As more and more tesla's are sold/made there will be more and more superchargers to service said cars. At some point there will be more superchargers available then is needed.
An excellent point that I have made multiple times, yet very few seem to believe for some reason. In Los Angeles County there are 1,900 gas stations that service over 6,000,000 vehicles that are registered here. I doubt that thus far even 1% of that, or 60,000 units are Supercharger capable Tesla Motors products right now. But this works out to around 3,000 ICE vehicles for every gas station though...
SHELL has about 25,000 gas stations in the United States. Now, they aren't the sole provider of gasoline and diesel products in the nation... But they still figure that is enough to handle the 250,000,000 ICE vehicles that are on the roads here, should they choose to stop by. That's 10,000 cars and trucks per location.
According to the 2012 US Census, there were 114,533 gas stations in the nation. So, just shy of 2,200 ICE cars per location.
A lot of people talk about the mythical
'five minute fill-up' they do routinely with an ICE vehicle. If you presume that a Supercharger stop would typically be six times as long, or 30 minutes... That means you would need Superchargers to be six times as dense per Tesla vehicle as gas stations are for ICE cars. Of course, you also have to suspend reality and presume that 99.9% of new Tesla Owners will forego the option of charging at home, as
'everyone knows' the sky will fall once the Model ≡ arrives and there will be lines around the block at every Supercharger for hours on end.
Anyhow, with those caveats, you may expect:
- one Supercharger location for every 367 vehicles in the US,
- or one Supercharger location for every 500 equipped vehicles in Los Angeles County,
- or one Supercharger location for every 1,667 for SHELL Customers in the US
Well, it turns out that for the approximately 66,003 Model S owners and maybe 608 Model X owners in the US there are currently 255 active Supercharger locations. Which works out to about 261 equipped Tesla Motors vehicles per Supercharger. Or, well ahead of the needed ratio to
'match' gas stations. I firmly believe that this proves that Tesla Motors holds a commitment to density of Superchargers. I do not believe that commitment will fade with the coming of Model ≡. If anything, it will redouble.