Poll: 3 years from now, would you rather pay for $20K for FSD or $20K for Tesla Bot?

[Soda Popinski]

There are so many use cases for a humanoid robot, basically any physical job a human can do. The issue is making one actually capable and smart enough to do anything useful at a reasonable price. I think that's what was missing from Asimo.

I doubt Optimus will be anywhere near that. In 5 years, I can believe it'll be able to to simple repetitive tasks, like they showed.

 

[DanCar]

Bots have been used successfully for many years, also humanoid bots. Two examples that come to mind: the war in iraq and sex dolls. In Iraq they were used for dangerous missions and considered it a success when they got blown up or shot at.

https://www.reddit.com/r/ukraine/comments/xugi82

 

[ItsNotAboutTheMoney]

I think he should concentrate on getting the Cybertruck and Semi into production and scale that up first

Those are 4680 production issues. Separate problem.

 

[ThomasD]

So what kind of Batteries could the Robot use? Imagine a Robot that can prep ingredients and cook any on the food on the Menu in a Restaurant.

 

[S4WRXTTCS]

I voted for the Bot because I'd rather have a bot than a L2 FSD system.

But, that vote comes with the assumption that it's capable of doing useful things out of the box.

I believe it will be far easier to get a Bot to do useful or fun things than it is to have L4/L5 self-driving vehicles.

Plus there is less embarrassment if it screws up because it's likely going to be in the privacy of my own home versus turning on the road in plain view of everyone to ridicule like FSD beta.

I say this as someone who likes bots where I have a roomba, an automower, and a cargo carrier follower robot.

I would have a Boston Dynamics Spot for Surveillance if it was closer to $5K.

 

[DanCar]

So what kind of Batteries could the Robot use? ...

Perhaps the Robot could have two or 3 packs. 2 packs being used and one pack charging. Bot can remove one pack and still function. For two pack instead of 3, could have the robot plug into the wall while it swaps out the pack or have a tiny built in battery that doesn't swap out.

 

[2101Guy]

So what kind of Batteries could the Robot use? Imagine a Robot that can prep ingredients and cook any on the food on the Menu in a Restaurant.

Oh, thats coming..by end of month.(c)ELon

 

[Ogre]

Without knowing what either does, it's kind of hard to say isn't it?

If I can put a pin on a map and my car would find its way to that pin, including driving on dirt roads, that would be worth $20k to me. If its just a perfected version of what FSD does now... well not worth nearly as much. Being able to send it to California to pick up my granddaughter would be rad.

Likewise, if the robot can mow my lawn, lay bricks a the fence, take out the trash, change the cat litter box, follow me along trails with my backpack, and wash the windows... I'd pay a lot more than $20k for it.

It's unlikely the bot will be able to do all of that in 3 years, but whatever it does might make it worth $20k. How do we remotely value something which doesn't yet exist?

 

[DanCar]

Tesla Bot to file complaint with California labor commission's office for min wage.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1734945442511687768

 

[DanCar]

Why is the bot folding shirts?

https://twitter.com/x/status/1746964887949934958

 

[johnmodely]

At this rate the bot will be driving teslas for us before Tesla FSD becomes reality...

 

[Zythryn]

Why is the bot folding shirts?

https://twitter.com/x/status/1746964887949934958

Manipulating fabric is far more difficult than manipulating a rigid object.
I am hoping they are testing all sorts of skills and capabilities.

Personally, when I get mine, it will be weeding and folding clothes ;-)

 

[Cheburashka]

I need that bot to press my wipers button when it sees rain since my intermittent wipers dont work properly. Think it can do that?

 

[DanCar]

I'm thinking the wipers will work well when Tesla can incorporate voice feedback into the wiper control. This can happen when an LLM is controlling the wipers.

 

[DanCar]

Wife says she buy the bot, when it can do her pedicure and manicure that she normally pays a $100 for.

 

[ThomasD]

Musk States in the article that the Robot can't actually fold the Shirts.

MSN

 

[DanCar]

Elon at earnings call.

Tesla Q4 and full year 2023 Financial Results and Q&A Webcast

Start of Earnings Call: https://youtu.be/A_2Z-AEtdAg?t=509To submit a question: https://app.saytechnologies.com/tesla-2023-q4

www.youtube.com

I think we have a good chance of shipping some number of optimus units next year. There is a lot of uncertainty in this new product. We will be giving updates every few months. We want to make sure optimus is safe at scale. It should be impossible for a central update to introduce malware.

 

[DanCar]

nVidia CEO expects humanoid robots to cost about $15K after mass production.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1781802251511836969

 

[DanCar]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1781879387476070446

 

[EVNow]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1781879387476070446

View attachment 1040458

Average height of humans is more like 5 1/2 ft, like the figure 1.