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Prediction Competition 2017

Discussion in 'TSLA Investor Discussions' started by Larken, Jan 4, 2017.

  1. Larken

    Larken Member

    Joined:
    Aug 7, 2013
    Messages:
    343
    Location:
    Sweden
    You know the drill....

    He/she who has the closest guess on how many vehicles Tesla delivers in the full year of 2017 will take home the crown!
    In this thread there will be no polling, rather everyone has to cast their vote as a total number of vehicles. Last day to cast/modify your vote will be 24 hours after the Q4 conference call in February 2017 when Tesla management gives their full year guidance.
    If we are lucky there's still a price for the winner as in the 2015 competition I know that a moderator awarded a very nice TMC cap to the winner.

    Good luck folks!

    P.S. Nice being back again seeing some familiar faces, it's been almost a year!
     
  2. Johann Koeber

    Johann Koeber Member

    Joined:
    May 1, 2012
    Messages:
    751
    Location:
    Schweinfurt, Germany
    155,000 vehicles

    (S and X 105,000, M3 50,000) I am more confident with S and X, M3 could be off by pretty much.
     
  3. Leo9

    Leo9 Member

    Joined:
    Sep 5, 2016
    Messages:
    35
    Location:
    EU
    137k total.
    117k S/X; 20k 3 :rolleyes:
     
  4. Boourns

    Boourns Member

    Joined:
    Mar 9, 2016
    Messages:
    891
    Location:
    Dallas
    177k total. 107 S/X and 70 Model 3.

    We get free refills on Kool Aid, right? I drank all of mine.
     
    • Funny x 4
  5. dalalsid

    dalalsid Member

    Joined:
    Feb 25, 2014
    Messages:
    812
    Location:
    Virginia
    65 S
    50 X
    10 3

    125k
     
  6. NannerAirCraft

    Joined:
    Aug 22, 2013
    Messages:
    63
    Location:
    Linwood, MN
    135K Total
    110K S & X
    25K Model 3
     
  7. mspisars

    mspisars Member

    Joined:
    May 23, 2014
    Messages:
    534
    Location:
    Charlotte, NC
    175K Total
    150K S&X (with X edging out S)
    25k Model 3
     
  8. RobStark

    RobStark Active Member

    Joined:
    Jul 2, 2013
    Messages:
    4,176
    Location:
    Los Angeles
    133,333 Total.

    60k Model S
    50k Model X
    23,333 Model 3.
     
  9. omarsultan

    omarsultan Active Member

    Joined:
    Jun 22, 2013
    Messages:
    1,453
    Location:
    Northern California
    120K MS + MX
    50K M3
     
  10. tamtam10

    tamtam10 Member

    Joined:
    Sep 11, 2013
    Messages:
    12
    Location:
    Toronto
    122,250 vehicles delivered in 2017 combined.
     
  11. TNEVol

    TNEVol Member

    Joined:
    Apr 27, 2013
    Messages:
    249
    Location:
    Brush Creek TN
    110,000 S & X
    10,000 M3

    120,000 Total
     
  12. Crowded Mind

    Crowded Mind Member

    Joined:
    Oct 26, 2014
    Messages:
    526
    Location:
    Wisconsin
    I think everyone should break out S, X, 3 so we can have winners for that as well.
     
  13. markwj

    markwj Moderator, Asia Pacific

    Joined:
    Apr 10, 2011
    Messages:
    3,920
    Location:
    Hong Kong
    160,010

    S: 95,000
    X: 65,000
    三: 10
     
    • Funny x 1
  14. dc_h

    dc_h Member

    Joined:
    Feb 14, 2015
    Messages:
    842
    Location:
    Naperville, IL
    117,000 S&X (60,000X & 57000X) about same increase as 2016 over 2017
    17,000 Model 3 covering employee rollout, with 8500 delivered in December.

    134,000 total
    10 billion in S&X revenue 1.5 billion in Model 3 revenue + 2.5 billion in TE revenue. ~100% over 2016.
     
  15. doctoxics

    doctoxics Member

    Joined:
    Mar 26, 2014
    Messages:
    443
    Location:
    Nevada City, CA and Davis, CA
    50,000 S + 50,000 X + 50,000 3 = 150,000 total Tesla vehicles delivered in 2017. Not concerned about Tesla producing 75,000 cars in Q4 2017, but are they going to be able to deliver them.
     
  16. vigleik

    vigleik Member

    Joined:
    Sep 10, 2016
    Messages:
    6
    Location:
    Canberra, Australia
    120,006 in total:
    57,500 S
    52,500 X
    10,006 3 (6 in 3Q, 10,000 in 4Q)
     
    • Funny x 1
  17. Watts Son

    Watts Son Member

    Joined:
    Sep 22, 2015
    Messages:
    169
    Location:
    West Coast USA
    137,500
    That would be 75000 S
    61000 X
    1500 M3

    Remember, I was the one that nailed the Model X launch day (never got my bottle of wine BTW) so investors take note now.
     
  18. dandurston

    dandurston Member

    Joined:
    Jul 16, 2015
    Messages:
    246
    Location:
    Victoria, BC, Canada
    142K

    Comprised of 58K S, 62K X and 22K M3.
     
  19. neroden

    neroden Happy Model S Owner

    Joined:
    Apr 25, 2011
    Messages:
    6,157
    Location:
    Ithaca, NY, USA
    I'll take the over and go with 200,000.

    In my more sober moments, I think 160,000, but for betting purposes, I'm going with 200,000. :)
     
    • Funny x 1
  20. GregRF

    GregRF Squirrel Power

    Joined:
    Jul 22, 2014
    Messages:
    120
    Location:
    CA
    Damn, that was going to be my pick. In the spirit of Price is Right

    142,001

    MS 60K
    MX 52K
    M3 30K
     

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