Word on the street is that the LR and Plaid are going with 90kWh so adding 33% to that becomes more or less exactly 120kWh.
I would be highly surprised if the new packs are only 90kWh, given the increase in range (esp. for Plaid). But let’s wait and see, as all this is just speculation for now.
I agree completely. I ordered Plaid+ for faster charging, longer range, and the other implications of the structural battery pack and 4680's. I'll never, ever, use the performance. I have never used all the available performance on most cars I have owned. Were it not for the new battery I'd probably have chosen to wait until active noise cancellation etc arrived on a Model Y or Model 3. I have no idea whether I'm the only such gullible person, but a lifetime of early adopter habits makes me think there are a fair number of such people.
How is a legacy ICE 4 door sedan ever going to be able to compete with performance capabilities like these?
You might want to wait for the non-Plaid version(s) to get the structural packs with 4680 cells. You’ll get even more range at a much lower price.
Thats valid. The question is how long given the constraints on 4680 availability. I’m sure they are slated for CT, Roadster, and Semi in addition to Plaid+.
Yeah I guess you never know with Tesla. Could be a couple months after Plaid+ ships (kind of like when 85D launched shortly after P85D), could be a couple of months. If I were to guess, what the competition looks like in early-2022 will highly influence their decision.
Battery density increase, power train & motor efficiency improvements, drag reduction can easily get it down to 90kWh. Makes sense with battery supply constraints
Not many other ways to lose a couple hundred pounds like the refresh did - the car was already aluminum. Shedding some battery modules is by far the most realistic and easy way to do so.
Maybe, but color me skeptical. They’ve already done lots of powertrain efficiency with the Raven S, which is how they over time achieved 402 miles of range from 335 back in the 100D days. Battery density increase? The cells are still 18650, so gains are margins. Or did you mean pack-level weight reduction from structural redesign? True, 10% smaller capacity could mean shedding a few dozen pounds, but I think most of the weight loss is from the redesigned pack architecture that makes it structural (“negative mass”, as Elon would say. Helium, anyone?)
The refresh Plaid or even LR (the one we're talking about being 90kWh) does not have a structural pack. Same pack architecture, same 18650 cell format, new chemistry. The Plaid+ is the one that is expected to have a structural/4680 based pack. The weight of that one hasn't been released.
Did they announce a percentage of capacity increase? (btw I meant to write "gains are marginal", not "margins".) Interesting, do you have a link that confirms that? I thought it would be part of the new architecture, per the Model S website:
ICE can't compete on performance, but I think the point is not going to be about performance. Even the lamest, standard rear wheel drive Tesla has more performance than what 99% of owners need. And except for the few dedicated performance buyers out there, no one will care much on the 0-60 times or the max speed beyond what any Tesla already has. The main fighting chance that ICE has is still quick and convenient fill ups everywhere and low cost of the car. ICE will die when and only when they can charge up as fast as filling a tank and prices come down to the sub $20K mark like the basic ICE cars.
This ^^^ Range is what kills me now in terms of time lost on a weekly basis. Range is what affects me thinking about a long road trip to Vegas or Clearwater. Range can be countered by rate of charge (at home over night at 40A or on the road at 250 miles an hour) but it's range. For example, driving to the beach (Clearwater) $400 for commercial round trip to FL ... one day flight for two people. No car at destination and tied to their schedule. 190 gallons of avgas to fly to FL. 13 hours on my schedule, but no car at destination. 54 hours to drive, including +10 hours of driving via ABRP. My schedule and I have a car at the destination I can only drive so fast on US 50 before the CHP takes a picture of me and puts it on their Instagram feed. Further east ... the NHP care less but do care. If I can reduce the cost / time to go from A - B, that's a win in my book. But a "quicker" or "faster" car isn't going to help if I'm stopping for an hour to charge my car.