Look, anyone who actually understands transportation throughput knows that you have higher capacity, and therefore lower costs of operation, with long trains on rails than with individual cars on rubber. It's not arguable.
So I wish Musk well in making tunnel-boring cheaper, but *whatever he does*, I can make a higher-capacity, cheaper-to-operate, and therefore *more profitable* system by removing the cars and putting trains in instead. I'm waiting for him to figure that out.
In fact, if he actually figures out how to make tunnel-boring cheaper, the most financially sound move is to underbid everyone else on subway projects. The fact that he hasn't done so is because he hasn't figured out how to make it cheaper yet.
The weird thing is, the overpriced part of subway projects is mostly not the tunnel boring. It's the utility relocation and the "cut and cover" construction, and occasionally the station mining (which is usually cut-and-cover) which balloon out of control. I don't think Musk has even realized that that's the problem...
I completely agree with everything you posted you here. As smart as Elon Musk is, he's blinded by his own brilliance.
Even if he can lower the cost of boring tunnels, that's just a small part of the entire equation. What about the cost of all the other infrastructure (as neroden pointed out), including all those elevator lift stations
for cars? One-at-a-time? WTAF? Sure, getting from point A to point B will be fast, but there will be a line of cars on both ends to get into and out of the tunnel system. It will be a complete failure, unless they have ramps on both ends like they have on the one end of the existing tunnel. But that requires a lot of land space to make room for that.
But the biggest thing Elon doesn't get is -- Who is going to pay for this? The reason that subways work is that while they are phenomenally expensive to build and operate, that cost is divided up among millions of riders per day. What's the yearly throughput of the Boring Tunnels going to be? What's the total amortized development cost plus the ongoing operation, maintenance, labor, interest, and overhead costs. Divide those two to get a per-trip cost. Most people just aren't going to pay that much to save time on the highways. But people counter argue - but the Tesla Loop is going to take you exactly where you want to go, and not a centralized station stop. Bullocks. So that just increases the cost of the tunnels because you have a huge network of single-use tunnels (exponentially more expense) going from and to specific places, or a hub-and-spoke or ring-and-spur network that is even more complex and not direct routes.
Elon should just dig the cheapest tunnels, and let the transportation experts decide what to put in them. This is a problem we solved over a hundred years ago.