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This is probably a wild guess but I'm going to say Model 3 75D is going to sit near $42,000 although if they wanted to, they could throw in autopilot for that price as well. In my opinion, that would be by far, the best selling combination.
Model S pricing is irrelevant because Model 3 is a different market. Demand is high for a vehicle marketed at $35,000. In 2013 Tesla was charging between $366 - $400 / kWh. Since then, costs have decreased significantly and even more so with 2170s.That's $33k in Model S options. $23.5k for 25 kWh 75-100, minus included air suspension on S, so call it $21.5k for 25 kWh, or $860/kWh times 15 for Model 3 60 to 75, would be $12.9k. Plus $5k dual-motor and $5k EAP. $22.9k at Model S pricing. I agree that we're going to see lower option prices on the 3. So let's cut that in half. $23k / 2 = $11.5k.
I actually wonder once Tesla adds AWD to the 3 if they will remove the RWD option from the big battery like they have done for the S. That could change the equation on pricing quite a bit for those that wait.Model S pricing is irrelevant because Model 3 is a different market. Demand is high for a vehicle marketed at $35,000. In 2013 Tesla was charging between $366 - $400 / kWh. Since then, costs have decreased significantly and even more so with 2170s.
GM is charging about $200 / kWh for the Bolt battery.
I honestly think the upgrade will be $2000 - 3000. If not, then that means they are trying to make up for losses in the base price of the car itself.
Nope. The largest right now is 75kWhMaybe the upgrade will be a 80 KW. Would be a great package.
I was optimistic and voted $7.5 to $10k.
I see that we have some very, very optimistic people on this board.
Well going from the 75D to the 100D on the Model S is a $23,000 upgrade, and near as I can tell the only extras included are air suspension and high amperage charger. For the Model X, it's a $17,000 upgrade, and I don't see any other additional equipment.I understand options are high margin and but unless you think that extra 15 kWh is also including a bunch of other stuff, how could you believe that those 15kWh cost more than $7500? That's more than $500 per kWh! Are you trying to say that a model 3 missing only it's battery back should cost less than 5k? That an out of warranty 75 pack would cost $37500?
This is not the $100k car market getting 400,000+ reservations, guys... this is competing in the $30k space (thanks tax credit). In the NW and being originally from Colorado, I think in terms of Subarus: comparing a Forester 2.5 Touring vs an XT touring (a $3,000 upgrade) gets you:
an engine with 50% more power, a stronger, faster transmission, better brakes, a wheel upgrade, upgraded suspension, etc.
Subaru sells way more of the ones without that 3k upgrade.... and you think people are going to be dropping $7500++ for 50 miles of range? Only if you commute more than 230 miles a day with no ability to charge at work.
Also note that an analyst thinks that Tesla will be losing money by selling the base Model 3 at $35k, and they'll break even at $41k. Sure, they could be off the mark by quite a bit (I'm certainly skeptical of their methodology), but regardless it should be clear that Tesla will need to make a fair amount of money by selling options on the car.
a professionally wrap will cost significantly more than the upgraded paint price.I do not like the idea of "wrapping" cars, but I might consider it if Tesla charges ridiculous amounts to paint the car anything other than basic black, like that BS they pulled on the Model S/X a while back.