OFFICIAL BUTTON WATCH

[dckiwi]

Yes that’s why he put the ~ there, his latest tweet says end of this week. I don’t see how this is unreasonable.

I didn't say it was unreasonable. I will be thrilled if it arrives by Friday.

 

[EVNow]

That said, if 8.3 is a few days (or a week) late, and it arrives alongside a button that allows all FSD buyers to download the beta, obviously Elon hasn't completely blown his credibility.

How much credibility does Musk have around FSD timing at this point, anyway ?

I still think until end of next week is likely *if* they want to make it available this quarter. If they miss this month - then they won't have any time pressure as such ...

ps : I guess Q1 earnings report would give them another (non-financial !) milestone to hit. Useful for PR.

 

[dckiwi]

How much credibility does Musk have around FSD timing at this point, anyway ?

This is my point though. I agree that he's been way too optimistic about the pace of progress, although clearly they are finally on the cusp of delivering something real.

However, there's a difference from a credibility perspective between being overoptimistic about the long term pace of progress, and stating that you will deliver X within the next week or two.

And to be clear, he may still follow through. Let's see......

 

[powertoold]

This is my point though. I agree that he's been way too optimistic about the pace of progress, although clearly they are finally on the cusp of delivering something real.

Based on 8.2, I can’t see how fsd beta is anywhere ready for release, unless 8.3 is the second coming.

 

[LowlyOilBurner]

There will be no button. There will be no “8.3” for the rest of us “FSD” buyers. Sorry, I’m a realist.

 

[dckiwi]

There will be no button. There will be no “8.3” for the rest of us “FSD” buyers. Sorry, I’m a realist.

I hope you’re wrong, but if I had to put money on it I would agree with you.

 

[Joleary]

I hope you’re wrong, but if I had to put money on it I would agree with you.

Agree

 

[rxlawdude]

How much credibility does Musk have around FSD timing at this point, anyway ?

I still think until end of next week is likely *if* they want to make it available this quarter. If they miss this month - then they won't have any time pressure as such ...

ps : I guess Q1 earnings report would give them another (non-financial !) milestone to hit. Useful for PR.

I would bet the button will appear soon, because this would be a helluva demand lever for Q1.

 

[Cosmacelf]

I would bet the button will appear soon, because this would be a helluva demand lever for Q1.

Might be too late for that. Also, I think Tesla is still production constrained.

 

[qdeathstar]

guys. GUYS. GUYS! I figured it out. For real this time.

Listen. You know how we went from 2021.4.3, to 2021.4.4, etc all the way to 11. Spinal Tap?

Now fact, FSD beta. is gonna be the 2021.4.20 update. I’m pretty sure. The numbers check out.

 

[qdeathstar]

I would bet the button will appear soon, because this would be a helluva demand lever for Q1.

i don’t think the average guy considering a tesla knows about the beta. I bet they think fsd currently released is already better than the beta. A guy i was meeting with today was excited that his car was going to drive into the garage by itself. His frown was immense when i told him it wouldn’t be doing that unless it involved a call to his insurance agent immediately afterwards.

 

[rxlawdude]

Might be too late for that. Also, I think Tesla is still production constrained.

I think not. There are at least 50 INVENTORY M3s, 0 MSs, 1 MX P, 29 MYs.

And this is just within 200 miles of Orange County, CA.

 

[rxlawdude]

i don’t think the average guy considering a tesla knows about the beta. I bet they think fsd currently released is already better than the beta. A guy i was meeting with today was excited that his car was going to drive into the garage by itself. His frown was immense when i told him it wouldn’t be doing that unless it involved a call to his insurance agent immediately afterwards.

The press release and posts on places like this will ensure that they (and Wall Street) know.

 

[EVNow]

I think not. There are at least 50 INVENTORY M3s, 0 MSs, 1 MX P, 29 MYs.

And this is just within 200 miles of Orange County, CA.

That just means they haven't been assigned yet. How many days worth of inventory is that - anyway ?

 

[Cheburashka]

Whole Mars Catalog or w/e is just Elon's troll account. So much for "coming on Tuesday".

Would really be nice for someone to provide an update right about now..

 

[rxlawdude]

That just means they haven't been assigned yet. How many days worth of inventory is that - anyway ?

They list vehicles for immediate sale for those not assigned to a preorder.

 

[EVNow]

They list vehicles for immediate sale for those not assigned to a preorder.

Matching occurs much later now than it used to earlier. Tesla distributes Model 3/Y much more like the traditional OEM than they do Model S/X. I think we are getting OT at this point. Checkout investors thread for details.

 

[fcastrillo86]

Whole Mars Catalog or w/e is just Elon's troll account. So much for "coming on Tuesday".

Would really be nice for someone to provide an update right about now..

To be fair, it was never said which Tuesday lol

/s

 

[qdeathstar]

To be fair, it was never said which Tuesday lol

/s

exaclty. I don’t know why anyone would just assume a Tuesday would be a specific Tuesday unless Elon specifically said which Tuesday. In this case he didn’t so we don’t know.

 

[Cheburashka]

exaclty. I don’t know why anyone would just assume a Tuesday would be a specific Tuesday unless Elon specifically said which Tuesday. In this case he didn’t so we don’t know.

Yes this is the answer all the Elon simps on Twitter are giving.