Reciprocity
Active Member
Agreed, unless some production issues come up I expect duel motor for day 1 owners for April 2018
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Agreed, unless some production issues come up I expect duel motor for day 1 owners for April 2018
modamoda
Member
Nice chart ... but I agree that the Battery options for Standard/Blue and Long Range/Green are reversed
Oops, thanks for pointing it out. updated
(it looks like I can't edit post after a while)
For added data. Non-Tesla owner, Midwest, order placed online just before preview event. Odd thing is it won't let me save my awd preference and they have poor English skills.
I just made my reservation yesterday (live in Florida, non-Tesla owner). It is saying early 2019 in the Delivery Estimator. I have a lease on my BMW 328 ending at the end of Jan 2019. I am hopefully the timing will work out... I didn't realize that they were going that far in advance for the reservations now. If knew, I probably would have reserved a few months ago.
modamoda
Member
Thanks. Added midwest delivery projection and adjusted size/position of boxes to precise point.
Not exactly. You get the rest of the current quarter and one additional quarter at the full rate. So if they hit 200k US delivers on 12/31/17 the full tax credit only goes through 3/31/18. (Where if they hit 200k one day later on 1/1/18, the full credit goes through 6/30/18.)
FlatSix911
Porsche 918 Hybrid
JeffK
Well-Known Member
I thought @Troy was estimating that they would hit it on about 1/20/18, it wouldn't take speeding up the Model 3 ramp much to that forward 20 days. (Though Elon did say that they would hold deliveries to maximize the credit.)
Reciprocity
Active Member
Pretty sure they can make sure that doesn't happen. Mark my words, 200001 will be delivered in Jan 2018. Early in the month.
JeffK
Well-Known Member
They were at 100,000 at the beginning of the year. Through June it was estimated that they sold 20,140 S/X in the US... if they double that and sell 40,000 in the US then they'd need 60,000 Model 3s before the end of the year. There's not a chance it'll happen in 2017. They'd have to hit their 5000 per week around October and then all the deliveries would need to happen before the end of December to count.
If they hit that stride the first week of October then the last week of December's cars would still not be delivered on time. This means they'd actually have to hit near 5000 per week in mid September due to the delivery delay. What was it 100 cars planned for the month of August...
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JeffK
Well-Known Member
JeffK
Well-Known Member
Those don't mean much and that's not configuring your car or anything. Make sure to hit the manage button
yeahsci
Member
My estimate: first production Oct-Dec 2017, Standard Dec 2017-Feb 2018, Dual Motor May-Jul 2018. Stood in line on day one in California and a current owner. We have a second model 3 order with everything pushed out a month since I only get one bump-up benefit.
jgillispie
Member
Yeah its just a preference which I assume is a poll to help them judge configuration numbers. Go to your account, hit manage, then click the link for delivery estimator.
Remember this, a lot of people that reserved the first day wanted the performance version and will probably still get their car after you.
JeffK
Well-Known Member
I'm hoping everyone and their mother selects AWD just so they understand the urgency.
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