress and scare them into compliance. We are in unchartered territory and anything, I mean anything is possible. I suspect president will be impeached which will lead to a calmer market.
Because the market will be closed?
A VIN 13205 assigned in model 3 invite spreadsheet. Production of 10K for Q1 is looking good now. If see VINs above 15k or 16k assigned by march end then that might indicate production of 11-12K for Q1. Which will also indicate 2000 weekly production rate in last week. NHSTA VINs needs to be also over 20K to confirm this trend. Deliveries will be restricted to 8K though may be plus/minus few hundreds.
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