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Model S Delivery Update

Discussion in 'Model S: Ordering, Production, Delivery' started by joefee, Jul 27, 2012.

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  1. Grendal

    Grendal Active Member

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    I saw VIN #12 today. Performance black with performance rims and pano roof. It was in the Chicago service center awaiting delivery. The people working there were happy to show it to me and were excited it was there. I wasn't allowed into the car just a perusal of the exterior.
     
  2. brianman

    brianman Burrito Founder

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    How much of the VIN did you see?

    Was it F00012, or some other letter in the 6th character from the right?
     
  3. Blurry_Eyed

    Blurry_Eyed MS Sig #267, MX Sig # 761

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    #23 Blurry_Eyed, Aug 1, 2012
    Last edited: Aug 1, 2012
    This is what I've been told has been happening with the production line and indirectly this would feed into the delivery schedule: The way the initial ramp up has been going is that Tesla is producing a couple of cars and then pausing the line while Elon personally inspects the batch of cars they produced. Then any issues are addressed and the line is tweaked (which might take a day or so, depending on the issue) and then another small batch of cars is produced and poured over for quality. This is a slightly different initial ramp-up in production than initially thought. (much slower at the beginning, but much quicker once all the issues are addressed up front). Doing this will insure higher quality for all the cars as the quality issues are addressed very early in the production run. Once Elon is comfortable with the quality level, the full speed ramp up should progress quite quickly. This matches what he said in the recent investors call. So it does initially delay the very early cars from their initially quoted delivery dates, but it should mean that the fast ramp-up to hit the 5000 car delivery goal should be achievable by year end. So I think the quality of the cars now coming off the line and being delivered to customers at this point is much greater than any of the cars we have seen at the Get Amped events. We will find out very soon now that cars are out in the wild and those numbers will continually increase over time.

    I expect that we will see a very fast ramp up after all the Signature cars are delivered. I'm hopeful that the regular production car que will be very pleasantly surprised at how quick the delivery schedule progresses in October, November and December. In other words, the production line can blast out cars at it's maximum rate now if Tesla wanted to, but won't do so until they are very confident of the quality of the cars coming off the line. Give Elon's track record with getting problems solved, I would say that the line will be at full speed sooner than we expect and will be producing many more cars than the 20,000 a year delivery goal implies.
     
  4. Hache

    Hache Member

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    #24 Hache, Aug 1, 2012
    Last edited: Aug 1, 2012
    Kimbal Musk got his model s today :)
    see twitter
     
  5. dflye

    dflye S Sig Perf 414, VIN 814

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  6. brianman

    brianman Burrito Founder

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    "its"?

    Robots are buying cars now? Ruh roh. Who forgot to take out Dyson?
     
  7. dflye

    dflye S Sig Perf 414, VIN 814

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    Isn't that slavery? :eek:
     
  8. brianman

    brianman Burrito Founder

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    I suppose so. But I'm not gonna argue with the robots about it. Flesh squishy.
     
  9. Hache

    Hache Member

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    Sorry, bad english ! :redface: That happen frequently when I don't check my english before posting, as usually when posting from my phone ! (I'm french) :wink:
     
  10. brianman

    brianman Burrito Founder

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    @Hache - Heh, no worries. Just lightening the mood a bit. :)

    The only French words I know are food related, and I can't spell them correctly anyway.
     
  11. Hache

    Hache Member

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    I'm sure you know those ones:
    Voulez-vous coucher avec moi ce soir ?

    Now you just have to take a french accent when asking this, and add a baisemain after :tongue:
     
  12. jomo25

    jomo25 P4398

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    So, if all goes according to the target ramp up, the Model S will be the # selling EV (including PHEVs, BEVs) on a monthly basis beginning as soon as November or December, as the Vole (current #1) is selling about 2000 units per month. That'll be an interesting accomplishment only 5 months out of the gate.

    Volt sales notch up again in July and surpass all other plug-in models
     
  13. dsm363

    dsm363 Roadster + Sig Model S

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    I was told late September now for my Model S.
     
  14. dmckinstry

    dmckinstry Model S - U.S. P - #1649

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    But liked that in an announcement it was stated that they broke the crusher in the crush test.
     
  15. pguerra

    pguerra Member

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    Hmm...my paperwork says Oct 2012 and I'm 1000 cars behind you.
     
  16. dsm363

    dsm363 Roadster + Sig Model S

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    That could still maybe happen. I'm probably going to guess early November for you but it all depends on how fast the rampup is.
     
  17. Zythryn

    Zythryn MS 70D, MX 90D

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    I bet DM363's paperwork said an earlier date too. The paperwork was a first estimate. My original estimate was August 15th. Now it is October.
    However, it also sounds like the rampup, as described in George's blog entry today, will be very fast. Just a slower start to get some issues taken care of up front. So I could definitely see them making 1000 cars in the month of October. So in your case, it could very well work out.
    If you get within 20-30 days and don't hear anything, give them a call.
     
  18. FlasherZ

    FlasherZ Sig Model S + Sig Model X + Model 3 Resv

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    I was originally told September/October, paperwork says October. I was shooting for my birthday (Oct. 15), so I e-mailed my configuration specialist, asking how close we'll be to that -- I was told late October/early November now, but he said it depends on how the ramp-up goes.
     
  19. DrComputer

    DrComputer Member

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    I'm not quite sure how any of you are getting date estimates. When I e-mailed two different people I know at Tesla, I got the same stock answer.

    "As you know, we are currently focussed completely on quality, checking, double checking and triple checking each car prior to delivery. Your delivery specialist will reach out to you when your delivery is approximately 30 days out at which time you can make all of your travelarrangements."
     
  20. contaygious

    contaygious Member

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    Yeah my rep told me October, but then the site told me November the same day. I asked the rep again and he said to go by the site.
     

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