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Model S Reservation Tally

Joel

Active Member
Mar 24, 2011
1,266
279
Michigan
This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post 1) your reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model X Reservation Tally can be found here: Model X Tally

To add / view the locations of Model S and Model X reservations holders, visit: Tesla Model S & X Reservations

The instructions to add to the reservation World Map, can be found here: World Map of Model S Reservation Holders

Delivery Update can be found here: Model S Delivery Update

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
SSL 249 (January 4, 2012)
S 1,353 (October 19, 2012)
R 532 (October 30, 2012)
P 19,711 (March 3, 2013)

Canada
SSL 23 (July 18, 2012)
S 177 (September 23, 2012)
P 677 (February 1, 2013)

Europe/Asia
S 500 (July 2, 2012)
R 269 (November 25, 2012)
P 2,891 (February 27, 2013)

UK
S 20 (October 9, 2012)
P 75 (December 21, 2012)

Hong Kong
S 28 (September 27, 2012)
R 2 (July 9, 2011)
P 168 (January 11, 2013)

Australia
S 38 (August 18, 2012)
P 48 (December 12, 2012)

Gross Total: 26,761 - March 3, 2013

Net Total: 17,582 - March 3, 2013*

Official Deliveries: 132 - September 23, 2012**
Official Deliveries: 250 - October 3, 2012 Announcement***
Official Deliveries: 253 - 2012 3rd Quarter - November 5, 2012 Earnings Call ****
Official Deliveries: 2,400 - 2012 4th Quarter - February 20, 2013 Earnings Call *****

* = Net Total subtracts the 6,529 known Signature cancellations/downgrades unit differential & 2,650 Deliveries announced at February 20, 2013 Quarter Earnings Call (See ***** Link)
** = Official Deliveries stated in September 23, 2012 SEC Filing - http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1318605/000119312512402293/d413621dex991.htm
*** = Official Deliveries stated in October 3, 2012 Blog Post - An Update from Elon Musk | Blog | Tesla Motors
**** = http://files.shareholder.com/downloads/ABEA-4CW8X0/1741885587x0x611344/42cb80fa-6f64-4e48-93ff-2da29de21acc/Q3%202012%20Shareholder%20Letter%20Final.pdf
*****http://files.shareholder.com/downlo...-9c9e-16a8dda99a19/Q4'12 SHL 022013 final.pdf

S = Signature Series (Model S)
SSL = Signature Special List (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family
P = General Production (Model S)
Red = Signature Series Sold Out for Region
 
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The economics of gas vs electricity are largely irrelevant at the $120k+ sportscar level.
However at $50k,$60k even $70k it is relevant because a $50k Model S is cheaper to own after 10 years than a car that costs half as much.
Even a $70k Model S is cheaper after 10 years than a car that cost much much less ( $45k midrange luxury car ).

My argument ( considering only fuel price and depreciation, but ignoring maintenance ) is here: Electric Car Costs | High Speed Charging
 
It was a guess based on a bunch of things:
1) Tesla believes they can make a 56kWhr Roadster pack for less than $12k by 2016.
2) Replacing a Model S battery after 8 years puts you in 2020, 4 more years of improvement past 2016.
3) Elon Musk claiming an 8% improvement in batteries per year.
4) LG Chem CEO saying cell costs will decline four fold over the next10 years in 2010
 
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It's from Tesla offering the pre-paid battery replacement deal for $12k when you buy a Roadster.
If I had done that in 2009, the earliest I could collect the battery is 2016. Every year earlier they charge me an additional $2k, every year after they give back $1k.
I should have calculated some rate of return on Tesla holding the $12k for 7 years - but I think the rate is thin, and I think they have built in nice profit margin on the deal without that anyway - I could be wrong.
 
Sorry, but my OCD is showing... every time I look at these numbers, it is killing me that they are out of order. I know it is a minor point, but the numbers should be in the following order: S, then R, then P.

I will have to stop following this thread until that is corrected :wink:
 

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