Look wk's house size and power consumption is well above average so that is why that pack looks large. My 2.5kWh pack house size and power consumption is on the other end of extreme My battery pack is about the same size as the inverter and about the volume of a desktop computer. And I use LiFePO4 so about 2x lower in energy density than Tesla cells still 3x higher energy density than Lead Acid.
I chose LiFePO4 since I was interested in reliability satiety and cost of storing energy. Tesla batteries where not available when I made the investment about 3 years ago but I will still use LiFePO4 today is not just a small difference the life cycle for LiFePO4 is a few times higher.
You have a house that is above average in both size and energy consumption. The volume used by those batteries as rapport to the house size in nothing. I'm sure on the other extreme with my set-up and 2.5kWh battery and average will be somewhere in the middle.
New LiFePO4 can be had at about 300 to 400$/kWh of storage capacity not sure how that is an order of magnitude. And that cost is not important you need to consider how much energy you can store during the life of the battery.
Look at this
http://download.solarshop.net/english/uploads/FS-UK-Sony-Storage-system-data-sheet-10-08-2012.pdf Sony LiFePO4 datasheet (their complete solution is a bit expensive but nice) see the last page 6000 cycles of 100% DOD that is more than an order of magnitude compare to spec on the NCR with just 300 cycles the NCA will probably be very close to NCR but if you have a dtasheet for the NCA with cycle life I will love to see.
While my setup is certainly on the larger end of the spectrum, no offense, but yours is practically on the useless end. 2.5kWh of storage? Even before efficiency losses that would power the average home (
according to the EIA at just over 900kWh/mo average) for
almost 2 hours. Unless I missed something and Earth now has a 3 hour rotation I'm pretty sure this is useless for the
vast majority of people as far as an off-grid solar setup goes and pretty useless even for standby power.
Assuming storage sized for 72 hours of normal usage (which seems pretty reasonable for a true off-grid setup) you've sized your setup for an average load of less than 35W. That's like a couple of LED bulbs. Sorry, no one in the 21st century can practically live with that type of energy constraint. You can barely charge a phone and run a light with that. So, if you will, please stop referring to your setup for comparison as if it were actually practical for anyone.
Now for something realistic, taking the average home at 900 kWh/mo, that's 30 kWh/day or 90 kWh for 72 hours of power. We'll start with that.
Storage: That's just over one full Model S 85 kWh pack. Would be 17 modules, or just about half of my rack. We'll round down to 16 for simplicity and multiple of 4 (nice even discharges/charges). Half of my rack is still 44" high and would take up the same floor space. If I dropped it to one column it'd take up half of the floor space but be the same height. And this is using Tesla's cells, which are more energy dense than anything else readily available.
Power: Then, for 30kWh/day we're looking at an average load of 1.25kW. Per NEC, for a battery based setup, the
minimum inverter continuous output size is the size of the largest single load possible. For most people this will be either a hot water heater, an electric range, or a central AC/heat pump unit... all of which clock in somewhere in the 5kW area. Add a 40A EV charger and we're at 10kW. Add common sense (someone will take a shower or cook some spaghetti while the AC is running one day, I promise) and the minimum certainly isn't enough for normal use and should be at least doubled. Using the 5kW number, that's 10kW. I'll be conservative and say that one of my 8kW inverter units would meet a minimum requirement for this setup due to it's exceptional surge capacity.
Space: So, even using the half-height rack, and building the balance of the setup on top of it (inverter, a couple of charge controllers, transfer switch, etc) assuming it would all fit the battery bank would still be the largest component. And this is using Tesla's modules. Jump into LiFePO4 and we're *at least* doubled the volume (and weight, which isn't as much of an issue) of the battery portion. We're still looking at a minimum of about a 4'x4' area of floor space needed. To make it legal we need NEC working space requirements, so, this isn't going to get stuffed in a closet somewhere. We're talking an additional 4' wide area at least another 3' out from all sides of the equipment that needs to be able to be accessed. Again, I'll be generous/conservative and say just the front side. So we're now at 4'x7'.
That's about 32 square feet absolute minimum space needed to make a minimal off-grid setup for the average home using current tech and rules and the most energy dense battery tech available, not even counting solar panels or other renewable input.
Let's switch to LiFEPO4. We'll say 2x as large for the same energy (your number). Well, at 2x as large we'd need the full height rack setup again, so no putting the equipment on top. So we're up to an 8x7 area now, 56 square feet, minimum, after working space requirements.
Now for example, my mother's house is pretty average size. Her electricity consumption is a hair above average, but we'll ignore that for now. I'd be hard pressed to find even 32 square feet somewhere at her place where it would be practical to set this up, but it would be doable probably by taking a chunk out of an existing room. Bump that to the LiFePO4 size of 56 square feet and we're talking about most of a small bedroom for a usable off-grid storage setup with this tech.
Oh, and we haven't even considered ventilation needs for this space either.
Suffice it to say, anyone saying that energy density vs volume/floor space for this application isn't an issue is just being ridiculous. Granted there are likely ways to save floor space, technically, with any setup (a raised false floor with the batteries below was an idea I had for my setup at one point), but they don't change the actual volume needed.
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OK, now the cycles life nonsense.
First, you're contradicting yourself. You say "show me the spec for NCA" then in the same post claim that the NCA has a 300 cycle life. Make up your mind. Either you have the specifications for the cell, or you don't. Since Tesla has not released them, and it is unlikely you work in Tesla's engineering department, I'm going to put my money on you not having the cells specs.
Now, even comparing to crappy NCR variants with the 300 cycle count, these are full DOD cycles. No one actually does this in practice, and neither will I. It is well know that the cycle count is extended
dramatically on NCR chemistry by limiting the DOD on the extreme ends by even a few %.
While I don't have the exact data yet, either, using data available from Model S owners it is already very clear that this same 300 cycle count does not apply to the Tesla cells even in the harsh EV charge/discharge environment. Combine very low C charging and discharging with slightly less max DOD in an off-grid setup like mine. Even ignoring that realistic average DOD with a large pack like mine is very low, something like 20% overnight, I'd expect far more than 300 cycles.
But anyway, in a couple of months time I should have both some real world and controlled experiment data on the cells from my off-grid setup and experiments with single cells, respectively. I plan on using the cells from the module I'm breaking down to do cycle life testing at various DOD in various SoC windows at various average current draws. I expect that the longest of these planned tests, using 1000 cycles and 1A average discharge/charge (1/3C) rate will take about 6 months. 1000 cycles at 10A discharge and 0.7C charge should take about a month assuming no thermal failures. I'll be running multiple tests with multiple cells simultaneously (two of each type of test, probably 6 different tests) once I get time to get it all setup.