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Model 3 in 2018 or wait until early 2019 for Model Y?

Discussion in 'Model 3' started by SoCalGuy, Aug 2, 2017.

  1. SoCalGuy

    SoCalGuy Member

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    Elon says Model Y is now going to be based off of the Model 3 platform to bring it to market faster, likely early 2019.

    How many are now gonna cancel M3 reservation and wait for the Y?

    I'm thinking about it.
     
  2. Phillip L

    Phillip L Gas Passer

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    I would probably go with the Y, rather than an earlier 3, especially if it is about two or three years from now. Timing would be really good for us then.
     
  3. SoCalGuy

    SoCalGuy Member

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    I'm guessing Elon won't show us a prototype or drawing until sometime next year so as to not cannibalize the 3 sales
     
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  4. electracity

    electracity Active Member

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    All Tesla customers will get first shot at a model Y. There will be many more in the family in two years. So I think expecting to have a model Y before 2020 is questionable.


    If they build the Y in Fremont it will share production with the 3. So Y production volumes will not be like the 3 launch. If they are building the Y in a new factory, they have 29 months to make that happen for DEC 2019. That is not going to happen.
     
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  5. ChadS

    ChadS Petroleum is for sissies

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    Yeah, Tesla has too many pressing issues to count on a Y by early 2019. Could happen if Musk keeps his cowbell in check and everything else goes exactly as planned...but neither of those seem very likely.

    Plus, who knows? You may be surprised by a design decision and not like the Y, as many didn't like that the first X didn't have a folding second row, the 3 is not a hatchback, etc.

    I mean, sure, if the 3/S/X don't meet your needs, you should wait. But if you can make one work, I am not sure if you will end up happy that you waited for something slightly better.

    But hey, predicting the future is hard.
     
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  6. alseTrick

    alseTrick Active Member

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    Haha. Uhhh. You'll just have to wait for the Y like you're already waiting for the 3. They'll likely have hundreds of thousands of reservations for the Y also. And they'll likely delay international vehicle sales until after a significant number of US sales like they're doing with the 3.

    If you want to wait 4-5 years for the Y instead of another 1-2 for the 3, go for it.

    Not to mention, does Tesla even know where they will manufacture the Y? Is it going to be in Fremont or a yet-to-be-named-or-purchased second vehicle factory? If it's a "new" factory, that will take time on top of the already expected production line setup time. Even if it's part of the Fremont expansion, that will also take time.

    Things to consider.
     
  7. alseTrick

    alseTrick Active Member

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    Highly doubt they are cranking out and selling production Y's in 1Q19. Jmo.
     
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  8. Stolz25

    Stolz25 Member

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    Definitely wait for the Y.
     
  9. BluestarE3

    BluestarE3 Active Member

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    You very likely won't get any Federal tax credit with the Model Y though... if that's important to you.
     
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  10. Thomas Edison

    Thomas Edison Member

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    The Y will require an EV sound generator when traveling under 19mph. I'll go with the quiet $7500 discounted 3, thank you very much.
     
    • Informative x 1
  11. S'toon

    S'toon Knows where his towel is

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    Sheer guess on my part is they might have Model Y prototype reveal event in Q1 or Q2 2019. Something like last year's 3 reveal event.

    Remember, Musk isn't the best person to rely on for date for upcoming features and products.
     
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  12. JonathanD

    JonathanD Member

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    Eh, Elon time. He sets extremely aggressive goals to get his people to push for the max. Often times they aren't realistic, but it's amazing what they achieve despite that. I just hope he doesn't burn through too much talent too quickly.
     
  13. alseTrick

    alseTrick Active Member

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    Remember, Musk announced the Semi reveal already. The Semi seems more production-ready than the Y (based on admittedly incredibly limited info). And we have no clue when the Semi will be produced.
     
  14. Phillip L

    Phillip L Gas Passer

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    Thing is .... I already have an S so the wait would not be like for someone still iceing around. Poor slobs. But the timing would be right, because we would be replacing my wife's car, and she is the one who likes SUVs. Right now we have a new Volt for her. Me, I'm stuck with the Tesla :D
     
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  15. alseTrick

    alseTrick Active Member

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    #15 alseTrick, Aug 2, 2017
    Last edited: Aug 2, 2017
    [​IMG]
    Watch yourself. (You would *never* think I was a Model 3 reservee by what I currently drive. It is an absolute POS and I hate it every day.)

    Wouldn't you still be behind all US Tesla owners and many US non-Tesla owners that want high-specked models?
     
  16. SoCalGuy

    SoCalGuy Member

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    I guess there's always the I Pace for those that want a smaller electric SUV...
     
  17. miggz410

    miggz410 Member

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    One of the main reason I'm hoping that Tesla offers a lease option right away... Planning to lease my first 3... Then decide if I want the Y, or another 3 when my lease ends.
     
  18. Sonny Daze

    Sonny Daze Member

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    At this point it looks like I will miss the $7500 (probably not $3750) waiting for dual motor anyway. I'd rather have a small SUV than a 4 door sedan (never owned one) so I am open to the idea depending on the timing.
     
  19. FirstSea

    FirstSea Member

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    I'll probably cancel my reservation and hope the Y is the car I wanted, I was extremely disappointed by what the 3 turned out to be...
     
  20. NeverFollow

    NeverFollow Member

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    Easy answer: The Model 3 Trunk is not practical. Difficult to load bicycle, stroller, big boxes...

    [​IMG]

    See in comparison the Model S (and probably Model Y) Trunk:

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]
     
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