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Model X Tally

Discussion in 'Model X' started by Joel, Feb 10, 2012.

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  1. Cattledog

    Cattledog Active Member

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    OK, about 20/day still. Question is whether the res rate will return to pre-D levels (more than double current) or higher when X is revealed. Tesla certainly hopes so, as do I!
     
  2. Earlian

    Earlian Member

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    There's no hope needed. Demand will fly ludicrously high.

    On the S-demand they should worry about, not the x
     
  3. AlMc

    AlMc 'Senior Moments' member

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    It will be interesting to see how TM handles this situation (start of X production/reservations for and S production). There are certainly some people that want an S instead of an X.....But, how will they handle it if they come out with a 100+ battery pack with the X...will S buying decrease while potential S buyers wait for the 100 pack? If they do will TM be able to ramp sufficient production of the X to make it to guidance of 55K production for 2016. Will there be orphan Ss sitting around?

    The decision on the best way to proceed with X introduction/features/production to keep people from dropping the S reservation/produced cars is WAY above my pay grade. Osborne effect?
     
  4. Paul Carter

    Paul Carter Active Member

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    Some preliminary numbers:


    • 597 so far for the month of April (19.3 US / day + 0.6 Asia Pacific / day) = 19.9 / day
    • Rolling averages are still way down from the peak before the D announcement. But seasonal and D recovery to historical averages seems to be happening
      • 3 Months: 755
      • 6 Months: 642
      • 12 Months: 979
    • Lifetime averages
      • Per Day at 22.4 (very stable since the D announcement - from 22.1 to 22.6 - over the 7 months)
      • Per Week at 157.3
      • Per Month at 681.7

    Will publish the updated graph/numbers/stats in a few days to see if I can get some late comers in the stats (as usual).
     
  5. sightalignment

    sightalignment New Member

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    I reserved MX on 4/26 and for RN 17033. How is it lower than others?
     
  6. Paul Carter

    Paul Carter Active Member

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    Tesla Model X Tally Statistics as of April 30, 2015

    26,460 Global Tally Total / 22,237 Estimated Total (net of cancellations)[SUP][SUB]*[/SUB][/SUP]
    April 2015Rolling AveragesLifetime Averages
    699 (23.3 per day)
    • Canada: 0.0 /day
    • USA: 19.3 / day
    • Euro: 3.4 / day
    • Asia Pacific: 0.6 / day

    • 3 Months: 789 / month
    • 6 Months: 659 / month
    • 12 Months: 988 / month

    • Monthly: 684.4
    • Weekly: 157.9
    • Daily: 22.5

    Model X Global Tally April 2015.png
    Stats by Region
    RegionTally
    on
    Apr 30
    Tally
    on
    Mar 31
    Tally
    on
    Feb 28​
    Tally
    on
    Jan 31​
    Tally
    on
    Dec 31​
    Tally on
    Nov 30​

    Apr
    per
    Day
    Mar
    per
    Day
    Feb
    per
    Day
    Jan
    Per
    Day
    Dec
    Per
    Day
    Nov
    Per
    Day

    Lifetime
    Average
    Per Day
    Lifetime
    Average
    Per Month
    Canada1,0161,0161,016973973916
    0.00.01.50.01.90.0
    0.926.3
    US18,49417,91617,33716,99416,54416,188
    19.318.712.315.011.916.4
    15.7478.3
    European4,1824,0803,9293,6723,6723,587
    3.44.99.20.02.81.9
    3.6108.2
    Asia Pacific2,7682,7492,6802,4542,4542,454
    0.62.28.10.00.03.0
    2.471.6
    Global26,46025,76124,96224,09323,64323,145
    23.325.831.015.016.620.6
    22.5684.4
    Estimated Cancellations[SUP]1[/SUP]​
    4,2234,2034,1834,1634,1434,056









    Estimated Totals[SUP]2[/SUP]22,23721,55820,77919,93019,50019,089









    * Disclaimers:

    • This collection of the numbers is gathered from posts by members on various threads and other forums. Please note: these aren't official numbers, and are to be taken with a grain of salt. Do not rely upon the total of production + signature numbers in any way as those who have upgraded from a production reservation to a signature reservation have been counted twice. Cancellations after December 31 are guesstimates.
    • North America: Signatures assumed sold out as of March 26, 2014 and perhaps limited to 1,200.
    • Europe: Signatures assumed sold out as of November 10, 2014 and perhaps limited to 500.
    Footnotes:
    1. Estimated 19,500 net reservations as of Dec 31, 2014 as per Q4 report of having "almost 20,000" on the books. Result:19,500 out of 23,643 = ~ 17.52% up to this date are likely cancelled.
    2. Estimated Cancellations after December 31, 2014, currently estimated at 20/month.[/QUOTE]

    - - - Updated - - -

    Congrats and welcome to TMC as well. You're number is in line with the stats. On 4/30 we had a report of production 17,138 (so around 100 in that 4 day period which is close to the 19-20/day). Perhaps you looked at the total of production + signatures? I just posted the stats for April. Hope you like it.
     
  7. sightalignment

    sightalignment New Member

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    That makes total sense. I didn't know that signatures and standard were broken out separately. Thank you!
     
  8. mspcooper

    mspcooper Member

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    Sig Red P85+, Sunshine Coast, QLD
    My reservation sequence is 67 for Model X (Australia). I have been advised that clients can choose to have Signature or Non Signature versions after prices are announced for Australia.
     
  9. tliving

    tliving Member

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    751
    Location:
    New England, USA
    Now if Elon would get with the picture on lawn mowers i'd be all set... Those Powerwall units would do me more good in my mower.
     
  10. gjunky

    gjunky Trifecta: Solar and both cars are EVs

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    That would cover a VERY large yard and it would be a good test bed for their autopilot technology :smile:
     
  11. MorrisonHiker

    MorrisonHiker S 100D 2018.50.6

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    There are plenty of battery powered lawn mowers out there. I haven't used a drop of gas for mowing in over 20 years.
     
  12. Paul Carter

    Paul Carter Active Member

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    This thread is 1,201 days old now. With 27,035 we have averaged 22.51/day! Amazing... I can only imagine how viral it will go after we see it (and soon!).
     
  13. dirkhh

    dirkhh Middle-aged Member

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    And back then, in February 2012, most reservation holders thought it would take how long...?
    There is the post from Mycroft Model X Tally - Page 6 where he calls the Model X "nearly production ready" - and people assumed the first Sigs would come out in 2013.
    And in July 2012 a certain "bonnie" stated that she'd thrilled if that happened (ah - the first sign of "maybe it won't"...)
    Oh well. Time flies...
     
  14. Paul Carter

    Paul Carter Active Member

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    :) Time certainly has passed, can't say it has flown by, but the last year certainly has. 31k kms later...
     
  15. Earlian

    Earlian Member

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    Germany
    One bloody guy less in the line.

    I'm out for good. Will get a S70D this summer. (the real "this")

    Wish you all fun with the Model X. It will be a really great car and probably I'm getting mine too, just some years later.

    See you around.
    Earl
     
  16. Paul Carter

    Paul Carter Active Member

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    Vancouver, BC
    #1476 Paul Carter, Jun 5, 2015
    Last edited: Jun 5, 2015
    Tesla Model X Tally Statistics as of May 31, 2015

    Tesla Model X Tally Statistics as of May 31, 2015

    27,393 Global Tally Total / 23,150 Estimated Total (net of cancellations)[SUP][SUB]*[/SUB][/SUP]
    May 2015Rolling AveragesLifetime Averages
    933 (30.1 / day)

    • Canada: 4.0 /day
    • USA: 21.8 / day
    • Euro: 4.0 / day
    • Asia Pacific: 0.3 / day

    • 3 Months: 810 / month
    • 6 Months: 708 / month
    • 12 Months: 952 / month

    • Monthly: 690.3
    • Weekly: 159.3
    • Daily: 22.7
    Model X Global Tally May 2015.png
    Stats by Region
    RegionTally
    on
    May 31
    Tally
    on
    Apr 30
    Tally
    on
    Mar 31
    Tally
    on
    Feb 28​
    Tally
    on
    Jan 31​
    Tally
    on
    Dec 31​

    May
    per
    Day
    Apr
    per
    Day
    Mar
    per
    Day
    Feb
    per
    Day
    Jan
    Per
    Day
    Dec
    Per
    Day

    Lifetime
    Average
    Per Day
    Lifetime
    Average
    Per Month
    Canada1,1391,0161,0161,016973973
    4.00.00.01.50.01.9
    0.926.3
    US19,17118,49417,91617,33716,99416,544
    21.819.318.712.315.011.9
    15.7478.3
    European4,3054,1824,0803,9293,6723,672
    4.03.44.99.20.02.8
    3.6108.2
    Asia Pacific2,7782,7682,7492,6802,4542,454
    0.30.62.28.10.00.0
    2.471.6
    Global27,39326,46025,76124,96224,09323,643
    30.123.325.831.015.016.6
    22.5684.4
    Estimated Cancellations[SUP]1[/SUP]​
    4,2434,2234,2034,1834,1634,143









    Estimated Totals[SUP]2[/SUP]23,15022,23721,55820,77919,93019,500









    * Disclaimers

    • This collection of the numbers is gathered from posts by members on various threads and other forums. Please note: these aren't official numbers, and are to be taken with a grain of salt. Do not rely upon the total of production + signature numbers in any way as those who have upgraded from a production reservation to a signature reservation have been counted twice. Cancellations after December 31 are guesstimates.
    • North America: Signatures assumed sold out as of March 26, 2014 and perhaps limited to 1,200.
    • Europe: Signatures assumed sold out as of November 10, 2014 and perhaps limited to 500.
    Footnotes
    1. Estimated 19,500 net reservations as of Dec 31, 2014 as per Q4 report of having "almost 20,000" on the books. Result:19,500 out of 23,643 = ~ 17.52% up to this date are likely cancelled.
    2. Estimated Cancellations after December 31, 2014, currently estimated at 20/month.
     
  17. davecolene0606

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    Apr 14, 2013
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    Location:
    Fort Pierce, FL
    #1477 davecolene0606, Jun 9, 2015
    Last edited by a moderator: Jun 9, 2015
    Cross Post!

    Prior to,today's announcement....

    We are in @ #17990

    :biggrin:
     
  18. Paul Carter

    Paul Carter Active Member

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    1,720
    Location:
    Vancouver, BC
    Congrats!!
     
  19. AudubonB

    AudubonB Mild-mannered Moderator Lord Vetinari*

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    Mar 24, 2013
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    6,668
    And, in keeping with our Northernmost Model S Registration (for NoAm. Those GulfStream-tropical Norwegians have us beat)....we received reservation #17979 for our Northernmost Model X yesterday. 63.03ºN Latitude....
     
  20. Paul Carter

    Paul Carter Active Member

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    Apr 27, 2013
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    Vancouver, BC
    Wow! Congrats. Hopefully our Model X's will cross paths someday! Hope to try out the Alaska highway in mine next year!
     

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