Given all the recent exuberance in the short-term thread around predictions and accountability for predictions on both the bull and bear side, I thought it might be helpful to compile predictions in one simple document. If you are highly convicted in your belief of a future event, now is your chance to get the credit you deserve when that event occurs. So when Tesla hits an all-time high on 9/13/16 or when Model 3 can't be sold for $35k, we will have this to look back at and say, "Yep, you called it."
All predictions should be specific and measurable (by the community). As short or long term as you like.
Examples of legitimate predictions:
TSLA will reach a market cap of $45B in 2017.
Tesla will deliver less than 75,000 cars in 2016.
BMW/Mercedes/Audi will not individually deliver more than 50k units of a 200 mile EPA range EV in a year before 2022.
GM will go bankrupt in 6 days.
Examples of illegitimate predictions:
BMW will produce a better EV than Tesla before 2020. (Define better)
Model Y will be the best car in its class. (Better stated as "Model Y will outsell all $40k+ compact SUV's in the year 2020")
Gigafactory is a hoax. (immeasurable)
Borderline predictions:
Tesla pack cost per kWh will be less than $100 in 2020. (We may be able to figure this out, may not)
Have at it. Sock bets and steak bets allowed.
Tesla Predictions
All predictions should be specific and measurable (by the community). As short or long term as you like.
Examples of legitimate predictions:
TSLA will reach a market cap of $45B in 2017.
Tesla will deliver less than 75,000 cars in 2016.
BMW/Mercedes/Audi will not individually deliver more than 50k units of a 200 mile EPA range EV in a year before 2022.
GM will go bankrupt in 6 days.
Examples of illegitimate predictions:
BMW will produce a better EV than Tesla before 2020. (Define better)
Model Y will be the best car in its class. (Better stated as "Model Y will outsell all $40k+ compact SUV's in the year 2020")
Gigafactory is a hoax. (immeasurable)
Borderline predictions:
Tesla pack cost per kWh will be less than $100 in 2020. (We may be able to figure this out, may not)
Have at it. Sock bets and steak bets allowed.
Tesla Predictions