Prediction Competition 2017

[Larken]

You know the drill....

He/she who has the closest guess on how many vehicles Tesla delivers in the full year of 2017 will take home the crown!
In this thread there will be no polling, rather everyone has to cast their vote as a total number of vehicles. Last day to cast/modify your vote will be 24 hours after the Q4 conference call in February 2017 when Tesla management gives their full year guidance.
If we are lucky there's still a price for the winner as in the 2015 competition I know that a moderator awarded a very nice TMC cap to the winner.

Good luck folks!

P.S. Nice being back again seeing some familiar faces, it's been almost a year!

 

[Johann Koeber]

155,000 vehicles

(S and X 105,000, M3 50,000) I am more confident with S and X, M3 could be off by pretty much.

 

[Leo9]

137k total.
117k S/X; 20k 3

 

[Boourns]

177k total. 107 S/X and 70 Model 3.

We get free refills on Kool Aid, right? I drank all of mine.

 

[dalalsid]

65 S
50 X
10 3

125k

 

[NannerAirCraft]

135K Total
110K S & X
25K Model 3

 

[mikes_fsd]

175K Total
150K S&X (with X edging out S)
25k Model 3

 

[RobStark]

133,333 Total.

60k Model S
50k Model X
23,333 Model 3.

 

[omarsultan]

120K MS + MX
50K M3

 

[tamtam10]

122,250 vehicles delivered in 2017 combined.

 

[TNEVol]

110,000 S & X
10,000 M3

120,000 Total

 

[Crowded Mind]

I think everyone should break out S, X, 3 so we can have winners for that as well.

 

[markwj]

160,010

S: 95,000
X: 65,000
三: 10

 

[dc_h]

117,000 S&X (60,000X & 57000X) about same increase as 2016 over 2017
17,000 Model 3 covering employee rollout, with 8500 delivered in December.

134,000 total
10 billion in S&X revenue 1.5 billion in Model 3 revenue + 2.5 billion in TE revenue. ~100% over 2016.

 

[doctoxics]

50,000 S + 50,000 X + 50,000 3 = 150,000 total Tesla vehicles delivered in 2017. Not concerned about Tesla producing 75,000 cars in Q4 2017, but are they going to be able to deliver them.

 

[vigleik]

120,006 in total:
57,500 S
52,500 X
10,006 3 (6 in 3Q, 10,000 in 4Q)

 

[Watts Son]

137,500
That would be 75000 S
61000 X
1500 M3

Remember, I was the one that nailed the Model X launch day (never got my bottle of wine BTW) so investors take note now.

 

[dandurston]

142K

Comprised of 58K S, 62K X and 22K M3.

 

[neroden]

I'll take the over and go with 200,000.

In my more sober moments, I think 160,000, but for betting purposes, I'm going with 200,000.

 

[GregRF]

142K

Comprised of 58K S, 62K X and 22K M3.

Damn, that was going to be my pick. In the spirit of Price is Right

142,001

MS 60K
MX 52K
M3 30K