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Model S Reservation Tally

Discussion in 'Model S: Ordering, Production, Delivery' started by Joel, Jun 7, 2011.

  1. Joel

    Joel Active Member

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    #1 Joel, Jun 7, 2011
    Last edited: Mar 11, 2013
    This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

    If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post 1) your reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

    The Model X Reservation Tally can be found here: Model X Tally

    To add / view the locations of Model S and Model X reservations holders, visit: Tesla Model S & X Reservations

    The instructions to add to the reservation World Map, can be found here: World Map of Model S Reservation Holders

    Delivery Update can be found here: Model S Delivery Update

    Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

    US
    SSL 249 (January 4, 2012)
    S 1,353 (October 19, 2012)
    R 532 (October 30, 2012)
    P 19,711 (March 3, 2013)

    Canada
    SSL 23 (July 18, 2012)
    S 177 (September 23, 2012)
    P 677 (February 1, 2013)

    Europe/Asia
    S 500 (July 2, 2012)
    R 269 (November 25, 2012)
    P 2,891 (February 27, 2013)

    UK
    S 20 (October 9, 2012)
    P 75 (December 21, 2012)

    Hong Kong
    S 28 (September 27, 2012)
    R 2 (July 9, 2011)
    P 168 (January 11, 2013)

    Australia
    S 38 (August 18, 2012)
    P 48 (December 12, 2012)

    Gross Total: 26,761 - March 3, 2013

    Net Total: 17,582 - March 3, 2013*

    Official Deliveries: 132 - September 23, 2012**
    Official Deliveries: 250 - October 3, 2012 Announcement***
    Official Deliveries: 253 - 2012 3rd Quarter - November 5, 2012 Earnings Call ****
    Official Deliveries: 2,400 - 2012 4th Quarter - February 20, 2013 Earnings Call *****

    * = Net Total subtracts the 6,529 known Signature cancellations/downgrades unit differential & 2,650 Deliveries announced at February 20, 2013 Quarter Earnings Call (See ***** Link)
    ** = Official Deliveries stated in September 23, 2012 SEC Filing - http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1318605/000119312512402293/d413621dex991.htm
    *** = Official Deliveries stated in October 3, 2012 Blog Post - An Update from Elon Musk | Blog | Tesla Motors
    **** = http://files.shareholder.com/downloads/ABEA-4CW8X0/1741885587x0x611344/42cb80fa-6f64-4e48-93ff-2da29de21acc/Q3%202012%20Shareholder%20Letter%20Final.pdf
    *****http://files.shareholder.com/downloads/ABEA-4CW8X0/2361364236x0x637040/4e3260f0-b711-47df-9c9e-16a8dda99a19/Q4'12%20SHL%20022013%20final.pdf

    S = Signature Series (Model S)
    SSL = Signature Special List (Model S)
    R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family
    P = General Production (Model S)
    Red = Signature Series Sold Out for Region
     
  2. jcstp

    jcstp Active Member

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    production for year one is sold!
    Good start for TESLA!
     
  3. Fr23shjive

    Fr23shjive Member

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    Wait till people see that the Tesla isnt vaporware and they will be delivered on schedule. I think a lot of people are still hesitant to put down 5k but once they see them coming off the assembly line sales are going to sky rocket. At least, that's my prediction.
     
  4. Cobos

    Cobos S60 owner since 2013

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    And keep in mind in Europe they don't have prices or have seen even the Alpha yet. When people will know a lot more about how the car looks THEN I expect the sales to skyrocket in Europe.

    Cobos
     
  5. William13

    William13 Member

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    Cobos, I don't think Europe will be as big as the US. In spite of higher gas prices and much lower relative cost ( compared with other small sportcars) when taxes are included for Roadster, sales in Europe lag. The prototype has been shown here, not the alphas.
     
  6. richkae

    richkae VIN587

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    The economics of gas vs electricity are largely irrelevant at the $120k+ sportscar level.
    However at $50k,$60k even $70k it is relevant because a $50k Model S is cheaper to own after 10 years than a car that costs half as much.
    Even a $70k Model S is cheaper after 10 years than a car that cost much much less ( $45k midrange luxury car ).

    My argument ( considering only fuel price and depreciation, but ignoring maintenance ) is here: Electric Car Costs | High Speed Charging
     
  7. vfx

    vfx Well-Known Member

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    What did you base your Model S battery price on?
     
  8. richkae

    richkae VIN587

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    #8 richkae, Jun 9, 2011
    Last edited: Jun 9, 2011
    It was a guess based on a bunch of things:
    1) Tesla believes they can make a 56kWhr Roadster pack for less than $12k by 2016.
    2) Replacing a Model S battery after 8 years puts you in 2020, 4 more years of improvement past 2016.
    3) Elon Musk claiming an 8% improvement in batteries per year.
    4) LG Chem CEO saying cell costs will decline four fold over the next10 years in 2010
     
  9. vfx

    vfx Well-Known Member

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    The 8% battery improvement is a known. Can you site the 56KWhr 12K price source?
     
  10. markwj

    markwj Moderator, Asia Pacific

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    The only time I've heard that figure is when talking about the pre-paid battery replacement option for $12,000 (ignoring the NPV of US$12k over 7 years).
     
  11. richkae

    richkae VIN587

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    It's from Tesla offering the pre-paid battery replacement deal for $12k when you buy a Roadster.
    If I had done that in 2009, the earliest I could collect the battery is 2016. Every year earlier they charge me an additional $2k, every year after they give back $1k.
    I should have calculated some rate of return on Tesla holding the $12k for 7 years - but I think the rate is thin, and I think they have built in nice profit margin on the deal without that anyway - I could be wrong.
     
  12. vfx

    vfx Well-Known Member

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    Ok, I missed the 2k before 1k after thing in the pre-buy battery deal.
     
  13. clea

    clea Member

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    is there any way we can make this thread a sticky and/or have it marked more clearly when michiganmodels updates it?
     
  14. doug

    doug Administrator / Head Moderator

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    Now stuck. I would like to see a graph of # of reservations versus time.
     
  15. kgb

    kgb Member

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    Sorry, but my OCD is showing... every time I look at these numbers, it is killing me that they are out of order. I know it is a minor point, but the numbers should be in the following order: S, then R, then P.

    I will have to stop following this thread until that is corrected :wink:
     
  16. Kevin Harney

    Kevin Harney Active Member

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    That should be CDO. Which is like OCD only in alphabetical order as it should be ....
     
  17. Joel

    Joel Active Member

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    Should the order be: R, S, then P? Will R have priority over S?
     
  18. Doug_G

    Doug_G Lead Moderator

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    No, S has priority, then R, then P.
     
  19. clea

    clea Member

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    at least until they officially come out and validate that there are separate S(r) and and S(p) lists ...
     
  20. donauker

    donauker Member

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    It is actually SS (Signature Special), at least in the US. I was told of it by my CA and I have it in writing in an email.
     

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