I wanted to try and take a first crack on predicting the Average Selling Price (ASP) of the Tesla Model 3 based on the data collected with Model3Tracker.Info thus far. I started with @farzynessAttempting to price out options for Model 3 post and took a spin on it with my guesstimates of pricing to come up with this. I broke out Tesla owners from the data to see the impact of current ownership on ASP. Looks like current owners may spend about 6.7% more on the Model 3 vs. the general public. Assumptions 30% pricing reductions by economies of scale (including the goal of reducing the battery production costs). Larger battery pricing (also assuming only two sizes) to upgrade from base 60 kWh to a larger 75 kWh battery for the Model X its 9k and 8.5k for S Using 70% of pricing of an S would work out to 5.95k Rear vs. All Wheel Drive, Performance Drive Train, Ludicrous, Paint, Wheels, Décor, Sub Zero, etc.. all based similarly on 70% of the S. Model3Tracker.info is missing Seats, Décor, and high amperage charger configuration options and thus those mixes are my guesstimates (and trying to not throw off the Current owners mix too much.) Feedback welcomed and appreciated. I'd like to update the model based on general consensus (if we can obtain something like that!). This is a rough draft and may not be circulated or publicated.