Thank you for all your opinions. I think the best option is indeed to go now with the Model 3 for a pair of years and then trade in for a Model X.
I did a 2 days test drive on a Model X (after a S) and I was sold. The X is an incredible car. My experience with the Model 3 was only from seeing it inside a presentation room. I liked the car but I can't really compare the two experiences.
But I'm really convinced that the next generation for Model S and X are just a couple of years ahead and it will be truly amazing.
It's not just about the technology it's also about the cost. In a period that competition will start to hit the market (2020-2022), if Tesla can have the manufacturing capability to produce the same cells/modules, motors and electronics for ALL Model S/X/3/Y/Semi/Roadster/Pickup production, the production costs will collapse improving margins and making possible to reflect some of the savings in final price. Particularly, if Tesla needs to compete on price as well.
We start to have some clues that Tesla is going down this path with the Semi reusing Model 3 motors and cells. Reengineering Model S/X battery packs with improved vehicle margins would be a logical and easy step IF Tesla could produce enough cells today. We know they can't as it's bearable enough for the 7000 units/week of Model 3. Also, using only a cell/module type gives Tesla much more flexibility if they need to change the vehicle production mix.
They need to probably double the current cell production in order to use them for S/X.
I did a 2 days test drive on a Model X (after a S) and I was sold. The X is an incredible car. My experience with the Model 3 was only from seeing it inside a presentation room. I liked the car but I can't really compare the two experiences.
But I'm really convinced that the next generation for Model S and X are just a couple of years ahead and it will be truly amazing.
It's not just about the technology it's also about the cost. In a period that competition will start to hit the market (2020-2022), if Tesla can have the manufacturing capability to produce the same cells/modules, motors and electronics for ALL Model S/X/3/Y/Semi/Roadster/Pickup production, the production costs will collapse improving margins and making possible to reflect some of the savings in final price. Particularly, if Tesla needs to compete on price as well.
We start to have some clues that Tesla is going down this path with the Semi reusing Model 3 motors and cells. Reengineering Model S/X battery packs with improved vehicle margins would be a logical and easy step IF Tesla could produce enough cells today. We know they can't as it's bearable enough for the 7000 units/week of Model 3. Also, using only a cell/module type gives Tesla much more flexibility if they need to change the vehicle production mix.
They need to probably double the current cell production in order to use them for S/X.