It is likely that when the first Model 3's ship there will be a 24 month wait list for people reserving at that point. Initial reservations have been far higher than expected, so it seems likely that there will be not enough cars to fill demand in the first year. Many times in the past a hot production car has commanded large premiums on the secondary market for people who must "have it now." This poll is simply to gauge the community's predictions. Keep in mind I believe that "part 2" of the Model 3 reveal is going to have Elon telling the world that this car will ship with hardware capable of Level 4 autonomous driving (even though the software and the law may not have caught up yet) - and that is going to drive demand even further through the roof than it already is. So I'm sure I'm biasing the poll results here but I'll say it - I think that in the first 6 months of launch Model 3's will trade at $10K over sticker on the secondary market.