Given the importance of this subject thought that a separate thread is warranted.
As a first post I will present something purely analytical.
Data:
- As per InsideEVs there were 370 Model X deliveries in Jan. Here is the link.
- Per Elon Musk in Paris Model X production will reach 1000/week sometime in Q2. Here is the link.
- Musk said numerous times that Model X ramp will be exponential.
Just working with round numbers we need to go from about 100/week deliveries to 1000/week in roughly about 20 weeks.
If we were to fit that projection to a compounding curve (I assume that's what exponential means), we get a growth rate of approx. 12% per week.
Maybe we can track against this to see if things are progressing as well as expected.
As a first post I will present something purely analytical.
Data:
- As per InsideEVs there were 370 Model X deliveries in Jan. Here is the link.
- Per Elon Musk in Paris Model X production will reach 1000/week sometime in Q2. Here is the link.
- Musk said numerous times that Model X ramp will be exponential.
Just working with round numbers we need to go from about 100/week deliveries to 1000/week in roughly about 20 weeks.
If we were to fit that projection to a compounding curve (I assume that's what exponential means), we get a growth rate of approx. 12% per week.
Maybe we can track against this to see if things are progressing as well as expected.