Anyone who said here there won't be another rollout for months want to admit they were wrong ? Or according to some "lying" ?
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I don't know what other people said, and I'm not sure exactly what I said on this topic (I definitely didn't say Elon was lying though), but we'll see! Right now they're still rolling to 100 scores (with VIP exceptions apparently) which I expected would happen after that plan was announced. The original plan on September 27th was 1000
/day, and in the context of that tweet, it seemed like it would be good to get in early, since that seemed like an
insanely fast rollout. So I thought it was best to get into the first group of 1000, since I thought it was quite possible they would turn off further expansion beyond that soon thereafter.
I'm still not confident that they'll expand much more beyond this. Could I see them expanding a few thousand more to include 99 scores given what has happened so far? Sure, and that's exactly what they say they will do - so I expect it will happen barring unfortunate events this weekend. But it still definitely seems best to be in the first group right now. The
math on avoiding accidents seems daunting.
The doubt from some people here was predicated on events which may or may not transpire (specifically people being careless with FSD Beta and having accidents). So statistically, it was best to be in the first group. Happily, nothing significantly bad has happened - yet. This weekend will be a tougher test because it'll probably see a lot of use. It's not a matter of "if" an accident will happen - it's "when." That's a separate thing from assigning blame to FSD Beta though - it may have little to do with it.
I really thought it would just be a one shot thing and then Musk would say they are gonna stop expanding it. I worked so hard to get both of mine to 100 by what I thought was the deadline.
We'll see what happens in the next week. I definitely don't WANT anything bad to happen. But have to be realistic when you're talking about thousands of people driving around - accidents happen, often through no fault of one of the drivers. It's not extremely likely that anything bad will happen, but it could. I still think it was probably wise to be in the first group - plus you have it now rather than waiting two more weeks slogging against the Safety Score. We'll only know the actual answer as to whether it was a "one-shot thing" in another week, or perhaps 2-3 weeks (the "second shot" last night was actually a delayed part of the first shot). It's outside of Tesla's and Elon's control at this point; all we know right now is that they will expand it with 10.3 if there are no untoward events in the meantime (which they can't control).