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Model X Tally

Discussion in 'Model X' started by Joel, Feb 10, 2012.

  1. Joel

    Joel Active Member

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    #1 Joel, Feb 10, 2012
    Last edited by a moderator: Jun 2, 2015
    This thread is intended to track Model X reservations. Feel free to post your reservation sequence number, date received, country/region and if it was for a Signature or General Production. Please DO NOT post your Reservation Number (RN#), Only post your sequence number. Note: The next post is a wiki. Members can help update the table and keep the tally current. Just click on the words 'Wiki Edit' on the yellow bar (at the top of the post).
     
  2. Thread Summary

    Thread Summary Member Generated Post Wiki

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    #2 Thread Summary, Feb 10, 2012
    Last edited by a moderator: Sep 25, 2015
    Additional Tracking

    • Locations (World Map of S and X) Thread
    • Monthly Stats (US Production Reservation Rate) Google Spreadsheet
    • Tracking and reporting of reservations orders, deliveries and cancellations Thread and ModelXTracker.com

    Note: This is the wiki post[SUP]1[/SUP] Model S Tallies over here

    Tesla Model X Tally



    Type

    USA

    Canada

    NA[SUP]3 [/SUP]


    Europe[SUP]4[/SUP]


    China
    Hong
    Kong

    Japan

    Australia
    Asia

    Pacific

    Global
    Total

    Signature (S) 1,356 71 1,427
    592
    -
    - -
    -
    0
    2,019
    Production (P) 20,805 1,314
    22,119

    4,287
    2,632 738 - 98
    3,468
    29,874
    Totals 22,161 1,385
    23,546

    4,879

    2,632 738 - 98
    3,468
    31,893

    Last Updated
    Type USA Canada Europe China Hong Kong Japan Australia
    Signature (S) Mar 26, 14 May 23, 15 May 20, 14 - - - -
    Production (P) Sep 17, 15 Sep 12, 15
    Sep 7, 15 July 23, 15 Aug 17, 15 no data July 23, 15

    Statistics as of August 31

    31,195 Global Tally Total / 26,892 Estimated Total (net of cancellations)[SUP]5,6[/SUP]
    August 2015 Rolling Averages Lifetime Averages
    1,730[SUP]*[/SUP] (55.8[SUP]*[/SUP]/ day)

    If you ignore spike*: 1,153 (37.2 / day)

    • Canada: 3.5 /day
    • USA: 25.2 / day
    • Euro: 5.8 / day
    • Asia Pacific: 21.3[SUP]*[/SUP] / day

    • 3 Months: 1,267 / month
    • 6 Months: 1,039 / month
    • 12 Months: 937 / month

    • Monthly: 730.4
    • Weekly: 168.6
    • Daily: 24.0
    * Note: large spike in China is only to first update since Nov 2014. Estimated August per day more likely 37.2 (using 2.7 Asia Pacific Lifetime Daily Average), which is actually slightly down from last month), so smoothed out the August 2015 month is more like 1,153.

    Rolling 6 months Regional data
    Region Tally
    on
    Aug 31
    Tally
    on
    Jul 31
    Tally
    on
    Jun 30
    Tally
    on
    May 31
    Tally
    on
    Apr 30
    Tally
    on
    Mar 31

    Aug
    per
    Day
    Jul
    per
    Day
    Jun
    per
    Day
    May
    per
    Day
    Apr
    per
    Day
    Mar
    per
    Day

    Lifetime
    Average
    Per Day
    Lifetime
    Average
    Per Month
    Canada 1,346 1,237 1,237 1,139 1,016 1,016
    3.5 0.0 3.2 4.0 0.0 0.0
    1.0 31.5
    US 21,574 20,792 19,851 19,171 18,494 17,916
    25.2 30.4 22.7 21.8 19.3 18.7
    16.6 505.2
    European 4,807 4,627 4,375 4,305 4,182 4,080
    5.8 8.1 2.3 4.0 3.4 4.9
    3.7 112.6
    Asia Pacific 3,468 2,809 2,778 2,778 2,768 2,749
    21.3[SUP]*[/SUP] 1.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 2.2
    2.7 81.2
    Global 31,195 29,465 28,241 27,393 26,460 25,761
    55.8 39.5 28.3 30.1 23.3 25.8
    24.0 730.4
    Month Delta 1,730* 1,224 848 933 699 799









    Estimated Cancellations[SUP]1[/SUP]​
    4,303 4,283 4,263 4,243 4,223 4,203









    Estimated Totals[SUP]2[/SUP] 26,892 25,182 23,978 23,150 22,237 21,558








    Annual Summary by Region

    Region 2015 Q2 2015 Q1
    2014​
    2013 2012 Total
    Canada 22 43 648 248 77 1,237
    US 1,936 1,372 8,274 5,761 2,509 19,851
    European 295 408 2,348 1,158 166 4,375
    Asia Pacific 29 295 2,454 no data no data 2,778
    Global 2,480 2,118 13,724 7,167 2,752 28,241

    Footnotes
    1. Members may update this wiki post. Be sure to update both the tally and last update tables only.
    2. This collection of the numbers is gathered from posts by members on various threads and other forums. Please note: these aren't official numbers, and are to be taken with a grain of salt. Do not rely upon the total of production + signature numbers in any way as those who have upgraded from a production reservation to a signature reservation have been counted twice. Also cancellations are not considered.
    3. North America: Signatures assumed sold out as of March 26, 2014 and perhaps limited to 1,200. Thus count may be over by 205. Signature
    Upgrade button temporarily showed up on October 18 and some people reserved, but later informed that was not valid.Assuming these were refunded so these stats are now excluded. Some people on waiting-list for Signature models in Canada seems to have got reservation number in May 2015. In May 23 2015 the number of Signatures in Canada was changed from 49 to 71.
    4. Europe: Signatures assumed sold out as of November 10, 2014 and perhaps limited to 500. Thus count may be over by 88. (Last confirmed date November 10, 2014). Previous orders of Standard Production might be possible to upgrade to Signature if Upgrade-button was pressed before it was removed.
    5. Estimated 19,500 net reservations as of Dec 31, 2014 as per Q4 report of having "almost 20,000" on the books. Result:19,500 out of 23,643 = ~ 17.52% up to this date are likely cancelled.
    6. Estimated Cancellations after December 31, 2014, estimated at 20/month, is just a Wild Guess (no data to back it up, but a few members think that's a good guess, people's situation and needs change, so likely get a refund).

     
  3. John_DeDe

    John_DeDe 2 Model S Family :)

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  4. Lloyd

    Lloyd Active Member

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    You can merge this with Michiganmodels post after mine.
     
  5. Lyon

    Lyon 2012 S P85, 2016 X P90D

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    P-109 @ 12:05!
     
  6. Lyon

    Lyon 2012 S P85, 2016 X P90D

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    P - 109, reserved at 12:05

    I posted in the other thread but I'll post it here too.

    @mods: lets merge the other or just delete it?
     
  7. Joel

    Joel Active Member

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    I'd say delete the other. The Model S Tally and Model X are linked, so they'll have the most traffic.
     
  8. engle

    engle Member

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    #8 engle, Feb 10, 2012
    Last edited: Feb 10, 2012
    Reserved at 12:03pm :biggrin:

    View attachment 4185

    At 12:50pm PST, TeslaMotors.com https: pages are still loading veeerrry slooowly, which is a good sign. Flood of first day X-servations is continuing! :biggrin:
     
  9. Laurent

    Laurent Member

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    P68 reserved 11:54am.
     
  10. bonnie

    bonnie Oil is for sissies.

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    Another forum member was right behind me & got Sig 4. Those without checkbooks last night didn't get a reservation number - that will happen when they wire the money or give a check to Tesla. I don't usually carry mine, but took it on the off-chance that they'd take deposits at the event.
     
  11. mlascano

    mlascano S Sig #722

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    I posted on the TM forum but I see michiganmodels updated here already. I got P181.
     
  12. cap'n crunch

    cap'n crunch New Member

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  13. doug

    doug Administrator / Head Moderator

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    Sorry just noticed there were two. Thread merged.
     
  14. vfx

    vfx Well-Known Member

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    With friends like that...


    You would never_________________

    You would always________________

    You will_______________________

    You can't______________________
     
  15. gg_got_a_tesla

    gg_got_a_tesla Model S: VIN P65513, Model 3 Res Holder

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    Needs to be a sticky too, Doug. And, please fix the title while you are at it :)
     
  16. waymond

    waymond New Member

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    I got Model X Signature No. 4.

    I was behind Bonnie with my Check book.

    Waymond
    :smile:
     
  17. Joel

    Joel Active Member

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    Doug - Can you have my thread sticky'd. I'm unable to edit the original thread. Thanks.
     
  18. doug

    doug Administrator / Head Moderator

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    Ehh.. this is your thread... I merged them. I can delete the first few posts so you appear as post #1.
     
  19. doug

    doug Administrator / Head Moderator

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    These posts got deleted.
     
  20. Joel

    Joel Active Member

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    That's what I meant. Sorry, it's been a long day. Please have my post appear first to avoid confusion. Thanks, Doug
     

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