In 4 years half the price? I think it will be much higher especially with high end plaid and plus orders. Given the rarity and the performance... I had my Porsche 911 for 4 years and sold for just 10K less than what I bought it for. I would think it would retain value
Possibly, but I certainly wouldn’t count on it. P100Ds from four years ago that retailed new for $140k to $160k+ have been bringing less than half that on the retail used car market. Below is a recent example of a 2017 MS P100DL that retailed new for $153,700 (or $146,200 after federal tax credit) and was offered for $61,999.
2017 Used Tesla Model S P100DL. Enhanced Autopilot. Deep Blue. Black. 46,169-miles. $63,999. Burbank. California
Half price or less seems to be the norm for these cars right now, even in this strong used car market and with no new MS production (therefore limited inventory) for months. As EV advacements continue and new competition enters the market, MS resale values could be a lot worse in four years.